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Dynamic linear models guide design and analysis of microbiota studies within artificial human guts.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:Artificial gut models provide unique opportunities to study human-associated microbiota. Outstanding questions for these models' fundamental biology include the timescales on which microbiota vary and the factors that drive such change. Answering these questions though requires overcoming analytical obstacles like estimating the effects of technical variation on observed microbiota dynamics, as well as the lack of appropriate benchmark datasets. RESULTS:To address these obstacles, we created a modeling framework based on multinomial logistic-normal dynamic linear models (MALLARDs) and performed dense longitudinal sampling of four replicate artificial human guts over the course of 1 month. The resulting analyses revealed how the ratio of biological variation to technical variation from sample processing depends on sampling frequency. In particular, we find that at hourly sampling frequencies, 76% of observed variation could be ascribed to technical sources, which could also skew the observed covariation between taxa. We also found that the artificial guts demonstrated replicable trajectories even after a recovery from a transient feed disruption. Additionally, we observed irregular sub-daily oscillatory dynamics associated with the bacterial family Enterobacteriaceae within all four replicate vessels. CONCLUSIONS:Our analyses suggest that, beyond variation due to sequence counting, technical variation from sample processing can obscure temporal variation from biological sources in artificial gut studies. Our analyses also supported hypotheses that human gut microbiota fluctuates on sub-daily timescales in the absence of a host and that microbiota can follow replicable trajectories in the presence of environmental driving forces. Finally, multiple aspects of our approach are generalizable and could ultimately be used to facilitate the design and analysis of longitudinal microbiota studies in vivo.

SUBMITTER: Silverman JD

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6233358 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Dynamic linear models guide design and analysis of microbiota studies within artificial human guts.

Silverman Justin D JD Durand Heather K HK Bloom Rachael J RJ Mukherjee Sayan S David Lawrence A LA

Microbiome 20181112 1

<h4>Background</h4>Artificial gut models provide unique opportunities to study human-associated microbiota. Outstanding questions for these models' fundamental biology include the timescales on which microbiota vary and the factors that drive such change. Answering these questions though requires overcoming analytical obstacles like estimating the effects of technical variation on observed microbiota dynamics, as well as the lack of appropriate benchmark datasets.<h4>Results</h4>To address these ...[more]

PMID: 30419949

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Project description:Systems biology applies concepts from engineering in order to understand biological networks. If such an understanding was complete, biologists would be able to design ad hoc biochemical components tailored for different purposes, which is the goal of synthetic biology. Needless to say that we are far away from creating biological subsystems as intricate and precise as those found in nature, but mathematical models and high throughput techniques have brought us a long way in this direction. One of the difficulties that still needs to be overcome is finding the right values for model parameters and dealing with uncertainty, which is proving to be an extremely difficult task. In this work, we take advantage of ensemble modeling techniques, where a large number of models with different parameter values are formulated and then tested according to some performance criteria. By finding features shared by successful models, the role of different components and the synergies between them can be better understood. We will address some of the difficulties often faced by ensemble modeling approaches, such as the need to sample a space whose size grows exponentially with the number of parameters, and establishing useful selection criteria. Some methods will be shown to reduce the predictions from many models into a set of understandable "design principles" that can guide us to improve or manufacture a biochemical network. Our proposed framework formulates models within standard formalisms in order to integrate information from different sources and minimize the dimension of the parameter space. Additionally, the mathematical properties of the formalism enable a partition of the parameter space into independent subspaces. Each of these subspaces can be paired with a set of criteria that depend exclusively on it, thus allowing a separate sampling/screening in spaces of lower dimension. By applying tests in a strict order where computationally cheaper tests are applied first to each subspace and applying computationally expensive tests to the remaining subset thereafter, the use of resources is optimized and a larger number of models can be examined. This can be compared to a complex database query where the order of the requests can make a huge difference in the processing time. The method will be illustrated by analyzing a classical model of a metabolic pathway with end-product inhibition. Even for such a simple model, the method provides novel insight.

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Dynamic linear models guide design and analysis of microbiota studies within artificial human guts.

Publications

Dynamic linear models guide design and analysis of microbiota studies within artificial human guts.

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