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Predictivity of clinical, laboratory and imaging findings in diagnostic definition of palpable thyroid nodules. A multicenter prospective study.

ABSTRACT: PURPOSE:To assess the role of clinical, biochemical, and morphological parameters, as added to cytology, for improving pre-surgical diagnosis of palpable thyroid nodules. METHODS:Patients with a palpable thyroid nodule were eligible if surgical intervention was indicated after a positive or suspicious for malignancy FNAC (TIR 4-5 according to the 2007 Italian SIAPEC-IAP classification), or two inconclusive FNAC at a ?3 months interval, or a negative FNAC associated with one or more risk factor. Reference standard was histological malignancy diagnosis. Likelihood ratios of malignancy, sensitivity, specificity, negative (NPV), and positive predictive value (PPV) were described. Multiple correspondence analysis (MCA) and logistic regression were applied. RESULTS:Cancer was found in 433/902 (48%) patients. Considering TIR4-5 only as positive cytology, specificity, and PPV were high (94 and 91%) but sensitivity and NPV were low (61 and 72%); conversely, including TIR3 among positive, sensitivity and NPV were higher (88 and 82%) while specificity and PPV decreased (52 and 63%). Ultrasonographic size ?3?cm was independently associated with benignity among TIR2 cases (OR of malignancy 0.37, 95% CI 0.18-0.78). In TIR3 cases the hard consistency of small nodules was associated with malignity (OR: 3.51, 95% CI 1.84-6.70, p?

SUBMITTER: Chiofalo MG

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5997121 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Predictivity of clinical, laboratory and imaging findings in diagnostic definition of palpable thyroid nodules. A multicenter prospective study.

Chiofalo Maria Grazia MG Signoriello Simona S Fulciniti Franco F Avenia Nicola N Ristagno Serenella S Lombardi Celestino Pio CP Nicolosi Angelo A Pelizzo Maria Rosa MR Perigli Giuliano G Polistena Andrea A Panebianco Vincenzo V Bellantone Rocco R Calò Pietro Giorgio PG Boschin Isabella Merante IM Badii Benedetta B Di Maio Massimo M Gallo Ciro C Perrone Francesco F Pezzullo Luciano L

Endocrine 20180322 1

<h4>Purpose</h4>To assess the role of clinical, biochemical, and morphological parameters, as added to cytology, for improving pre-surgical diagnosis of palpable thyroid nodules.<h4>Methods</h4>Patients with a palpable thyroid nodule were eligible if surgical intervention was indicated after a positive or suspicious for malignancy FNAC (TIR 4-5 according to the 2007 Italian SIAPEC-IAP classification), or two inconclusive FNAC at a ≥3 months interval, or a negative FNAC associated with one or mor ...[more]

PMID: 29569123

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Project description:Background: Although most thyroid nodules with indeterminate cytology are benign, in most of the world, surgery remains as the most frequent diagnostic approach. We have previously reported a 10-gene thyroid genetic classifier, which accurately predicts benign thyroid nodules. The assay is a prototype diagnostic kit suitable for reference laboratory testing and could potentially avoid unnecessary diagnostic surgery in patients with indeterminate thyroid cytology. Methods: Classifier performance was tested in two independent, ethnically diverse, prospective multicenter trials (TGCT-1/Chile and TGCT-2/USA). A total of 4061 fine-needle aspirations were collected from 15 institutions, of which 897 (22%) were called indeterminate. The clinical site was blind to the classifier score and the clinical laboratory blind to the pathology report. A matched surgical pathology and valid classifier score was available for 270 samples. Results: Cohorts showed significant differences, including (i) clinical site patient source (academic, 43% and 97% for TGCT-1 and -2, respectively); (ii) ethnic diversity, with a greater proportion of the Hispanic population (40% vs. 3%) for TGCT-1 and a greater proportion of African American (11% vs. 0%) and Asian (10% vs. 1%) populations for TGCT-2; and (iii) tumor size (mean of 1.7 and 2.5?cm for TGCT-1 and -2, respectively). Overall, there were no differences in the histopathological profile between cohorts. Forty-one of 155 and 45 of 115 nodules were malignant (cancer prevalence of 26% and 39% for TGCT-1 and -2, respectively). The classifier predicted 37 of 41 and 41 of 45 malignant nodules, yielding a sensitivity of 90% [95% confidence interval; CI 77-97] and 91% [95% CI 79-98] for TGCT-1 and -2, respectively. One hundred one of 114 and 61 of 70 nodules were correctly predicted as benign, yielding a specificity of 89% [95% CI 82-94] and 87% [95% CI 77-94], respectively. The negative predictive values for TGCT-1 and TGCT-2 were 96% and 94%, respectively, whereas the positive predictive values were 74% and 82%, respectively. The overall accuracy for both cohorts was 89%. Conclusions: Clinical validation of the classifier demonstrates equivalent performance in two independent and ethnically diverse cohorts, accurately predicting benign thyroid nodules that can undergo surveillance as an alternative to diagnostic surgery.

Project description:ImportanceApproximately 20% of fine-needle aspirations (FNA) of thyroid nodules have indeterminate cytology, most frequently Bethesda category III or IV. Diagnostic surgeries can be avoided for these patients if the nodules are reliably diagnosed as benign without surgery.ObjectiveTo determine the diagnostic accuracy of a multigene classifier (GC) test (ThyroSeq v3) for cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules.Design, setting, and participantsProspective, blinded cohort study conducted at 10 medical centers, with 782 patients with 1013 nodules enrolled. Eligibility criteria were met in 256 patients with 286 nodules; central pathology review was performed on 274 nodules.InterventionsA total of 286 FNA samples from thyroid nodules underwent molecular analysis using the multigene GC (ThyroSeq v3).Main outcomes and measuresThe primary outcome was diagnostic accuracy of the test for thyroid nodules with Bethesda III and IV cytology. The secondary outcome was prediction of cancer by specific genetic alterations in Bethesda III to V nodules.ResultsOf the 286 cytologically indeterminate nodules, 206 (72%) were benign, 69 (24%) malignant, and 11 (4%) noninvasive follicular thyroid neoplasms with papillary-like nuclei (NIFTP). A total of 257 (90%) nodules (154 Bethesda III, 93 Bethesda IV, and 10 Bethesda V) had informative GC analysis, with 61% classified as negative and 39% as positive. In Bethesda III and IV nodules combined, the test demonstrated a 94% (95% CI, 86%-98%) sensitivity and 82% (95% CI, 75%-87%) specificity. With a cancer/NIFTP prevalence of 28%, the negative predictive value (NPV) was 97% (95% CI, 93%-99%) and the positive predictive value (PPV) was 66% (95% CI, 56%-75%). The observed 3% false-negative rate was similar to that of benign cytology, and the missed cancers were all low-risk tumors. Among nodules testing positive, specific groups of genetic alterations had cancer probabilities varying from 59% to 100%.Conclusions and relevanceIn this prospective, blinded, multicenter study, the multigene GC test demonstrated a high sensitivity/NPV and reasonably high specificity/PPV, which may obviate diagnostic surgery in up to 61% of patients with Bethesda III to IV indeterminate nodules, and up to 82% of all benign nodules with indeterminate cytology. Information on specific genetic alterations obtained from FNA may help inform individualized treatment of patients with a positive test result.

Project description:The aim was to compare the usefulness of selected thyroid sonographic risk-stratification systems in the diagnostics of nodules with indeterminate/suspicious cytology or unequivocal cytology in a population with a history of iodine deficiency. The diagnostic efficacy of ACR-TIRADS (the American College of Radiology Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data Systems), EU-TIRADS (European Thyroid Association TIRADS), Korean-TIRADS, Kwak-TIRADS, AACE/ACE-AME-guidelines (American Association of Clinical Endocrinologists/ American College of Endocrinology-Associazione Medici Endocrinologi guidelines) and ATA-guidelines (American Thyroid Association guidelines) was evaluated in 1000 nodules with determined histopathological diagnosis: 329 FLUS/AUS (10.6% cancers), 167 SFN/SHT (11.6% cancers), 44 SM (77.3% cancers), 298 BL (benign lesions), 162 MN (malignant neoplasms). The percentage of PTC (papillary thyroid carcinoma) among cancers was higher in Bethesda MN (86.4%) and SM (suspicion of malignancy) nodules (91.2%) than in FLUS/AUS (57.1%, p < 0.005) and SFN/SHT (suspicion of follicular neoplasm/ suspicion of Hürthle cell tumor) nodules (36.8%, p < 0.001). TIRADS efficacy was higher for MN (AUC: 0.827-0.874) and SM nodules (AUC: 0.775-0.851) than for FLUS/AUS (AUC: 0.655-0.701) or SFN/SHT nodules (AUC: 0.593-0.621). FLUS/AUS (follicular lesion of undetermined significance/ atypia of undetermined significance) nodules assigned to a high risk TIRADS category had malignancy risk of 25%. In the SFN/SHT subgroup none TIRADS category changed nodule's malignancy risk. EU-TIRADS and AACE/ACE-AME-guidelines would allow diagnosing the highest number of PTC, FTC (follicular thyroid carcinoma), HTC (Hürthle cell carcinoma), MTC (medullary thyroid carcinoma). The highest OR value was for Kwak-TIRADS (12.6) and Korean-TIRADS (12.0). Conclusions: TIRADS efficacy depends on the incidence of PTC among cancers. All evaluated TIRADS facilitate the selection of FLUS/AUS nodules for the surgical treatment but these systems are not efficient in the management of SFN/SHT nodules.

Dataset Information

Predictivity of clinical, laboratory and imaging findings in diagnostic definition of palpable thyroid nodules. A multicenter prospective study.

Publications

Predictivity of clinical, laboratory and imaging findings in diagnostic definition of palpable thyroid nodules. A multicenter prospective study.

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