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A targeted approach for routine viral load monitoring in Malawian adults on antiretroviral therapy.

ABSTRACT: OBJECTIVES:WHO recommends HIV viral load (VL) testing 6 months after antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation and every 12 months thereafter, but cost prohibits routine, universal VL testing in many developing countries. We sought to devise a targeted approach to routine VL monitoring that could reduce cost and identify those at low risk for virologic failure (VF). METHODS:We analysed screening data from a clinical trial enrolling adults on ART in Malawi. We identified risk factors associated with VF and employed the Knill-Jones method to assign summary score identifying persons at lower risk for VF. RESULTS:Among 957 adults, prevalence of VF was 9.4%. Factors independently associated with VF included age <38 years (OR 3.44, 95% CI 2.01-5.89), ART duration >2.5 years (OR 2.98, 95% CI 1.79-4.96), ART adherence <95% (OR 1.76, 95% CI 1.06-2.94), CD4 count <200 cells/?l (OR 5.94, 95% CI 3.27-10.78), haemoglobin <13 g/dl (OR 2.76, 95% CI 1.70-4.50) and CD8 count >885 cells/?l (OR 2.10, 95% CI 1.28-3.44). Our VF prediction summary score included all factors above except CD8 count and was fairly accurate with validated area under receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.76. Implementation could reduce VL testing by 65%. CONCLUSION:A simple score incorporating age, ART duration and adherence, and CD4 count can accurately identify adults at low risk for VF in a sub-Saharan African setting. In areas with high ART utilisation and limited VL testing capacity, a targeted approach could optimise routine VL monitoring while identifying adults in need of alternate ART regimens.

SUBMITTER: Mungwira RG

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5932246 | biostudies-literature | 2018 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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A targeted approach for routine viral load monitoring in Malawian adults on antiretroviral therapy.

Mungwira Randy G RG Divala Titus H TH Nyirenda Osward M OM Kanjala Maxwell M Muwalo Francis F Mkandawire Felix A FA Choko Augustine A Taylor Terrie E TE Mallewa Jane J van Oosterhout Joep J JJ Laufer Miriam K MK Laurens Matthew B MB

Tropical medicine & international health : TM & IH 20180330 5

<h4>Objectives</h4>WHO recommends HIV viral load (VL) testing 6 months after antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation and every 12 months thereafter, but cost prohibits routine, universal VL testing in many developing countries. We sought to devise a targeted approach to routine VL monitoring that could reduce cost and identify those at low risk for virologic failure (VF).<h4>Methods</h4>We analysed screening data from a clinical trial enrolling adults on ART in Malawi. We identified risk factors ...[more]

PMID: 29505108

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Project description:IntroductionHIV viral load (VL) testing is recommended by the WHO as the preferred method for monitoring patients on antiretroviral therapy (ART). However, evidence that routine VL (RVL) monitoring improves clinical outcomes is lacking.MethodsWe conducted a prospective, randomized controlled trial of RVL monitoring every six months versus a targeted VL (TVL) strategy (routine CD4 plus VL testing if clinical or immunological failure) in patients starting ART between April 2011 and April 2014 at Bach Mai Hospital in Hanoi. Six hundred and forty-seven subjects were randomized to RVL (n = 305) or TVL monitoring (n = 342) and followed up for three years. Primary endpoints were death or WHO clinical Stage 4 events between six and thirty-six months of ART and rate of virological suppression at three years.ResultsOverall, 37.1% of subjects were female, median age was 33.4 years (IQR: 29.5 to 38.6), and 47% had a CD4 count ≤100 cells/mm3 at time of ART initiation. Approximately 44% of study events (death, LTFU, withdrawal, or Stage 4 event) and 68% of deaths occurred within the first six months of ART. Among patients on ART at six months, death or Stage 4 event occurred in 3.6% of RVL and 3.9% of TVL (p = 0.823). Survival analysis showed no significant difference between the groups (p = 0.825). Viral suppression at 36 months of ART was 97.2% in RVL and 98.9% in TVL (p = 0.206) at a threshold of 400 copies/mL and was 98.0% in RVL and 98.9% in TVL (p = 0.488) at 1000 copies/mL. In ITT analysis, 20.7% in RVL and 21.9% in TVL (p = 0.693) were unsuppressed at 1000 copies/mL.ConclusionsWe found no significant difference in rates of death or Stage 4 events and virological failure in patients with RVL monitoring compared to those monitored with a TVL strategy after three years of follow-up. Viral suppression rates were high overall and there were few study events among patients alive and on ART after six months, limiting the study's power to detect a difference among study arms. Nonetheless, these data suggest that the choice of VL monitoring strategy may have less impact on patient outcomes compared to efforts to reduce early mortality and improve ART retention.

Project description:High HIV viral load (VL >100,000 cp/ml) is associated with increased HIV transmission risk, faster progression to AIDS, and reduced response to some antiretroviral regimens. To better understand factors associated with high VL, we examined characteristics of patients presenting for treatment in Hanoi, Vietnam. We examined baseline data from the Viral Load Monitoring in Vietnam Study, a randomized controlled trial of routine VL monitoring in a population starting antiretroviral therapy (ART) at a clinic in Hanoi. Patients with prior treatment failure or ART resistance were excluded. Characteristics examined included demographics, clinical and laboratory data, and substance use. Logistic regression was used to calculate crude and adjusted odds ratios (aOR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). Out of 636 patients, 62.7% were male, 72.9% were ≥30 years old, and 28.3% had a history of drug injection. Median CD4 was 132 cells/mm3, and 34.9% were clinical stage IV. Active cigarette smoking was reported by 36.3% with 14.0% smoking >10 cigarettes per day. Alcohol consumption was reported by 20.1% with 6.1% having ≥5 drinks per event. Overall 53.0% had a VL >100,000 cp/ml. Male gender, low body weight, low CD4 count, prior TB, and cigarette smoking were associated with high VL. Those who smoked 1-10 cigarettes per day were more likely to have high VL (aOR = 1.99, 95% CI = 1.15-3.45), while the smaller number of patients who smoked >10 cigarettes per day had a non-significant trend toward higher VL (aOR = 1.41, 95% CI = 0.75-2.66). Alcohol consumption was not significantly associated with high VL. Tobacco use is increasingly recognized as a contributor to premature morbidity and mortality among HIV-infected patients. In our study, cigarette smoking in the last 30 days was associated with a 1.5 to 2-fold higher odds of having an HIV VL >100,000 cp/ml among patients presenting for ART. These findings provide further evidence of the negative effects of tobacco use among HIV-infected patients.

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A targeted approach for routine viral load monitoring in Malawian adults on antiretroviral therapy.

Publications

A targeted approach for routine viral load monitoring in Malawian adults on antiretroviral therapy.

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