Climate-driven variation in mosquito density predicts the spatiotemporal dynamics of dengue.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Li R
PROVIDER: S-EPMC6397594 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Feb
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Publications
Climate-driven variation in mosquito density predicts the spatiotemporal dynamics of dengue.
Li Ruiyun R Xu Lei L Bjørnstad Ottar N ON Liu Keke K Song Tie T Chen Aifang A Xu Bing B Liu Qiyong Q Stenseth Nils C NC
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 20190211 9
Dengue is a climate-sensitive mosquito-borne disease with increasing geographic extent and human incidence. Although the climate-epidemic association and outbreak risks have been assessed using both statistical and mathematical models, local mosquito population dynamics have not been incorporated in a unified predictive framework. Here, we use mosquito surveillance data from 2005 to 2015 in China to integrate a generalized additive model of mosquito dynamics with a susceptible-infected-recovered ...[more]
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