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Unfavorable and favorable changes in modifiable risk factors and incidence of coronary heart disease: The Whitehall II cohort study.


ABSTRACT:

Background

Few studies have examined long-term associations of unfavorable and favorable changes in vascular risk factors with incident coronary heart disease (CHD). We examined this issue in a middle-aged disease-free population.

Methods

We used repeat data from the Whitehall II cohort study. Five biomedical, behavioral and psychosocial examinations of 8335 participants without CHD produced up to 20,357 person-observations to mimic a non-randomized pseudo-trial. After measurement of potential change in 6 risk factors twice (total cholesterol, blood pressure, smoking, overweight, psychological distress, problems in social relationships), a 5-year follow-up of CHD was undertaken.

Results

Incidence of CHD was 7.4/1000?person-years. Increases from normal to high cholesterol (hazard ratio, HR?=?1.59, 95% CI 1.26-2.00) and from normal to high blood pressure (HR?=?1.64, 95% CI 1.33-2.03), as compared to remaining at the normal level, were associated with increased risk of CHD. In contrast, decreases from high to low levels of cholesterol (HR?=?0.73, 95% CI 0.58-0.91), psychological distress (HR?=?0.68, 95% CI 0.51-0.90), and problems in social relationships (HR?=?0.65, 95% CI 0.50-0.85), and quitting smoking (HR?=?0.49, 95% CI 0.29-0.82) were associated with a reduced CHD risk compared to remaining at high risk factor levels. The highest absolute risk was associated with persistent exposure to both high cholesterol and hypertension (incidence 18.1/1000?person-years) and smoking and overweight (incidence 17.7/1000?person-years).

Conclusions

While persistent exposures and changes in biological and behavioral risk factors relate to the greatest increases and reductions in 5-year risk of CHD, also favorable changes in psychosocial risk factors appear to reduce CHD risk.

SUBMITTER: Virtanen M 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6152587 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Unfavorable and favorable changes in modifiable risk factors and incidence of coronary heart disease: The Whitehall II cohort study.

Virtanen Marianna M   Vahtera Jussi J   Singh-Manoux Archana A   Elovainio Marko M   Ferrie Jane E JE   Kivimäki Mika M  

International journal of cardiology 20180705


<h4>Background</h4>Few studies have examined long-term associations of unfavorable and favorable changes in vascular risk factors with incident coronary heart disease (CHD). We examined this issue in a middle-aged disease-free population.<h4>Methods</h4>We used repeat data from the Whitehall II cohort study. Five biomedical, behavioral and psychosocial examinations of 8335 participants without CHD produced up to 20,357 person-observations to mimic a non-randomized pseudo-trial. After measurement  ...[more]

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