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Longitudinal fasting blood glucose patterns and arterial stiffness risk in a population without diabetes.

ABSTRACT: To identify long-term fasting blood glucose trajectories and to assess the association between the trajectories and the risk of arterial stiffness in individuals without diabetes.We enrolled 16,454 non-diabetic participants from Kailuan cohort. Fasting blood glucose concentrations were measured in 2006, 2008, and 2010 survey. Brachial-ankle pulse wave velocities were measured during 2011 to 2016. Multivariate regression model was used to estimate the difference of brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity levels and logistic regression was used to calculate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs) of arterial stiffness risk, according to the fasting blood glucose trajectories.We identified five distinct fasting blood glucose trajectories and each of the trajectories was labeled according to its range and change over 2006-2010 survey: elevated-stable pattern (5.0% of participants), elevated-decreasing pattern (6.6%), moderate-increasing pattern (10.9%), moderate-stable pattern (59.3%), and low-stable pattern (18.2%). After adjustment for potential confounders, individuals with elevated-stable pattern had a 42.6 cm/s (95%CI: 24.7 to 60.6 cm/s) higher brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity level and a 37% (OR 1.37, 95%CI: 1.14 to 1.66) higher arterial stiffness risk, and individuals with moderate-increasing pattern had a 19.6 cm/s (95%CI: 6.9 to 32.3 cm/s) higher brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity level and a 17% (OR 1.17, 95%CI: 1.03 to 1.33) higher arterial stiffness risk, related to individuals with moderate-stable pattern. We did not find significant associations of the elevated-decreasing or low-stable patterns with arterial stiffness. Consistently, the cumulative average, variability, and increased rate of fasting blood glucose during 2006-2010 survey were significantly associated with the arterial stiffness risk.Discrete fasting blood glucose trajectories were associated with the arterial stiffness risk in non-diabetic individuals.

SUBMITTER: Wu Y

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5695806 | biostudies-literature | 2017

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Longitudinal fasting blood glucose patterns and arterial stiffness risk in a population without diabetes.

Wu Yuntao Y Yu Junxing J Jin Cheng C Li Yun Y Su Jinmei J Wei Guoqing G Zheng Xiaoming X Gao Jingsheng J Gao Wenyuan W Wu Shouling S

PloS one 20171120 11

<h4>Objective</h4>To identify long-term fasting blood glucose trajectories and to assess the association between the trajectories and the risk of arterial stiffness in individuals without diabetes.<h4>Methods</h4>We enrolled 16,454 non-diabetic participants from Kailuan cohort. Fasting blood glucose concentrations were measured in 2006, 2008, and 2010 survey. Brachial-ankle pulse wave velocities were measured during 2011 to 2016. Multivariate regression model was used to estimate the difference ...[more]

PMID: 29155890

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Project description:Background Arterial stiffness predicts the risk of cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality and is associated with age and hypertension. However, the magnitude of the relationship between blood pressure (BP) and progression of arterial stiffness is unclear, limiting our understanding of how arterial stiffness mediates clinical effects of hypertension and planning of clinical trials. Methods and Results Medline and EMBASE were searched for prospective studies reporting linear models between baseline BP and progression of arterial stiffness, with and without adjustment for demographic characteristics and baseline stiffness. Standardized and unstandardized β coefficients for pulse wave velocity were combined by fixed and random effects meta-analysis, weighted by the inverse variance. Of 566 fully reviewed articles from 30, 524 titles, 22 populations from 21 reports were included. In 9 cohorts, there were consistent, adjusted associations between baseline systolic BP and progression of arterial stiffness (11 781 patients; standardized β=0.041; 95% CI, 0.026-0.055; P<0.001; P value for heterogeneity=0.70), equivalent to a 1.14-m/s increase in standard carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity per decade per 20-mm Hg systolic BP, independent of age. Unstandardized, adjusted associations were similar (1762 patients; β=0.0047; 95% CI, 0.004-0.006; P<0.001; P value for heterogeneity=0.64), equivalent to a 0.94-m/s increase per decade per 20-mm Hg systolic BP. In limited studies, standardized associations between mean BP and arterial stiffness progression were not significant and heterogeneous (913 patients; β=0.039; 95% CI, -0.008 to 0.086; P=0.11; P value for heterogeneity=0.03). Conclusions Baseline systolic BP was associated with a clinically important progression of arterial stiffness, independent of age, providing a reference for the potential effect of arterial stiffness in mediating changes in clinical outcomes associated with hypertension and providing a reference value to aid clinical trial design.

Dataset Information

Longitudinal fasting blood glucose patterns and arterial stiffness risk in a population without diabetes.

Publications

Longitudinal fasting blood glucose patterns and arterial stiffness risk in a population without diabetes.

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