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Current treatment of multidrug resistant tuberculosis in Ethiopia: an aggregated and individual patients' data analysis for outcome and effectiveness of the current regimens.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:The programmatic management of Multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) is entirely based on a WHO recommended long-term, 18-24 month lasting treatment regimen. However, growing evidence shows that low treatment success rate and high rates of adverse events are associated with this regimen. Up to date, the MDR-TB treatment outcome is not sufficiently understood in Ethiopia. Therefore, this analysis aimed to determine the pooled estimates of successful (cure, completed, or both), and poor outcomes (death, failure, and lost to follow ups). METHOD:A systematic search was performed to identify eligible studies reporting MDR-TB treatment outcomes in Ethiopia. Relevant studies for our analysis were retrieved from PubMed database search, Google Scholar and institutional repository sites of Ethiopian universities up to March 15, 2018. The primary outcome was treatment success, referring to a composite of cure and treatment completion. A random effect model was used to calculate pooled estimates. RESULTS:Six studies reporting treatment outcome on the 1993 MDR-TB patients were included in this analysis. Of the cases, the 1288 and 442 patients had a successful and poor outcome, respectively. In the pooled analysis, treatment success was observed in 59.2% (95%CI, 48.1-70.4) of patients, while 23.3% (95%CI, 19.7-27.0%) of patients had a poor outcome. in sub-group analysis,46.1% (95%CI, 34.2-58.0) were cured, 12.8% (5.7-20.0) treatment completed, 14.3% (11.5-17.2) died, 7.5% (3.7-11.3) lost to follow up, and 1.6% (1.1-2.2%) experienced treatment failure. The 25.0% (14.6-35.5) patients whose treatment outcome was not assessed (on treatment or transfer-out). CONCLUSION:The result of this study highlight treatment success among MDR-TB is below acceptable range. To update the current treatment regimen, the levels of evidence need to be replicated through meticulous surveillance systems. TRIAL REGISTRATION:Study protocol registration: CRD42018090711 .

SUBMITTER: Eshetie S

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6161354 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Current treatment of multidrug resistant tuberculosis in Ethiopia: an aggregated and individual patients' data analysis for outcome and effectiveness of the current regimens.

Eshetie Setegn S Alebel Animut A Wagnew Fasil F Geremew Demeke D Fasil Alebachew A Sack Ulrich U

BMC infectious diseases 20180927 1

<h4>Background</h4>The programmatic management of Multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) is entirely based on a WHO recommended long-term, 18-24 month lasting treatment regimen. However, growing evidence shows that low treatment success rate and high rates of adverse events are associated with this regimen. Up to date, the MDR-TB treatment outcome is not sufficiently understood in Ethiopia. Therefore, this analysis aimed to determine the pooled estimates of successful (cure, completed, or bot ...[more]

PMID: 30261852

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Project description:BackgroundDespite the existence of effective drug treatments, tuberculosis (TB) causes 2 million deaths annually worldwide. Effective treatment is complicated by multidrug-resistant TB (MDR TB) strains that respond only to second-line drugs. We projected the health benefits and cost-effectiveness of using drug susceptibility testing and second-line drugs in a lower-middle-income setting with high levels of MDR TB.Methods and findingsWe developed a dynamic state-transition model of TB. In a base case analysis, the model was calibrated to approximate the TB epidemic in Peru, a setting with a smear-positive TB incidence of 120 per 100,000 and 4.5% MDR TB among prevalent cases. Secondary analyses considered other settings. The following strategies were evaluated: first-line drugs administered under directly observed therapy (DOTS), locally standardized second-line drugs for previously treated cases (STR1), locally standardized second-line drugs for previously treated cases with test-confirmed MDR TB (STR2), comprehensive drug susceptibility testing and individualized treatment for previously treated cases (ITR1), and comprehensive drug susceptibility testing and individualized treatment for all cases (ITR2). Outcomes were costs per TB death averted and costs per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. We found that strategies incorporating the use of second-line drug regimens following first-line treatment failure were highly cost-effective compared to strategies using first-line drugs only. In our base case, standardized second-line treatment for confirmed MDR TB cases (STR2) had an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of 720 dollars per QALY (8,700 dollars per averted death) compared to DOTS. Individualized second-line drug treatment for MDR TB following first-line failure (ITR1) provided more benefit at an incremental cost of 990 dollars per QALY (12,000 dollars per averted death) compared to STR2. A more aggressive version of the individualized treatment strategy (ITR2), in which both new and previously treated cases are tested for MDR TB, had an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of 11,000 dollars per QALY (160,000 dollars per averted death) compared to ITR1. The STR2 and ITR1 strategies remained cost-effective under a wide range of alternative assumptions about treatment costs, effectiveness, MDR TB prevalence, and transmission.ConclusionsTreatment of MDR TB using second-line drugs is highly cost-effective in Peru. In other settings, the attractiveness of strategies using second-line drugs will depend on TB incidence, MDR burden, and the available budget, but simulation results suggest that individualized regimens would be cost-effective in a wide range of situations.

Project description:BackgroundTreatment of multidrug resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) is lengthy, toxic, expensive, and has generally poor outcomes. We undertook an individual patient data meta-analysis to assess the impact on outcomes of the type, number, and duration of drugs used to treat MDR-TB.Methods and findingsThree recent systematic reviews were used to identify studies reporting treatment outcomes of microbiologically confirmed MDR-TB. Study authors were contacted to solicit individual patient data including clinical characteristics, treatment given, and outcomes. Random effects multivariable logistic meta-regression was used to estimate adjusted odds of treatment success. Adequate treatment and outcome data were provided for 9,153 patients with MDR-TB from 32 observational studies. Treatment success, compared to failure/relapse, was associated with use of: later generation quinolones, (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 2.5 [95% CI 1.1-6.0]), ofloxacin (aOR: 2.5 [1.6-3.9]), ethionamide or prothionamide (aOR: 1.7 [1.3-2.3]), use of four or more likely effective drugs in the initial intensive phase (aOR: 2.3 [1.3-3.9]), and three or more likely effective drugs in the continuation phase (aOR: 2.7 [1.7-4.1]). Similar results were seen for the association of treatment success compared to failure/relapse or death: later generation quinolones, (aOR: 2.7 [1.7-4.3]), ofloxacin (aOR: 2.3 [1.3-3.8]), ethionamide or prothionamide (aOR: 1.7 [1.4-2.1]), use of four or more likely effective drugs in the initial intensive phase (aOR: 2.7 [1.9-3.9]), and three or more likely effective drugs in the continuation phase (aOR: 4.5 [3.4-6.0]).ConclusionsIn this individual patient data meta-analysis of observational data, improved MDR-TB treatment success and survival were associated with use of certain fluoroquinolones, ethionamide, or prothionamide, and greater total number of effective drugs. However, randomized trials are urgently needed to optimize MDR-TB treatment. Please see later in the article for the Editors' Summary.

Project description:Objective: To compare the effectiveness of second line injectables containing shorter (duration 9-12 months) and longer treatment regimens (LTR, duration ≥ 20 months) among multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) patients with no documented resistance and history of treatment with any second-line anti-TB drug (SLD) for ≥ 1 month. Methods: This was an observational cohort study of MDR-TB patients treated at eight PMDT units in Pakistan. Patients' data from baseline until treatment outcomes were collected from Electronic Nominal Recording and Reporting System. The treatment outcomes of "cured" and "treatment completed" were grouped together as successful, whereas "death," "treatment failure," and "lost to follow-up" were collectively grouped as unsuccessful outcomes. Time to sputum culture conversion (SCC) was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method and the differences between groups were compared through the log-rank test. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards and binary logistic regression analyses were used to find predictors of time to SCC and unsuccessful treatment outcomes. A p-value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Results: A total 701 eligible MDR-TB patients [313 treated with shorter treatment regimen (STR) and 388 treated with LTR at eight centres in Pakistan were evaluated]. Time to achieve SCC was significantly shorter in STR group [mean: 2.03 months, 95% confidence interval (CI):1.79-2.26] than in LTR group (mean: 2.69 months, 95% CI: 2.35-3.03) (p-value<0.001, Log-rank test). Treatment success was higher in STR (83.7%) than in LTR (73.2%) group (p-value <0.001) due to high cure (79.9% vs. 70.9%, p-value = 0.006) and low death (9.9% vs. 18.3%, p-value = 0.002) rates with STR. Treatment with STR emerged the only predictor of early SCC [adjusted Hazards ratio (aHR) = 0.815, p-value = 0.014], whereas, patient's age of 41-60 (OR = 2.62, p-value<0.001) and >60 years (OR = 5.84, p-value<0.001), baseline body weight of 31-60 (OR = 0.36, p-value = 0.001) and >60 kg (OR = 0.23, p-value <0.001), and treatment with LTR (OR = 1.88, p-value = 0.001) had statistically significant association with unsuccessful treatment outcomes. Conclusion: STR exhibited superior anti-microbial activity against MDR-TB. When compared LTR, treatment with STR resulted in significantly early SCC, high cure, and lower death rates among MDR-TB patients who had no documented resistance and history of treatment with any SLD ≥ 1 month.

Dataset Information

Current treatment of multidrug resistant tuberculosis in Ethiopia: an aggregated and individual patients' data analysis for outcome and effectiveness of the current regimens.

Publications

Current treatment of multidrug resistant tuberculosis in Ethiopia: an aggregated and individual patients' data analysis for outcome and effectiveness of the current regimens.

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