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Association between borderline dysnatremia and mortality insight into a new data mining approach.

ABSTRACT: Even small variations of serum sodium concentration may be associated with mortality. Our objective was to confirm the impact of borderline dysnatremia for patients admitted to hospital on in-hospital mortality using real life care data from our electronic health record (EHR) and a phenome-wide association analysis (PheWAS).Retrospective observational study based on patient data admitted to Hôpital Européen George Pompidou, between 01/01/2008 and 31/06/2014; including 45,834 patients with serum sodium determinations on admission. We analyzed the association between dysnatremia and in-hospital mortality, using a multivariate logistic regression model to adjust for classical potential confounders. We performed a PheWAS to identify new potential confounders.Hyponatremia and hypernatremia were recorded for 12.0% and 1.0% of hospital stays, respectively. Adjusted odds ratios (ORa) for severe, moderate and borderline hyponatremia were 3.44 (95% CI, 2.41-4.86), 2.48 (95% CI, 1.96-3.13) and 1.98 (95% CI, 1.73-2.28), respectively. ORa for severe, moderate and borderline hypernatremia were 4.07 (95% CI, 2.92-5.62), 4.42 (95% CI, 2.04-9.20) and 3.72 (95% CI, 1.53-8.45), respectively. Borderline hyponatremia (ORa?=?1.57 95% CI, 1.35-1.81) and borderline hypernatremia (ORa?=?3.47 95% CI, 2.43-4.90) were still associated with in-hospital mortality after adjustment for classical and new confounding factors identified through the PheWAS analysis.Borderline dysnatremia on admission are independently associated with a higher risk of in-hospital mortality. By using medical data automatically collected in EHR and a new data mining approach, we identified new potential confounding factors that were highly associated with both mortality and dysnatremia.

SUBMITTER: Girardeau Y

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5700671 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Association between borderline dysnatremia and mortality insight into a new data mining approach.

Girardeau Yannick Y Jannot Anne-Sophie AS Chatellier Gilles G Saint-Jean Olivier O

BMC medical informatics and decision making 20171122 1

<h4>Background</h4>Even small variations of serum sodium concentration may be associated with mortality. Our objective was to confirm the impact of borderline dysnatremia for patients admitted to hospital on in-hospital mortality using real life care data from our electronic health record (EHR) and a phenome-wide association analysis (PheWAS).<h4>Methods</h4>Retrospective observational study based on patient data admitted to Hôpital Européen George Pompidou, between 01/01/2008 and 31/06/2014; in ...[more]

PMID: 29166900

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Project description:BackgroundHyponatremia and hypernatremia, as conventionally defined (<135 mEq/L and >145 mEq/L, respectively), are associated with increased perioperative morbidity and mortality. However, the effects of subtle deviations in serum sodium concentration within the normal range are not well-characterized.ObjectiveThe purpose of this analysis is to determine the association between borderline hyponatremia (135-137 mEq/L) and hypernatremia (143-145 mEq/L) on perioperative morbidity and mortality.MethodsA retrospective cohort study was performed using data from the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database. This database is a repository of surgical outcome data collected from over 600 hospitals across the United States. The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database was queried to extract all patients undergoing elective, noncardiac surgery from 2015 to 2019. The primary predictor variable was preoperative serum sodium concentration, measured less than 5 days before the index surgery. The 2 primary outcomes were the odds of morbidity and mortality occurring within 30 days of surgery. The risk of both outcomes in relation to preoperative serum sodium concentration was modeled using weighted generalized additive models to minimize the effect of selection bias while controlling for covariates.ResultsIn the overall cohort, 1,003,956 of 4,551,726 available patients had a serum sodium concentration drawn within 5 days of their index surgery. The odds of morbidity and mortality across sodium levels of 130-150 mEq/L relative to a sodium level of 140 mEq/L followed a nonnormally distributed U-shaped curve. The mean serum sodium concentration in the study population was 139 mEq/L. All continuous covariates were significantly associated with both morbidity and mortality (P<.001). Preoperative serum sodium concentrations of less than 139 mEq/L and those greater than 144 mEq/L were independently associated with increased morbidity probabilities. Serum sodium concentrations of less than 138 mEq/L and those greater than 142 mEq/L were associated with increased mortality probabilities. Hypernatremia was associated with higher odds of both morbidity and mortality than corresponding degrees of hyponatremia.ConclusionsAmong patients undergoing elective, noncardiac surgery, this retrospective analysis found that preoperative serum sodium levels less than 138 mEq/L and those greater than 142 mEq/L are associated with increased morbidity and mortality, even within currently accepted "normal" ranges. The retrospective nature of this investigation limits the ability to make causal determinations for these findings. Given the U-shaped distribution of risk, past investigations that assume a linear relationship between serum sodium concentration and surgical outcomes may need to be revisited. Likewise, these results question the current definition of perioperative eunatremia, which may require future prospective investigations.

Project description:BACKGROUND: Independence between observations is a standard prerequisite of traditional statistical tests of association. This condition is, however, violated when autocorrelation is present within the data. In the case of variables that are regularly sampled in space (i.e. lattice data or images), such as those provided by remote-sensing or geographical databases, this problem is particularly acute. Because analytic derivation of the null probability distribution of the test statistic (e.g. Pearson's r) is not always possible when autocorrelation is present, we propose instead the use of a Monte Carlo simulation with surrogate data. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: The null hypothesis that two observed mapped variables are the result of independent pattern generating processes is tested here by generating sets of random image data while preserving the autocorrelation function of the original images. Surrogates are generated by matching the dual-tree complex wavelet spectra (and hence the autocorrelation functions) of white noise images with the spectra of the original images. The generated images can then be used to build the probability distribution function of any statistic of association under the null hypothesis. We demonstrate the validity of a statistical test of association based on these surrogates with both actual and synthetic data and compare it with a corrected parametric test and three existing methods that generate surrogates (randomization, random rotations and shifts, and iterative amplitude adjusted Fourier transform). Type I error control was excellent, even with strong and long-range autocorrelation, which is not the case for alternative methods. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: The wavelet-based surrogates are particularly appropriate in cases where autocorrelation appears at all scales or is direction-dependent (anisotropy). We explore the potential of the method for association tests involving a lattice of binary data and discuss its potential for validation of species distribution models. An implementation of the method in Java for the generation of wavelet-based surrogates is available online as supporting material.

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Association between borderline dysnatremia and mortality insight into a new data mining approach.

Publications

Association between borderline dysnatremia and mortality insight into a new data mining approach.

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