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Parity and risk of lung cancer in women: systematic review and meta-analysis of epidemiological studies.

ABSTRACT: Multiple studies have assessed parity as a risk factor for lung cancer but results have been inconclusive. We searched MEDLINE (through August 2010) and the Institute of Scientific Information Web of Knowledge database (through April 2011) to identify studies investigating the association of parity with lung cancer and allowing the calculation of dose-response trends using a linear model. Between-study heterogeneity was assessed using Cochran's Q statistic and the I(2) index. Summary per-child relative risks (RRs) with their 95% confidence interval (CI) were estimated using random effects meta-analysis. Sixteen eligible studies (8077 lung cancer patients; 350,295 unaffected individuals) provided data for meta-analysis. There was significant between-study heterogeneity (p<0.001; I(2)=73%). The summary per livebirth RR was 0.98 (95% CI, 0.95-1.02), indicating no effect of parity on lung cancer risk. Results were consistent in case-control (n=11), RR=0.99 (95% CI, 0.94-1.04), and cohort studies (n=5), RR=0.97 (95% CI, 0.92-1.03). Studies not including small-cell lung cancer patients found a borderline protective effect of parity, RR=0.94 (95% CI, 0.88-1.00). In contrast, no effect was observed in studies including small-cell lung cancer patients, RR=1.00 (95% CI, 0.98-1.03); p for difference=0.05. Overall, there was little evidence of a dose-response relationship between increasing number of livebirths and lung cancer; however, studies have produced heterogeneous results. Future studies should include analyses in well-defined histological disease subgroups.

SUBMITTER: Dahabreh IJ

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5558442 | biostudies-literature | 2012 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Parity and risk of lung cancer in women: systematic review and meta-analysis of epidemiological studies.

Dahabreh Issa J IJ Trikalinos Thomas A TA Paulus Jessica K JK

Lung cancer (Amsterdam, Netherlands) 20111209 2

Multiple studies have assessed parity as a risk factor for lung cancer but results have been inconclusive. We searched MEDLINE (through August 2010) and the Institute of Scientific Information Web of Knowledge database (through April 2011) to identify studies investigating the association of parity with lung cancer and allowing the calculation of dose-response trends using a linear model. Between-study heterogeneity was assessed using Cochran's Q statistic and the I(2) index. Summary per-child r ...[more]

PMID: 22169171

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Project description:BackgroundReduced FEV1 is known to predict increased lung cancer risk, but previous reviews are limited. To quantify this relationship more precisely, and study heterogeneity, we derived estimates of β for the relationship RR(diff) = exp(βdiff), where diff is the reduction in FEV1 expressed as a percentage of predicted (FEV1%P) and RR(diff) the associated relative risk. We used results reported directly as β, and as grouped levels of RR in terms of FEV1%P and of associated measures (e.g. FEV1/FVC).MethodsPapers describing cohort studies involving at least three years follow-up which recorded FEV1 at baseline and presented results relating lung cancer to FEV1 or associated measures were sought from Medline and other sources. Data were recorded on study design and quality and, for each data block identified, on details of the results, including population characteristics, adjustment factors, lung function measure, and analysis type. Regression estimates were converted to β estimates where appropriate. For results reported by grouped levels, we used the NHANES III dataset to estimate mean FEV1%P values for each level, regardless of the measure used, then derived β using regression analysis which accounted for non-independence of the RR estimates. Goodness-of-fit was tested by comparing observed and predicted lung cancer cases for each level. Inverse-variance weighted meta-analysis allowed derivation of overall β estimates and testing for heterogeneity by factors including sex, age, location, timing, duration, study quality, smoking adjustment, measure of FEV1 reported, and inverse-variance weight of β.ResultsThirty-three publications satisfying the inclusion/exclusion criteria were identified, seven being rejected as not allowing estimation of β. The remaining 26 described 22 distinct studies, from which 32 independent β estimates were derived. Goodness-of-fit was satisfactory, and exp(β), the RR increase per one unit FEV1%P decrease, was estimated as 1.019 (95%CI 1.016-1.021). The estimates were quite consistent (I2 =29.6%). Mean age was the only independent source of heterogeneity, exp(β) being higher for age <50 years (1.024, 1.020-1.028).ConclusionsAlthough the source papers present results in various ways, complicating meta-analysis, they are very consistent. A decrease in FEV1%P of 10% is associated with a 20% (95%CI 17%-23%) increase in lung cancer risk.

Dataset Information

Parity and risk of lung cancer in women: systematic review and meta-analysis of epidemiological studies.

Publications

Parity and risk of lung cancer in women: systematic review and meta-analysis of epidemiological studies.

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