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Development and Validation of a Clinical Score for Cardiovascular Risk Stratification of Long-Term Childhood Cancer Survivors.


ABSTRACT:

Background

Long-term childhood cancer survivors (CCS) are at increased risk of adverse cardiovascular events; however, there is a paucity of risk-stratification tools to identify those at higher-than-normal risk.

Subjects, materials, and methods

This was a population-based study using data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program (1973-2013). Long-term CCS (age at diagnosis ?19 years, survival ?5 years) were followed up over a median time period of 12.3 (5-40.9) years. Independent predictors of cardiovascular mortality (CVM) were combined into a risk score, which was developed in a derivation set (n?=?22,374), and validated in separate patient registries (n?=?6,437).

Results

In the derivation registries, older age at diagnosis (?10 years vs. reference group of 1-5 years), male sex, non-white race, a history of lymphoma, and a history of radiation were independently associated with an increased risk of CVM among long-term CCS (p?p?plog-rank?plog-rank?ConclusionWe propose a simple risk score that can be applied in everyday clinical practice to identify long-term CCS at increased cardiovascular risk, who may benefit from early cardiovascular screening, and risk-reduction strategies.

Implications for practice

Childhood cancer survivors (CCS) are known to be at increased cardiovascular risk. Currently available prognostic tools focus on treatment-related adverse events and late development of congestive heart failure, but there is no prognostic model to date to estimate the risk of cardiovascular mortality among long-term CCS. A simple clinical tool is proposed for cardiovascular risk stratification of long-term CCS based on easily obtainable information from their medical history. This scoring system may be used as a first-line screening tool to assist health care providers in identifying those who may benefit from closer follow-up and enable timely deployment of preventive strategies.

SUBMITTER: Oikonomou EK 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6156177 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Development and Validation of a Clinical Score for Cardiovascular Risk Stratification of Long-Term Childhood Cancer Survivors.

Oikonomou Evangelos K EK   Athanasopoulou Sofia G SG   Kampaktsis Polydoros N PN   Kokkinidis Damianos G DG   Papanastasiou Christos A CA   Feher Attila A   Steingart Richard M RM   Oeffinger Kevin C KC   Gupta Dipti D  

The oncologist 20180328 8


<h4>Background</h4>Long-term childhood cancer survivors (CCS) are at increased risk of adverse cardiovascular events; however, there is a paucity of risk-stratification tools to identify those at higher-than-normal risk.<h4>Subjects, materials, and methods</h4>This was a population-based study using data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program (1973-2013). Long-term CCS (age at diagnosis ≤19 years, survival ≥5 years) were followed up over a median time period of 12.3 (5-40.9  ...[more]

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