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One-hour post-load plasma glucose predicts progression to prediabetes in a multi-ethnic cohort of obese youths.

ABSTRACT: AIMS:One-hour post-load hyperglycaemia has been proposed as an independent predictor of type 2 diabetes in adults. We examined whether 1-hour plasma glucose (1hPG) during an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) can predict changes in the glucose tolerance status of a multi-ethnic cohort of youths with normal glucose tolerance (NGT). MATERIALS AND METHODS:A total of 202 obese youths with NGT (33.7% Caucasian, 31.1% Hispanic, 32.2% African American) underwent a 3-hour OGTT at baseline and after a 2-year follow-up period. Whole-body insulin sensitivity, insulin secretion, ?-cell function and insulin clearance were estimated by modeling plasma glucose, insulin and C-peptide levels. RESULTS:Obese youths with 1hPG ?7.4 mmol/L (or 133?mg/dL; n?=?83) exhibited higher body mass index (BMI), plasma triglycerides and fasting and post-load glucose concentrations than individuals with 1hPG <7.4 mmol/L. Also, 1hPG ?7.4 mmol/L was associated with a lower disposition index (DI) (P?

SUBMITTER: Trico D

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6459710 | biostudies-literature | 2019 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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One-hour post-load plasma glucose predicts progression to prediabetes in a multi-ethnic cohort of obese youths.

Tricò Domenico D Galderisi Alfonso A Mari Andrea A Santoro Nicola N Caprio Sonia S

Diabetes, obesity & metabolism 20190228 5

<h4>Aims</h4>One-hour post-load hyperglycaemia has been proposed as an independent predictor of type 2 diabetes in adults. We examined whether 1-hour plasma glucose (1hPG) during an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) can predict changes in the glucose tolerance status of a multi-ethnic cohort of youths with normal glucose tolerance (NGT).<h4>Materials and methods</h4>A total of 202 obese youths with NGT (33.7% Caucasian, 31.1% Hispanic, 32.2% African American) underwent a 3-hour OGTT at baseline ...[more]

PMID: 30663201

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Project description:BACKGROUND:Type 2 diabetes is preceded by a prediabetic stage of impaired glucose tolerance that affects 10-23% of youth and is expected to double over the next decade. The natural history of impaired glucose tolerance and the determinants of ?-cell dynamic response have never been investigated longitudinally in young people. We aimed to investigate the clinical and metabolic determinants of longitudinal glucose tolerance changes and ?-cell function in a multiethnic cohort of obese youth. METHODS:We followed up prospectively a multiethnic cohort of overweight and obese (body-mass index >85th percentile) adolescents with baseline normal glucose tolerance (plasma glucose <140 mg/dL) or impaired glucose tolerance (plasma glucose 140-199 mg/dL) at the Yale Pediatric Obesity Clinic (CT, USA). All participants underwent a 3-h oral glucose tolerance test at baseline and after 2 years to estimate insulin secretion (oral disposition index) in the context of body insulin sensitivity. As part of standard care at the clinic, all participants received dietary advice and underwent dietary assessment every 5-6 months. No structured lifestyle or pharmacological intervention was administered. FINDINGS:Between January, 2010, and December, 2016, 526 adolescents (mean age 12·7 years, range 10·6-14·2) were enrolled to our study. At baseline, 364 had normal and 162 had impaired glucose tolerance. Median follow-up was 2·9 years (IQR 2·7-3·1). 105 (65%) of 162 with impaired glucose tolerance at baseline reverted to normal glucose tolerance at follow-up, 44 (27%) had persistent impaired glucose tolerance, and 13 (8%) progressed to type 2 diabetes. A feature of reversion to normal glucose tolerance was a roughly four-fold increase in the oral disposition index (from median 0·94 [IQR 0·68-1·35] at baseline to 3·90 [2·58-6·08] at follow-up; p<0·0001) and a significantly higher oral disposition index at follow-up compared with participants who maintained normal glucose tolerance across the study period (median 3·90 [IQR 2·58-6·08] vs 1·59 [1·12-2·23]; p<0·0001). By contrast, a decrease in insulin secretion was seen in participants who had persistent impaired glucose tolerance (median 1·31 [IQR 1·01-1·85]; p<0·0001) or who progressed to type 2 diabetes (0·20 [0·12-0·58]; p<0·0001), compared with participants who maintained normal glucose tolerance across the study period. Non-Hispanic white ethnic origin conferred five times the odds of reversion to normal glucose tolerance compared with non-Hispanic black ethnic origin (OR 5·06, 95% CI 1·86-13·76; p=0·001), with a two times greater annual increase in the oral disposition index (? 2·32, 95% CI 0·05-4·60; p=0·045). INTERPRETATION:Impaired glucose tolerance is highly reversible in obese adolescents. Ethnic origin is the main clinical modifier of the dynamic ?-cell response to prediabetic hyperglycaemia and, thus, determines the reversibility of impaired glucose tolerance, or its persistence. Therapeutic interventions for impaired glucose tolerance should target the specific mechanisms underpinning glucose tolerance changes in high-risk ethnic groups. FUNDING:National Institutes of Health (National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, National Center for Research Resources, and National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases), American Diabetes Association, International Society for Pediatric and Adolescent Diabetes, Robert Leet Patterson and Clara Guthrie Patterson Trust, European Society for Pediatric Endocrinology, American Heart Association, and the Allen Foundation.

Project description:BackgroundPrediabetes has become a pandemic. This study aimed to identify a better predictor for the incidence of prediabetes, which we hypothesize to be the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index, a simplified insulin resistance index. We compared its predictive value with the other common risk factors of prediabetes.MethodsThe participants of this analysis were derived from the Risk Evaluation of cAncers in Chinese diabeTic Individuals: a lONgitudinal (REACTION) study. A total of 4543 participants without initial prediabetes or diabetes were followed up for 3.25 years. Using multivariate logistic regression model, the associations between baseline obesity, lipid profiles and non-insulin-based insulin resistance indices with the incidence of prediabetes were analyzed. To assess which is better predictor for the incidence of prediabetes, the area under curves (AUCs) calculated from the receiver operating characteristic curve analyses were used to evaluate and compare with the predictive value of the different indices.ResultsDuring the 3.25 years, 1071 out of the 4543 participants developed prediabetes. Using the logistic regression analysis adjusted for some potential confounders, the risk of incidence of prediabetes increased 1.38 (1.28-1.48) fold for each 1-SD increment of TyG index. The predictive ability (assessed by AUCs) of TyG index for predicting prediabetes was 0.60 (0.58-0.62), which was superior to the indices of obesity, lipid profiles and other non-insulin-based insulin resistance indices. Although the predictive ability of the TyG index was overall similar to fasting plasma glucose (FPG) (P = 0.4340), TyG index trended higher than FPG in females (0.62 (0.59-0.64) vs. 0.59 (0.57-0.61), P = 0.0872) and obese subjects (0.59 (0.57-0.62) vs. 0.57 (0.54-0.59), P = 0.1313). TyG index had superior predictive ability for the prediabetic phenotype with isolated impaired glucose tolerance compared with FPG (P < 0.05) and other indices. Furthermore, TyG index significantly improved the C statistic (0.62 (0.60-0.64)), integrated discrimination improvement (1.89% (1.44-2.33%)) and net reclassification index (28.76% (21.84-35.67%)) of conventional model in predicting prediabetes than other indices.ConclusionsTyG could be a potential predictor to identify the high risk individuals of prediabetes.

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One-hour post-load plasma glucose predicts progression to prediabetes in a multi-ethnic cohort of obese youths.

Publications

One-hour post-load plasma glucose predicts progression to prediabetes in a multi-ethnic cohort of obese youths.

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