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Prediction of early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma within the Milan criteria after radical resection.

ABSTRACT: Approximately 50% hepatocellular carcinoma patients meeting the Milan criteria utilized to develop an improved prognostic model for predicting the recurrence in these patients. Using univariate and multivariate analysis, cytokeratin-19 and glypican-3 expression patterns, tumor number and histological grading from eight putative prognostic factors comprised the risk factor scoring model to predict the tumor recurrence. In the training cohort, the area under roc curve (AUC) value of the model was 0.715 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.645-0.786, P<0.001], which was the highest among all the parameters. The performance of the model was assessed using an independent validation cohort, wherein the AUC value was 0.760 (95% CI=0.647-0.874, P<0.001), which was higher than the other factors. The results indicated that model had high performance with adequate discrimination ability. Moreover, it significantly improved the predictive capacity for the recurrence in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma within the Milan criteria after radical resection.

SUBMITTER: Feng J

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5609922 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Prediction of early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma within the Milan criteria after radical resection.

Feng Jiliang J Chen Junmei J Zhu Ruidong R Yu Lu L Zhang Yan Y Feng Dezhao D Kong Heli H Song Chenzhao C Xia Hui H Wu Jushan J Zhao Dawei D

Oncotarget 20170628 38

Approximately 50% hepatocellular carcinoma patients meeting the Milan criteria utilized to develop an improved prognostic model for predicting the recurrence in these patients. Using univariate and multivariate analysis, cytokeratin-19 and glypican-3 expression patterns, tumor number and histological grading from eight putative prognostic factors comprised the risk factor scoring model to predict the tumor recurrence. In the training cohort, the area under roc curve (AUC) value of the model was ...[more]

PMID: 28968990

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Project description:ObjectivesTo assess survival after liver resection and transplantation in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) beyond Milan criteria.BackgroundThe role of liver resection and transplantation remains controversial for patients with HCC beyond Milan criteria. Resection of advanced tumors and transplantation using extended-criteria are pursued at select high-volume center.MethodsPatients from 5 liver cancer centers in the United States who had liver resection or transplantation for HCC beyond Milan criteria between 1990 and 2011 were included in the study. Multivariable and propensity-matching analyses estimated the effects of clinical factors and operative selection on survival.ResultsOf 608 patients beyond Milan without vascular invasion, 480 (79%) patients underwent resection and 128 (21%) underwent transplantation. Clinicopathologic profiles between resection and transplant patients differed significantly. Hepatitis C and cirrhosis were more prevalent in transplantation group (P < 0.001). Resection patients had larger tumors [median 9 cm, interquartile range (IQR): 6.5-12.9 cm vs. median 4.1, IQR: 3.4-5.3 cm, P < 0.001]; transplant patients were more likely to have multiple tumors (78% vs 28%, P < 0.001).Overall (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were both greater after tumor downstaging and transplantation than resection (all P < 0.001). OS did not differ between liver transplant recipients who were not pretreated or pretreated and failed to downstage compared with propensity-matched liver resection patients (P ≥ 0.176); DFS in this propensity matched cohort was greater after liver transplantation (P ≤ 0.017).ConclusionsLiver resection and transplantation provide curative options for patients with HCC beyond Milan criteria. Further treatment strategies aimed at the efficiency and durability of tumor downstaging and expansion of the role of transplantation among suitable candidates could improve outcomes in patients with large or multifocal HCC.

Dataset Information

Prediction of early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma within the Milan criteria after radical resection.

Publications

Prediction of early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma within the Milan criteria after radical resection.

Similar Datasets

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