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Prospective Countywide Surveillance and Autopsy Characterization of Sudden Cardiac Death: POST SCD Study.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:Studies of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest and sudden cardiac death (SCD) use emergency medical services records, death certificates, or definitions that infer cause of death; thus, the true incidence of SCD is unknown. Over 90% of SCDs occur out-of-hospital; nonforensic autopsies are rarely performed, and therefore causes of death are presumed. We conducted a medical examiner-based investigation to determine the precise incidence and autopsy-defined causes of all SCDs in an entire metropolitan area. We hypothesized that postmortem investigation would identify actual sudden arrhythmic deaths among presumed SCDs. METHODS:Between February 1, 2011, and March 1, 2014, we prospectively identified all incident deaths attributed to out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (emergency medical services primary impression, cardiac arrest) between 18 to 90 years of age in San Francisco County for autopsy, toxicology, and histology via medical examiner surveillance of consecutive out-of-hospital deaths, all reported by law. We obtained comprehensive records to determine whether out-of-hospital cardiac arrest deaths met World Health Organization (WHO) criteria for SCD. We reviewed death certificates filed quarterly for missed SCDs. Autopsy-defined sudden arrhythmic deaths had no extracardiac cause of death or acute heart failure. A multidisciplinary committee adjudicated final cause. RESULTS:All 20?440 deaths were reviewed; 12?671 were unattended and reported to the medical examiner. From these, we identified 912 out-of-hospital cardiac arrest deaths; 541 (59%) met WHO SCD criteria (mean 62.8 years, 69% male) and 525 (97%) were autopsied. Eighty-nine additional WHO-defined SCDs occurred within 3 weeks of active medical care with the death certificate signed by the attending physician, ineligible for autopsy but included in the countywide WHO-defined SCD incidence of 29.6/100?000 person-years, highest in black men (P<0.0001). Of 525 WHO-defined SCDs, 301 (57%) had no cardiac history. Leading causes of death were coronary disease (32%), occult overdose (13.5%), cardiomyopathy (10%), cardiac hypertrophy (8%), and neurological (5.5%). Autopsy-defined sudden arrhythmic deaths were 55.8% (293/525) of overall, 65% (78/120) of witnessed, and 53% (215/405) of unwitnessed WHO-defined SCDs (P=0.024); 286 of 293 (98%) had structural cardiac disease. CONCLUSIONS:Forty percent of deaths attributed to stated cardiac arrest were not sudden or unexpected, and nearly half of presumed SCDs were not arrhythmic. These findings have implications for the accuracy of SCDs as defined by WHO criteria or emergency medical services records in aggregate mortality data, clinical trials, and cohort studies.

SUBMITTER: Tseng ZH

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6013842 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Prospective Countywide Surveillance and Autopsy Characterization of Sudden Cardiac Death: POST SCD Study.

Tseng Zian H ZH Olgin Jeffrey E JE Vittinghoff Eric E Ursell Philip C PC Kim Anthony S AS Sporer Karl K Yeh Clement C Colburn Benjamin B Clark Nina M NM Khan Rana R Hart Amy P AP Moffatt Ellen E

Circulation 20180601 25

<h4>Background</h4>Studies of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest and sudden cardiac death (SCD) use emergency medical services records, death certificates, or definitions that infer cause of death; thus, the true incidence of SCD is unknown. Over 90% of SCDs occur out-of-hospital; nonforensic autopsies are rarely performed, and therefore causes of death are presumed. We conducted a medical examiner-based investigation to determine the precise incidence and autopsy-defined causes of all SCDs in an en ...[more]

PMID: 29915095

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Project description:BACKGROUND:Conventional definitions of sudden cardiac death (SCD) presume cardiac cause. We studied the World Health Organization-defined SCDs autopsied in the POST SCD study (Postmortem Systematic Investigation of SCD) to determine whether premortem characteristics could identify autopsy-defined sudden arrhythmic death (SAD) among presumed SCDs. METHODS:Between January 2, 2011, and January 4, 2016, we prospectively identified all 615 World Health Organization-defined SCDs (144 witnessed) 18 to 90 years in San Francisco County for medical record review and autopsy via medical examiner surveillance. Autopsy-defined SADs had no extracardiac or acute heart failure cause of death. We used 2 nested sets of premortem predictors-an emergency medical system set and a comprehensive set adding medical record data-to develop Least Absolute Selection and Shrinkage Operator models of SAD among witnessed and unwitnessed cohorts. RESULTS:Of 615 presumed SCDs, 348 (57%) were autopsy-defined SAD. For witnessed cases, the emergency medical system model (area under the receiver operator curve 0.75 [0.67-0.82]) included presenting rhythm of ventricular tachycardia/fibrillation and pulseless electrical activity, while the comprehensive (area under the receiver operator curve 0.78 [0.70-0.84]) added depression. If only ventricular tachycardia/fibrillation witnessed cases (n=48) were classified as SAD, sensitivity was 0.46 (0.36-0.57), and specificity was 0.90 (0.79-0.97). For unwitnessed cases, the emergency medical system model (area under the receiver operator curve 0.68 [0.64-0.73]) included black race, male sex, age, and time since last seen normal, while the comprehensive (area under the receiver operator curve 0.75 [0.71-0.79]) added use of β-blockers, antidepressants, QT-prolonging drugs, opiates, illicit drugs, and dyslipidemia. If only unwitnessed cases <1 hour (n=59) were classified as SAD, sensitivity was 0.18 (0.13-0.22) and specificity was 0.95 (0.90-0.97). CONCLUSIONS:Our models identify premortem characteristics that can better specify autopsy-defined SAD among presumed SCDs and suggest the World Health Organization definition can be improved by restricting witnessed SCDs to ventricular tachycardia/fibrillation or nonpulseless electrical activity rhythms and unwitnessed cases to <1 hour since last normal, at the cost of sensitivity.

Project description:BackgroundThe incidence of sudden cardiac death and sudden death caused by arrhythmia, as determined by autopsy, in persons with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection has not been clearly established.MethodsBetween February 1, 2011, and September 16, 2016, we prospectively identified all new deaths due to out-of-hospital cardiac arrest among persons 18 to 90 years of age, with or without known HIV infection, for comprehensive autopsy and toxicologic and histologic testing. We compared the rates of sudden cardiac death and sudden death caused by arrhythmia between groups.ResultsOf 109 deaths from out-of-hospital cardiac arrest among 610 unexpected deaths in HIV-positive persons, 48 met World Health Organization criteria for presumed sudden cardiac death; of those, fewer than half (22) had an arrhythmic cause. A total of 505 presumed sudden cardiac deaths occurred between February 1, 2011, and March 1, 2014, in persons without known HIV infection. Observed incidence rates of presumed sudden cardiac death were 53.3 deaths per 100,000 person-years among persons with known HIV infection and 23.7 deaths per 100,000 person-years among persons without known HIV infection (incidence rate ratio, 2.25; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.37 to 3.70). Observed incidence rates of sudden death caused by arrhythmia were 25.0 and 13.3 deaths per 100,000 person-years, respectively (incidence rate ratio, 1.87; 95% CI, 0.93 to 3.78). Among all presumed sudden cardiac deaths, death due to occult drug overdose was more common in persons with known HIV infection than in persons without known HIV infection (34% vs. 13%). Persons who were HIV-positive had higher histologic levels of interstitial myocardial fibrosis than persons without known HIV infection.ConclusionsIn this postmortem study, the rates of presumed sudden cardiac death and myocardial fibrosis were higher among HIV-positive persons than among those without known HIV infection. One third of apparent sudden cardiac deaths in HIV-positive persons were due to occult drug overdose. (Supported by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute.).

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Prospective Countywide Surveillance and Autopsy Characterization of Sudden Cardiac Death: POST SCD Study.

Publications

Prospective Countywide Surveillance and Autopsy Characterization of Sudden Cardiac Death: POST SCD Study.

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