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Tumor control probability modeling for stereotactic body radiation therapy of early-stage lung cancer using multiple bio-physical models.

ABSTRACT: This work is to analyze pooled clinical data using different radiobiological models and to understand the relationship between biologically effective dose (BED) and tumor control probability (TCP) for stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) of early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). The clinical data of 1-, 2-, 3-, and 5-year actuarial or Kaplan-Meier TCP from 46 selected studies were collected for SBRT of NSCLC in the literature. The TCP data were separated for Stage T1 and T2 tumors if possible, otherwise collected for combined stages. BED was calculated at isocenters using six radiobiological models. For each model, the independent model parameters were determined from a fit to the TCP data using the least chi-square (?2) method with either one set of parameters regardless of tumor stages or two sets for T1 and T2 tumors separately. The fits to the clinic data yield consistent results of large ?/? ratios of about 20Gy for all models investigated. The regrowth model that accounts for the tumor repopulation and heterogeneity leads to a better fit to the data, compared to other 5 models where the fits were indistinguishable between the models. The models based on the fitting parameters predict that the T2 tumors require about additional 1Gy physical dose at isocenters per fraction (?5 fractions) to achieve the optimal TCP when compared to the T1 tumors. In conclusion, this systematic analysis of a large set of published clinical data using different radiobiological models shows that local TCP for SBRT of early-stage NSCLC has strong dependence on BED with large ?/? ratios of about 20Gy. The six models predict that a BED (calculated with ?/? of 20) of 90Gy is sufficient to achieve TCP?95%. Among the models considered, the regrowth model leads to a better fit to the clinical data.

SUBMITTER: Liu F

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5649355 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Tumor control probability modeling for stereotactic body radiation therapy of early-stage lung cancer using multiple bio-physical models.

Liu Feng F Tai An A Lee Percy P Biswas Tithi T Ding George X GX El Naqa Isaam I Grimm Jimm J Jackson Andrew A Kong Feng-Ming Spring FS LaCouture Tamara T Loo Billy B Miften Moyed M Solberg Timothy T Li X Allen XA

Radiotherapy and oncology : journal of the European Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology 20161118 2

This work is to analyze pooled clinical data using different radiobiological models and to understand the relationship between biologically effective dose (BED) and tumor control probability (TCP) for stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) of early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). The clinical data of 1-, 2-, 3-, and 5-year actuarial or Kaplan-Meier TCP from 46 selected studies were collected for SBRT of NSCLC in the literature. The TCP data were separated for Stage T1 and T2 tumors if p ...[more]

PMID: 27871671

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Project description:PurposeDose escalation improves localized prostate cancer disease control, and moderately hypofractionated external beam radiation is noninferior to conventional fractionation. The evolving treatment approach of ultrahypofractionation with stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) allows possible further biological dose escalation (biologically equivalent dose [BED]) and shortened treatment time.Methods and materialsThe American Association of Physicists in Medicine Working Group on Biological Effects of Hypofractionated Radiation Therapy/SBRT included a subgroup to study the prostate tumor control probability (TCP) with SBRT. We performed a systematic review of the available literature and created a dose-response TCP model for the endpoint of freedom from biochemical relapse. Results were stratified by prostate cancer risk group.ResultsTwenty-five published cohorts were identified for inclusion, with a total of 4821 patients (2235 with low-risk, 1894 with intermediate-risk, and 446 with high-risk disease, when reported) treated with a variety of dose/fractionation schemes, permitting dose-response modeling. Five studies had a median follow-up of more than 5 years. Dosing regimens ranged from 32 to 50 Gy in 4 to 5 fractions, with total BED (α/β = 1.5 Gy) between 183.1 and 383.3 Gy. At 5 years, we found that in patients with low-intermediate risk disease, an equivalent doses of 2 Gy per fraction (EQD2) of 71 Gy (31.7 Gy in 5 fractions) achieved a TCP of 90% and an EQD2 of 90 Gy (36.1 Gy in 5 fractions) achieved a TCP of 95%. In patients with high-risk disease, an EQD2 of 97 Gy (37.6 Gy in 5 fractions) can achieve a TCP of 90% and an EQD2 of 102 Gy (38.7 Gy in 5 fractions) can achieve a TCP of 95%.ConclusionsWe found significant variation in the published literature on target delineation, margins used, dose/fractionation, and treatment schedule. Despite this variation, TCP was excellent. Most prescription doses range from 35 to 40 Gy, delivered in 4 to 5 fractions. The literature did not provide detailed dose-volume data, and our dosimetric analysis was constrained to prescription doses. There are many areas in need of continued research as SBRT continues to evolve as a treatment modality for prostate cancer, including the durability of local control with longer follow-up across risk groups, the efficacy and safety of SBRT as a boost to intensity modulated radiation therapy (IMRT), and the impact of incorporating novel imaging techniques into treatment planning.

Project description:Purpose Our purpose was to determine whether bone density and bone-derived radiomic metrics in combination with dosimetric variables could improve risk stratification of rib fractures after stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) for early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Methods and Materials A retrospective analysis was conducted of patients with early-stage NSCLC treated with SBRT. Dosimetric data and rib radiomic data extracted using PyRadiomics were used for the analysis. A subset of patients had bone density scans that were used to create a predicted bone density score for all patients. A 10-fold cross validated approach with 10 resamples was used to find the top univariate logistic models and elastic net regression models that predicted for rib fracture. Results A total of 192 treatment plans were included in the study with a rib fracture rate of 16.1%. A predicted bone density score was created from a multivariate model with vertebral body Hounsfield units and patient weight, with an R-squared of 0.518 compared with patient dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry T-scores. When analyzing all patients, a low predicted bone density score approached significance for increased risk of rib fracture (P = .07). On competing risk analysis, when stratifying patients based on chest wall V30 Gy and bone density score, those with a V30 Gy ≥30 cc and a low bone density score had a significantly higher risk of rib fracture compared with all other patients (P < .001), with a predicted 2-year risk of rib fracture of 28.6% (95% confidence interval, 17.2%-41.1%) and 4.9% (95% confidence interval, 2.3%-9.0%), respectively. Dosimetric variables were the primary drivers of fracture risk. A multivariate elastic net regression model including all dosimetric variables was the best predictor of rib fracture (area under the curve [AUC], 0.864). Bone density variables (AUC, 0.618) and radiomic variables (AUC, 0.617) have better predictive power than clinical variables that exclude bone density (AUC, 0.538). Conclusion Radiomic features, including a bone density score that includes vertebral body Hounsfield units and radiomic signatures from the ribs, can be used to stratify risk of rib fracture after SBRT for NSCLC.

Dataset Information

Tumor control probability modeling for stereotactic body radiation therapy of early-stage lung cancer using multiple bio-physical models.

Publications

Tumor control probability modeling for stereotactic body radiation therapy of early-stage lung cancer using multiple bio-physical models.

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