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A study on the efficacy of APACHE-IV for predicting mortality and length of stay in an intensive care unit in Iran.

ABSTRACT: Background: Clinical assessment of disease severity is an important part of medical practice for prediction of mortality and morbidity in Intensive Care Unit (ICU). A disease severity scoring system can be used as guidance for clinicians for objective assessment of disease outcomes and estimation of the chance of recovery. This study aimed to evaluate the hypothesis that the mortality and length of stay in emergency ICUs predicted by APACHE-IV is different to the real rates of mortality and length of stay observed in our emergency ICU in Iran. Methods: This was a retrospective cohort study conducted on the data of 839 consecutive patients admitted to the emergency ICU of Nemazi Hospital, Shiraz, Iran, during 2012-2015. The relevant variables were used to calculate APACHE-IV. Length of stay and death or discharge, Glasgow coma score, and acute physiology score were also evaluated. Moreover, the accuracy of APACHE-IV for mortality was assessed using area under the Receiver Operator Characteristic (ROC) curve. Results: Of the studied patients, 157 died and 682 were discharged (non-survivors and survivors, respectively). The length of stay in the ICU was 10.98±14.60, 10.22 ± 14.21 and 14.30±15.80 days for all patients, survivors, and non-survivors, respectively. The results showed that APACHE-IV model underestimated length of stay in our emergency ICU (p<0.001). In addition, the overall observed mortality was 17.8%, while the predicted mortality by APACHE-IV model was 21%. Therefore, there was an overestimation of predicted mortality by APACHE-IV model, with an absolute difference of 3.2% (p=0.036). Conclusion: The findings showed that APACHE-IV was a poor predictor of length of stay and mortality rate in emergency ICU. Therefore, specific models based on big sample sizes of Iranian patients are required to improve accuracy of predictions.

SUBMITTER: Ghorbani M

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5710303 | biostudies-literature | 2017

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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A study on the efficacy of APACHE-IV for predicting mortality and length of stay in an intensive care unit in Iran.

Ghorbani Mohammad M Ghorbani Mohammad M Ghaem Haleh H Rezaianzadeh Abbas A Shayan Zahra Z Zand Farid F Nikandish Reza R

F1000Research 20171120

<b>Background:</b> Clinical assessment of disease severity is an important part of medical practice for prediction of mortality and morbidity in Intensive Care Unit (ICU). A disease severity scoring system can be used as guidance for clinicians for objective assessment of disease outcomes and estimation of the chance of recovery. This study aimed to evaluate the hypothesis that the mortality and length of stay in emergency ICUs predicted by APACHE-IV is different to the real rates of mortality a ...[more]

PMID: 29225783

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Project description:ObjectiveSeveral studies show that chronic opioid dependence leads to higher in-hospital mortality, increased risk of hospital readmissions, and worse outcomes in trauma cases. However, the association of outpatient prescription opioid use on morbidity and mortality has not been adequately evaluated in a critical care setting. The purpose of this study was to determine if there is an association between chronic opioid use and mortality after an ICU admission.DesignA single-center, longitudinal retrospective cohort study of all Intensive Care Unit (ICU) patients admitted to a tertiary-care academic medical center from 2001 to 2012 using the MIMIC-III database.SettingMedical Information Mart for Intensive Care III database based in the United States.PatientsAdult patients 18 years and older were included. Exclusion criteria comprised of patients who expired during their hospital stay or presented with overdose; patients with cancer, anoxic brain injury, non-prescription opioid use; or if an accurate medication reconciliation was unable to be obtained. Patients prescribed chronic opioids were compared with those who had not been prescribed opioids in the outpatient setting.InterventionsNone.Measurements and main resultsThe final sample included a total of 22,385 patients, with 2,621 (11.7%) in the opioid group and 19,764 (88.3%) in the control group. After proceeding with bivariate analyses, statistically significant and clinically relevant differences were identified between opioid and non-opioid users in sex, length of hospital stay, and comorbidities. Opioid use was associated with increased mortality in both the 30-day and 1-year windows with a respective odds ratios of 1.81 (95% CI, 1.63-2.01; p<0.001) and 1.88 (95% CI, 1.77-1.99; p<0.001), respectively.ConclusionsChronic opioid usage was associated with increased hospital length of stay and increased mortality at both 30 days and 1 year after ICU admission. Knowledge of this will help providers make better choices in patient care and have a more informed risk-benefits discussion when prescribing opioids for chronic usage.

Project description:ImportanceLaboratory data are frequently collected throughout the care of critically ill patients. Currently, these data are interpreted by comparison with values from healthy outpatient volunteers. Whether this is the most useful comparison has yet to be demonstrated.ObjectivesTo understand how the distribution of intensive care unit (ICU) laboratory values differs from the reference range, and how these distributions are related to patient outcomes.Design, setting, and participantsCross-sectional study of a large critical care database, the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care database, from January 1, 2001, to October 31, 2012. The database is collected from ICU data from a large tertiary medical center in Boston, Massachusetts. The data are collected from medical, cardiac, neurologic, and surgical ICUs. All patients in the database from all ICUs for 2001 to 2012 were included. Common laboratory measurements over the time window of interest were sampled. The analysis was conducted from March to June 2017.Main outcomes and measuresThe overlapping coefficient and Cohen standardized mean difference between distributions were calculated, and kernel density estimate visualizations for the association between laboratory values and the probability of death or quartile of ICU length of stay were created.ResultsAmong 38?605 patients in the ICU (21?852 [56.6%] male; mean [SD] age, 74.5 [55.1] years), 8878 (23%) had the best outcome (ICU survival, shortest quartile length of stay) and 3090 (8%) had the worst outcome (ICU nonsurvival). Distribution curves based on ICU data differed significantly from the hospital standard range (mean [SD] overlapping coefficient, 0.51 [0.32-0.69]). All laboratory values for the best outcome group differed significantly from those in the worst outcome group. Both the best and worst outcome group curves revealed little overlap with and marked divergence from the reference range.Conclusions and relevanceThe standard reference ranges obtained from healthy volunteers differ from the analogous range generated from data from patients in intensive care. Laboratory data interpretation may benefit from greater consideration of clinically contextual and outcomes-related factors.

Dataset Information

A study on the efficacy of APACHE-IV for predicting mortality and length of stay in an intensive care unit in Iran.

Publications

A study on the efficacy of APACHE-IV for predicting mortality and length of stay in an intensive care unit in Iran.

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