Dataset Information

Accuracy of a Staging System for Prognosis of 5-Year Survival of Patients With Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Who Underwent Chemoradiotherapy.

ABSTRACT:

Importance

Concurrent chemoradiotherapy delivers a high level of tumor control and survival benefits for patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). However, many uncertainties still exist regarding the outcomes of chemoradiotherapy, making a more precise survival prognostic system necessary.

Objective

To introduce a new staging system that combines tumor and clinical characteristics to improve the accuracy of prognosis for patients with NPC.

Design, setting, and participants

This cohort study enrolled 207 patients with newly diagnosed NPC who underwent concurrent chemoradiotherapy between January 1, 2007, and December 31, 2014, at Chi-Mei Medical Center in Tainan, Taiwan. Data on these patients were collected from the cancer registry database of the Chi-Mei Medical Center. Patients who had a history of cancer or were unable to complete a full course of radiotherapy were excluded. Follow-up was completed on September 30, 2016, and the data analysis was performed from January 1, 2017, to February 28, 2017.

Main outcomes and measures

The risk factors associated with 5-year disease-specific survival were incorporated into the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) and the International Union Against Cancer TNM staging system to construct a new prognostic staging system. The ?2 test for linear trend, the Akaike information criterion, and the C statistic were used to evaluate the monotonicity and discriminatory ability of the new prognostic staging system and the AJCC TNM staging system.

Results

Of the 207 patients enrolled in the study, 157 (75.8%) were men, and the mean (SD) age was 48 (11) years. Multivariate analysis identified advanced clinical T stage (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 3.20; 95% CI, 1.58-6.48), poor performance status (aHR, 2.62; 95% CI, 1.30-5.28), and cumulative cisplatin dose lower than 100 mg/m2 (aHR, 2.28; 95% CI, 1.10-4.74) as independent prognostic factors. The ? coefficients from the Cox proportional hazards regression model were used to develop an integer-based, weighted point system; advanced clinical T stage, poor performance, and cumulative cisplatin dose lower than 100 mg/m2 were each assigned a score of 1. The sum of these risk scores was stratified into new stage I (score of 0), new stage II (score of 1), new stage III (score of 2), and new stage IV (score of 3). Compared with the AJCC TNM staging system, the new prognostic staging category had better monotonicity with a higher ?2 value (17.8 vs 25.6) for linear trend, better discriminatory ability with a smaller Akaike information criterion (367 vs 360), and a greater C statistic (0.702 vs 0.740) for 5-year disease-specific survival.

Conclusions and relevance

The new prognostic staging system has a better accuracy of prognosis of survival than the routinely used AJCC TNM staging system and thus is more useful in identifying high-risk patients for more intense treatment and care.

SUBMITTER: Huang CI

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5710352 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Accuracy of a Staging System for Prognosis of 5-Year Survival of Patients With Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Who Underwent Chemoradiotherapy.

Huang Chung-I CI Chen Li-Fu LF Chang Shih-Lun SL Wu Hung-Chang HC Ting Wei-Chen WC Yang Ching-Chieh CC

JAMA otolaryngology-- head & neck surgery 20171101 11

<h4>Importance</h4>Concurrent chemoradiotherapy delivers a high level of tumor control and survival benefits for patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). However, many uncertainties still exist regarding the outcomes of chemoradiotherapy, making a more precise survival prognostic system necessary.<h4>Objective</h4>To introduce a new staging system that combines tumor and clinical characteristics to improve the accuracy of prognosis for patients with NPC.<h4>Design, setting, and participants ...[more]

PMID: 28975193

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Project description:BackgroundThe present study aimed to construct a prognostic nomogram including Epstein-Barr virus DNA (EBV-DNA) and sarcopenia in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) receiving concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT).MethodsIn this retrospective analysis, we studied 1,045 patients with NPC who had been treated with CCRT between 2010 and 2014. Sarcopenia was determined using routine pre-radiotherapy computed tomography scans of the third cervical vertebrae. A new S-E grade was constructed using a receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses determined cutoff values of sarcopenia and plasma EBV-DNA. The nomogram was developed base on the sarcopenia-EBV (S-E) grade and traditional prognostic factors. A calibration curve, time-dependent ROC, decision curve analysis, and the concordance index (C-index) determined the accuracy of prediction and discrimination of the nomogram, and were compared with TNM staging system and a traditional nomogram.ResultsPatient survival was significantly different when sarcopenia (P < 0.001) or EBV-DNA (P = 0.001) were used and they continued to be independent prognostic factors for survival upon univariate (P < 0.001, P = 0.002, respectively) and multivariate (P < 0.001, P = 0.015, respectively) analyses. Predicting overall survival (OS) was more accurate using the S-E grade than using TNM staging and sarcopenia or EBV-DNA alone. Nomogram B (model with sarcopenia) or nomogram A (model without sarcopenia) were then developed based on the identified independent prognostic factors. Comparing nomogram prediction with actual observation showed good agreement among the calibration curves for probability of 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS. Predicted survival (C-index = 0.77) of nomogram B was statistically higher than that of nomogram A (0.676, P = 0.020) and TNM staging (0.604, P < 0.001). Risk group stratification could distinguish between survival curves within respective TNM stages (all stages, P < 0.001; stage III, P < 0.001; stage IV, P = 0.002).ConclusionsThe sarcopenia-EBV DNA nomogram allowed more accurate prediction of prognosis for patients with NPC receiving CCRT.

Project description:BackgroundIn 2018, a revised staging system was released for cervical cancer, which defined pelvic and paraaortic lymph node metastasis as stages IIIC1 and IIIC2, respectively. In this study, we constructed and validated nomograms to predict the 3- and 5-year survival of patients with cervical cancer based on the revised International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) staging system.MethodsWe retrospectively examined patients with 2009 FIGO stage IB-IVA cervical cancer who were treated at our institute between 2011 and 2015. Patients were randomized into the model development and validation cohorts (2:1). Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted for the model development cohort to identify prognostic factors. In the multivariate analysis, nomograms were built to predict overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) using significant variables. The nomograms were assessed based on the discrimination and calibration in both cohorts. Discrimination was assessed using the concordance index. Calibration was performed by comparing the mean nomogram estimated survival and the mean observed survival.ResultsWe included 1,192 patients, with 795 and 397 patients in the model development and validation cohorts, respectively. In the model development cohort, the median follow-up period was 49.2 months. After multivariate analysis, age, histology, 2018 FIGO stage, and pelvic lymph node number were independent factors for OS. Histology, 2018 FIGO stage, squamous cell carcinoma antigen, and pelvic lymph node number were significant predictors of DFS. The nomograms constructed to predict OS and DFS were based on these factors. In both model cohorts, the concordance index for the nomogram-predicted OS and DFS was 0.78 and 0.75 and 0.74 and 0.67, respectively. The calibration curve revealed good agreement between the nomogram predictions and actual values.ConclusionWe constructed robust nomograms to predict the OS and DFS of patients with cervical cancer undergoing treatment with concurrent chemoradiotherapy based on the 2018 FIGO staging system.

Project description:Importance:The role of induction chemotherapy (IC) or adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) in the treatment of locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) remains controversial. Objectives:To update meta-analyses on the association of survival outcomes with IC and AC regimens in patients with locoregionally advanced NPC and assess whether the current evidence is conclusive by a trial sequential analysis (TSA) approach. Data Sources:PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science were searched for articles published from inception until June 1, 2019. Study Selection:Randomized clinical trials that assessed the efficacy of radiotherapy with or without chemotherapy among previously untreated patients and patients with nondistant metastatic NPC. Data Extraction and Synthesis:Data were extracted by 2 investigators from each trial independently and synthesized by the 2 investigators. All trial results were combined and analyzed by a fixed- or random-effects model. Main Outcomes and Measures:Overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), and locoregional recurrence-free survival (LRFS). Results:A total of 8036 patients (median age, 46.5 years; 5872 [73.1%] male) from 28 randomized clinical trials were included in the analysis. Pooled analyses revealed that concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) was significantly associated with improved OS, PFS, DMFS, and LRFS compared with radiotherapy across all subgroups. The TSA confirmed the treatment outcomes of CCRT compared with radiotherapy. The additional IC regimen was associated with an improvement in OS (hazard ratio [HR], 0.84; 95% CI, 0.74-0.95), PFS (HR, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.64-0.84), DMFS (HR, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.59-0.78), and LRFS (HR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.64-0.85). These findings were consistent in subgroup analyses of multicenter trials with sample sizes greater than 250, years of survival rate of 5 or greater, median follow-up longer than 5 years, or low risk of bias. However, the additional AC regimen was not associated with a survival benefit in OS (HR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.78-1.23), PFS (HR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.70-1.07), DMFS (HR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.64-1.10), or LRFS (HR, 0.80, 95% CI, 0.59-1.09). The TSA provided sound evidence on the additional benefit of IC but not AC. Conclusions and Relevance:These data suggest a significant association of survival outcomes with CCRT in patients with locoregionally advanced NPC. The addition of IC instead of AC could achieve survival benefits. The potential therapeutic gain of AC should be explored in the future.

Dataset Information

Accuracy of a Staging System for Prognosis of 5-Year Survival of Patients With Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Who Underwent Chemoradiotherapy.

Importance

Objective

Design, setting, and participants

Main outcomes and measures

Results

Conclusions and relevance

Publications

Accuracy of a Staging System for Prognosis of 5-Year Survival of Patients With Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Who Underwent Chemoradiotherapy.

Similar Datasets

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