Project description:Despite advancements in ventilator technologies, lung supportive and rescue therapies, the outcome and prognostication in acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) remains incremental and ambiguous. Metabolomics is a potential insightful measure to the diagnostic approaches practiced in critical disease settings. In our study patients diagnosed with mild and moderate/severe ARDS clinically governed by hypoxemic P/F ratio between 100-300 but with indistinct molecular phenotype were discriminated employing nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) based metabolomics of mini bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (mBALF). Resulting biomarker prototype comprising six metabolites was substantiated highlighting ARDS susceptibility/recovery. Both the groups (mild and moderate/severe ARDS) showed distinct biochemical profile based on 83.3% classification by discriminant function analysis and cross validated accuracy of 91% using partial least squares discriminant analysis as major classifier. The predictive performance of narrowed down six metabolites were found analogous with chemometrics. The proposed biomarker model consisting of six metabolites proline, lysine/arginine, taurine, threonine and glutamate were found characteristic of ARDS sub-stages with aberrant metabolism observed mainly in arginine, proline metabolism, lysine synthesis and so forth correlating to diseased metabotype. Thus NMR based metabolomics has provided new insight into ARDS sub-stages and conclusively a precise biomarker model proposed, reflecting underlying metabolic dysfunction aiding prior clinical decision making.
Project description:ObjectiveTo identify early predictors of disease activity at 18 months in JIA using clinical and biomarker profiling.MethodsClinical and biomarker data were collected at JIA diagnosis in a prospective longitudinal inception cohort of 82 children with non-systemic JIA, and their ability to predict an active joint count of 0, a physician global assessment of disease activity of ≤1 cm, and inactive disease by Wallace 2004 criteria 18 months later was assessed. Correlation-based feature selection and ReliefF were used to shortlist predictors and random forest models were trained to predict outcomes.ResultsFrom the original 112 features, 13 effectively predicted 18-month outcomes. They included age, number of active/effused joints, wrist, ankle and/or knee involvement, ESR, ANA positivity and plasma levels of five inflammatory biomarkers (IL-10, IL-17, IL-12p70, soluble low-density lipoprotein receptor-related protein 1 and vitamin D), at enrolment. The clinical plus biomarker panel predicted active joint count = 0, physician global assessment ≤ 1, and inactive disease after 18 months with 0.79, 0.80 and 0.83 accuracy and 0.84, 0.83, 0.88 area under the curve, respectively. Using clinical features alone resulted in 0.75, 0.72 and 0.80 accuracy, and area under the curve values of 0.81, 0.78 and 0.83, respectively.ConclusionA panel of five plasma biomarkers combined with clinical features at the time of diagnosis more accurately predicted short-term disease activity in JIA than clinical characteristics alone. If validated in external cohorts, such a panel may guide more rationally conceived, biologically based, personalized treatment strategies in early JIA.
Project description:Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is a devastating critical care syndrome with significant morbidity and mortality. The objective of this study was to evaluate the predictive values of dynamic clinical indices by developing machine-learning (ML) models for early and accurate clinical assessment of the disease prognosis of ARDS. We conducted a retrospective observational study by applying dynamic clinical data collected in the ARDSNet FACTT Trial (n = 1000) to ML-based algorithms for predicting mortality. In order to compare the significance of clinical features dynamically, we further applied the random forest (RF) model to nine selected clinical parameters acquired at baseline and day 3 independently. An RF model trained using clinical data collected at day 3 showed improved performance and prognostication efficacy (area under the curve [AUC]: 0.84, 95% CI: 0.78-0.89) compared to baseline with an AUC value of 0.72 (95% CI: 0.65-0.78). Mean airway pressure (MAP), bicarbonate, age, platelet count, albumin, heart rate, and glucose were the most significant clinical indicators associated with mortality at day 3. Thus, clinical features collected early (day 3) improved performance of integrative ML models with better prognostication for mortality. Among these, MAP represented the most important feature for ARDS patients' early risk stratification.
Project description:Metabolomics is increasingly being applied towards the identification of biomarkers for disease diagnosis, prognosis and risk prediction. Unfortunately among the many published metabolomic studies focusing on biomarker discovery, there is very little consistency and relatively little rigor in how researchers select, assess or report their candidate biomarkers. In particular, few studies report any measure of sensitivity, specificity, or provide receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves with associated confidence intervals. Even fewer studies explicitly describe or release the biomarker model used to generate their ROC curves. This is surprising given that for biomarker studies in most other biomedical fields, ROC curve analysis is generally considered the standard method for performance assessment. Because the ultimate goal of biomarker discovery is the translation of those biomarkers to clinical practice, it is clear that the metabolomics community needs to start "speaking the same language" in terms of biomarker analysis and reporting-especially if it wants to see metabolite markers being routinely used in the clinic. In this tutorial, we will first introduce the concept of ROC curves and describe their use in single biomarker analysis for clinical chemistry. This includes the construction of ROC curves, understanding the meaning of area under ROC curves (AUC) and partial AUC, as well as the calculation of confidence intervals. The second part of the tutorial focuses on biomarker analyses within the context of metabolomics. This section describes different statistical and machine learning strategies that can be used to create multi-metabolite biomarker models and explains how these models can be assessed using ROC curves. In the third part of the tutorial we discuss common issues and potential pitfalls associated with different analysis methods and provide readers with a list of nine recommendations for biomarker analysis and reporting. To help readers test, visualize and explore the concepts presented in this tutorial, we also introduce a web-based tool called ROCCET (ROC Curve Explorer & Tester, http://www.roccet.ca). ROCCET was originally developed as a teaching aid but it can also serve as a training and testing resource to assist metabolomics researchers build biomarker models and conduct a range of common ROC curve analyses for biomarker studies.
Project description:BackgroundUnderstanding heterogeneity seen in patients with COVIDARDS and comparing to non-COVIDARDS may inform tailored treatments.MethodsA multidisciplinary team of frontline clinicians and data scientists worked to create the Northwell COVIDARDS dataset (NorthCARDS) leveraging over 11,542 COVID-19 hospital admissions. The data was then summarized to examine descriptive differences based on clinically meaningful categories of lung compliance, and to examine trends in oxygenation.FindingsOf the 1536 COVIDARDS patients in the NorthCARDS dataset, there were 531 (34.6%) who had very low lung compliance (< 20 ml/cmH2O), 970 (63.2%) with low-normal compliance (20-50 ml/cmH2O), and 35 (2.2%) with high lung compliance (> 50 ml/cmH2O). The very low compliance group had double the median time to intubation compared to the low-normal group (107.3 h (IQR 25.8, 239.2) vs. 39.5 h (IQR 5.4, 91.6)). Overall, 68.8% (n = 1057) of the patients died during hospitalization. In comparison to non-COVIDARDS reports, there were less patients in the high compliance category (2.2% vs. 12%, compliance ≥ 50 mL/cmH20), and more patients with P/F ≤ 150 (59.8% vs. 45.6%). There is a statistically significant correlation between compliance and P/F ratio. The Oxygenation Index is the highest in the very low compliance group (12.51, SD(6.15)), and lowest in high compliance group (8.78, SD(4.93)).ConclusionsThe respiratory system compliance distribution of COVIDARDS is similar to non-COVIDARDS. In some patients, there may be a relation between time to intubation and duration of high levels of supplemental oxygen treatment on trajectory of lung compliance.
Project description:BackgroundAs the COVID-19 pandemic strains healthcare systems worldwide, finding predictive markers of severe courses remains urgent. Most research so far was limited to selective questions hindering general assumptions for short- and long-term outcome.MethodsIn this prospective single-center biomarker study, 47 blood- and 21 bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) samples were collected from 47 COVID-19 intensive care unit (ICU) patients upon admission. Expression of inflammatory markers toll-like receptor 3 (TLR3), heme oxygenase-1 (HO-1), interleukin (IL)-6, IL-8, leukocyte counts, procalcitonin (PCT) and carboxyhemoglobin (CO-Hb) was compared to clinical course. Clinical assessment comprised acute local organ damage, acute systemic damage, mortality and outcome after 6 months.ResultsPCT correlated with acute systemic damage and was the best predictor for quality of life (QoL) after 6 months (r = - 0.4647, p = 0.0338). Systemic TLR3 negatively correlated with impaired lung function (ECMO/ECLS: r = - 0.3810, p = 0.0107) and neurological short- (RASS mean: r = 0.4474, p = 0.0023) and long-term outcome (mRS after 6 m: r = - 0.3184, p = 0.0352). Systemic IL-8 correlated with impaired lung function (ECMO/ECLS: r = 0.3784, p = 0.0161) and neurological involvement (RASS mean: r = - 0.5132, p = 0.0007). IL-6 in BAL correlated better to the clinical course than systemic IL-6. Using three multivariate regression models, we describe prediction models for local and systemic damage as well as QoL. CO-Hb mean and max were associated with higher mortality.ConclusionsOur predictive models using the combination of Charlson Comorbidity Index, sex, procalcitonin, systemic TLR3 expression and IL-6 and IL-8 in BAL were able to describe a broad range of clinically relevant outcomes in patients with severe COVID-19-associated ARDS. Using these models might proof useful in risk stratification and predicting disease course in the future. Trial registration The trial was registered with the German Clinical Trials Register (Trial-ID DRKS00021522, registered 22/04/2020).
Project description:A recent study suggests that systemic hypoxemia in adult male mice can induce cardiac myocytes to proliferate. The goal of the present experiments was to confirm these results, provide new insights on the mechanisms that induce adult cardiomyocyte cell cycle re-entry, and to determine if hypoxemia also induces cardiomyocyte proliferation in female mice. We also analyzed gene expression using data obtained from RNAseq of ventricular heart tissue from male and female mice subjected to either normoxia or hypoxia.
Project description:Following publication of the original article [1], we have been notified that only the 11 members of the writing committee are listed as the collaborators of the SRLF Trial group.
Project description:In recent years, mass spectrometry (MS)-based metabolomics has been extensively applied to characterize biochemical mechanisms, and study physiological processes and phenotypic changes associated with disease. Metabolomics has also been important for identifying biomarkers of interest suitable for clinical diagnosis. For the purpose of predictive modeling, in this chapter, we will review various supervised learning algorithms such as random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and partial least squares-discriminant analysis (PLS-DA). In addition, we will also review feature selection methods for identifying the best combination of metabolites for an accurate predictive model. We conclude with best practices for reproducibility by including internal and external replication, reporting metrics to assess performance, and providing guidelines to avoid overfitting and to deal with imbalanced classes. An analysis of an example data will illustrate the use of different machine learning methods and performance metrics.