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Determinants of health care costs in the senior elderly: age, comorbidity, impairment, or proximity to death?

ABSTRACT: Ageing is assumed to be accompanied by greater health care expenditures but the association is also viewed as a 'red herring'. This study aimed to evaluate whether age is associated with health care costs in the senior elderly, using electronic health records for 98,220 participants aged 80 years and over registered with the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink and linked Hospital Episode Statistics (2010-2014). Annual costs of health care utilization were estimated from a two-part model; multiple fractional polynomial models were employed to evaluate the non-linear association of age with predicted health care costs while also controlling for comorbidities, impairments, and death proximity. Annual health care costs increased from 80 years (£2972 in men, £2603 in women) to 97 (men; £4721) or 98 years (women; £3963), before declining. Costs were significantly elevated in the last year of life but this effect declined with age, from £10,027 in younger octogenarians to £7021 in centenarians. This decline was steeper in participants with comorbidities or impairments; £14,500 for 80-84-year-olds and £6752 for centenarians with 7+ impairments. At other times, comorbidity and impairments, not age, were main drivers of costs. We conclude that comorbidities, impairments, and proximity to death are key mediators of age-related increases in health care costs. While the costs of comorbidity among survivors are not generally associated with age, additional costs in the last year of life decline with age.

SUBMITTER: Hazra NC

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6008359 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Determinants of health care costs in the senior elderly: age, comorbidity, impairment, or proximity to death?

Hazra Nisha C NC Rudisill Caroline C Gulliford Martin C MC

The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care 20170830 6

Ageing is assumed to be accompanied by greater health care expenditures but the association is also viewed as a 'red herring'. This study aimed to evaluate whether age is associated with health care costs in the senior elderly, using electronic health records for 98,220 participants aged 80 years and over registered with the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink and linked Hospital Episode Statistics (2010-2014). Annual costs of health care utilization were estimated from a two-part model; mult ...[more]

PMID: 28856487

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Project description:BackgroundHealth care expenditures (HCE) are known to steepen with increasing age, but the contributions of biological age, morbidity, or proximity to death as cost drivers are debated. Age-associated HCE growth can be studied across two dimensions: within fixed groups of persons with the same birth year followed over time (birth cohort), or the same age classes (e.g. 66 to 70 year olds) at different time points (age-class analysis). Using health insurance claims data including morbidity and mortality information, HCE growth was analyzed in Swiss mandatory health insurance for the years 1996 to 2011 and compared across the two age dimensions.ResultsDeflated HCE were analyzed for 104,000 persons from three birth cohorts (1921-25, 1926-30, 1931-35). Two-part regression models were adjusted for proximity-to-death (death within same or next calendar year) and morbidity indicators (hospitalization, high drug expenditures, and pharmaceutical cost groups from 2006 onwards). When analyzing HCE growth within birth cohorts, controlling for survival and morbidity status decreased age-associated HCE estimates by 31% to 51% compared to crude age averages. The total HCE volume share of decedents rose from 19% to 31% in the 1931-35 birth cohort and from 28% to 51% for the 1921-25 birth cohort. The analysis of same age classes (e.g. 71-75 year olds) over different years revealed no HCE growth (steepening) in excess of deflation for groups aged 75 years or less, and only moderate HCE growth for those ≥76 years. For the 76+ age classes, the population fraction of decedents decreased by -3% (age 76-80) and -15% (age 81-85) over time, whilst the total HCE volume share of decedent-associated HCE increased by +16% and +9%, with an HCE growth of +3.2% and +2.5% per year.ConclusionsHCE growth was dominated by end-of-life HCE, but residual age-associated HCE growth remained pertinent, the extent of which however depended on morbidity indicator definitions. A better understanding of shifts in chronic disease prevalence with rising age, as well as associated HCE and survival impacts of treatment will be key for further refining future HCE projections.

Project description:IntroductionPrevious studies suggest that the type and combination of comorbidities may impact diabetes care, but their cost implications are less clear. This study characterized how diabetes patients' health care utilization and costs may vary according to comorbidity type classified on the basis of the Piette and Kerr framework.MethodsWe conducted a retrospective observational study of privately insured US adults newly diagnosed with type 2 diabetes (n = 138,466) using the 2014-2016 Optum Clinformatics® Data Mart. Diabetes patients were classified into five mutually exclusive comorbidity groups: concordant only, discordant only, both concordant and discordant, any dominant, and none. We estimated average health care costs of each comorbidity group by using generalized linear models, adjusting for patient demographics, region, insurance type, and prior-year costs.ResultsMost type 2 diabetes patients had discordant conditions only (27%), dominant conditions (25%), or both concordant and discordant conditions (24%); 7% had concordant conditions only. In adjusted analyses, comorbidities were significantly associated with higher health care costs (p < 0.0001) and the magnitude of the association varied with comorbidity type. Diabetes patients with dominant comorbidities incurred substantially higher costs ($38,168) compared with individuals with both concordant and discordant conditions ($20,401), discordant conditions only ($9173), concordant conditions only ($9000), and no comorbidities ($3365). More than half of the total costs in our sample (53%) were attributable to 25% of diabetes patients who had dominant comorbidities.ConclusionsDiabetes patients with both concordant and discordant conditions and with clinically dominant conditions incurred substantially higher health costs than other diabetes patients. Our findings suggest that diabetes management programs must explicitly address concordant, discordant, and dominant conditions because patients may have distinctly different health care needs and utilization patterns depending on their comorbidity profiles. The Piette and Kerr framework may serve as a screening tool to identify high-need, high-cost diabetes patients and suggest targets for tailored interventions.FundingSanofi.

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Determinants of health care costs in the senior elderly: age, comorbidity, impairment, or proximity to death?

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Determinants of health care costs in the senior elderly: age, comorbidity, impairment, or proximity to death?

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