Dataset Information

Nonlinear Mixed-Effects Models for PET Data.

ABSTRACT: OBJECTIVE:The current state-of-the-art for compartment modeling of dynamic PET data can be described as a two-stage approach. In Stage 1, individual estimates of kinetic parameters are obtained by fitting models using standard techniques, such as nonlinear least squares, to each individual's data one subject at a time. Population-level effects, such as the difference between diagnostic groups, are analyzed in Stage 2 using standard statistical methods by treating the individual estimates as if they were observed data. While this approach is generally valid, it is possible to increase efficiency and precision of the analysis, allow more complex models to be fitted, and also to permit parameter-specific investigation by fitting data across subjects simultaneously. We explore the application of nonlinear mixed-effects (NLME) models for estimation and inference in this setting. METHODS:In the NLME framework, subjects are modeled simultaneously through the inclusion of random effects of subjects for each kinetic parameter; meanwhile, population parameters are estimated directly in a joint model. RESULTS:Simulation results indicate that NLME outperforms the two-stage approach in estimating group-level effects and also has improved power to detect differences across groups. We applied our NLME approach to clinical PET data and found effects not detected by the two-stage approach. CONCLUSION:The proposed NLME approach is more accurate and correspondingly more powerful than the two-stage approach in compartment modeling of PET data. SIGNIFICANCE:The NLME method can broaden the methodological scope of PET modeling because of its efficiency and stability.

SUBMITTER: Chen Y

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6436945 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Nonlinear Mixed-Effects Models for PET Data.

Chen Yakuan Y Goldsmith Jeff J Ogden R Todd RT

IEEE transactions on bio-medical engineering 20180801 3

<h4>Objective</h4>The current state-of-the-art for compartment modeling of dynamic PET data can be described as a two-stage approach. In Stage 1, individual estimates of kinetic parameters are obtained by fitting models using standard techniques, such as nonlinear least squares, to each individual's data one subject at a time. Population-level effects, such as the difference between diagnostic groups, are analyzed in Stage 2 using standard statistical methods by treating the individual estimates ...[more]

PMID: 30072311

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Project description:Taking parameter uncertainty into account is key to make drug development decisions such as testing whether trial endpoints meet defined criteria. Currently used methods for assessing parameter uncertainty in NLMEM have limitations, and there is a lack of diagnostics for when these limitations occur. In this work, a method based on sampling importance resampling (SIR) is proposed, which has the advantage of being free of distributional assumptions and does not require repeated parameter estimation. To perform SIR, a high number of parameter vectors are simulated from a given proposal uncertainty distribution. Their likelihood given the true uncertainty is then approximated by the ratio between the likelihood of the data given each vector and the likelihood of each vector given the proposal distribution, called the importance ratio. Non-parametric uncertainty distributions are obtained by resampling parameter vectors according to probabilities proportional to their importance ratios. Two simulation examples and three real data examples were used to define how SIR should be performed with NLMEM and to investigate the performance of the method. The simulation examples showed that SIR was able to recover the true parameter uncertainty. The real data examples showed that parameter 95 % confidence intervals (CI) obtained with SIR, the covariance matrix, bootstrap and log-likelihood profiling were generally in agreement when 95 % CI were symmetric. For parameters showing asymmetric 95 % CI, SIR 95 % CI provided a close agreement with log-likelihood profiling but often differed from bootstrap 95 % CI which had been shown to be suboptimal for the chosen examples. This work also provides guidance towards the SIR workflow, i.e.,which proposal distribution to choose and how many parameter vectors to sample when performing SIR, using diagnostics developed for this purpose. SIR is a promising approach for assessing parameter uncertainty as it is applicable in many situations where other methods for assessing parameter uncertainty fail, such as in the presence of small datasets, highly nonlinear models or meta-analysis.

Dataset Information

Nonlinear Mixed-Effects Models for PET Data.

Publications

Nonlinear Mixed-Effects Models for PET Data.

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