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Decreasing mortality and disease severity in hepatitis C patients awaiting liver transplantation in the United States.

ABSTRACT: Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection has been the leading indication for liver transplantation (LT) in the United States. Since 2013, interferon-free antiviral therapy has led to sustained virological response in many LT candidates. We compared the wait-list mortality of HCV patients with that of patients with other chronic liver diseases. Data for primary LT candidates were obtained from the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network database. Adult wait-list registrants were divided into 3 cohorts: cohort 1 included patients on the waiting list as of January 1, 2004; cohort 2 as of January 1, 2009; and cohort 3 as of January 1, 2014. The primary outcome was wait-list mortality, and the secondary outcome was the rate of change in Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis was performed to evaluate 12-month wait-list mortality. The cohorts included 7627 LT candidates with HCV and 13,748 patients without HCV. Compared with cohort 2, HCV patients in cohort 3 had a 21% lower risk of death (hazard ratio [HR], 0.79; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.67-0.93). Among patients with non-HCV liver disease, no difference in mortality was seen between cohorts 2 and 3 (HR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.86-1.09). Among HCV patients, the mean rate of change in MELD decreased from 2.35 per year for cohort 2 to 1.90 per year for cohort 3, compared with 1.90 and 1.66 in cohorts 2 and 3, respectively, among non-HCV patients. In this population-based study, wait-list mortality and progression of disease severity decreased in recent HCV patients for whom direct-acting antiviral agents were available. Liver Transplantation 24 735-743 2018 AASLD.

SUBMITTER: Kwong A

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5945341 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Decreasing mortality and disease severity in hepatitis C patients awaiting liver transplantation in the United States.

Kwong Allison A Kim W Ray WR Mannalithara Ajitha A Heo Nae-Yun NY Udompap Prowpanga P Kim Donghee D

Liver transplantation : official publication of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases and the International Liver Transplantation Society 20180325 6

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection has been the leading indication for liver transplantation (LT) in the United States. Since 2013, interferon-free antiviral therapy has led to sustained virological response in many LT candidates. We compared the wait-list mortality of HCV patients with that of patients with other chronic liver diseases. Data for primary LT candidates were obtained from the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network database. Adult wait-list registrants were divided into 3 coh ...[more]

PMID: 29125676

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Project description:Donor livers are offered to patients with the highest risk of death. How ascites could inform risk models to reduce liver transplant wait-list mortality is unclear. All adult candidates for primary liver transplantation for cirrhosis without exception points who were registered with the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network from 2005 to 2007 composed our study cohort. Using Cox models and advanced discriminative metrics and paying attention to geographic disparities, we evaluated the additional risk discrimination of moderate ascites over that of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) or the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease plus serum sodium (MELD-Na) alone for the prediction of 90-day wait-list mortality. Additional analyses examined lower mortality risk candidates and those listed in high-demand, low-supply United Network for Organ Sharing regions in which accounting for ascites may most significantly affect wait-list mortality. Between 2005 and 2007, 18,124 subjects were listed for liver transplantation. Mortality was higher in patients with moderate ascites (15.4% versus 6.0%, P < 0.0001), and this risk persisted despite adjustments for MELD (hazard ratio = 1.58, 95% confidence interval = 1.42-1.76) and MELD-Na (hazard ratio = 1.42, 95% confidence interval = 1.28-1.58). The effect of moderate ascites was more prominent with a MELD score <21 (equal to 4.7 MELD units) or with a MELD-Na score <21 (equal to 3.5 MELD-Na units). Wait-list mortality was higher in patients with moderate ascites who were listed in high-demand, limited-supply regions (25.8% versus 17.5% at 1 year, P < 0.01). With the addition of moderate ascites, there was improvement in the overall risk model, particularly with a MELD score <21, as measured by the C index and integrated discrimination improvement. Moderate ascites informed risk prediction, particularly with a MELD score <21 and in high-demand, limited-supply regions. Under the MELD system, the presence of moderate ascites should prompt clinicians to consider strategies to expand access to transplantation, such as the use of extended donor liver grafts.

Dataset Information

Decreasing mortality and disease severity in hepatitis C patients awaiting liver transplantation in the United States.

Publications

Decreasing mortality and disease severity in hepatitis C patients awaiting liver transplantation in the United States.

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