Dataset Information

Risk Prediction for Contrast-Induced Nephropathy in Cancer Patients Undergoing Computed Tomography under Preventive Measures.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) is a major cause of acute kidney injury in chronic kidney disease. Many cancer patients have risk factors for CIN and frequently undergo contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT). We aimed to develop a risk prediction model for CIN in cancer patients undergoing CECT.

Methods

Between 2009 and 2017, 2,240 cancer patients with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 45?mL/min/1.73?m² who underwent CECT with CIN preventive measures were included in a development cohort. Primary outcome was development of CIN, defined as 25% increase in serum creatinine within 2-6 days after contrast exposure. A prediction model was developed using logistic regression analysis. The model was evaluated for prognostic utility in an independent cohort (N = 555).

Results

Overall incidence of CIN was 2.5% (55/2,240). In multivariable analysis, eGFR, diabetes mellitus, and serum albumin level were identified as independent predictors of CIN. A prediction model including eGFR, serum albumin level, and diabetes mellitus was developed, and risk scores ranged from 0 to 6 points. The model demonstrated fair discriminative power (C statistic = 0.733, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.656-0.810) and good calibration (calibration slope 0.867, 95% Cl 0.719-1.015). In the validation cohort, the model also demonstrated fair discriminative power (C statistic = 0.749, 95% CI 0.648-0.849) and good calibration (calibration slope 0.974, 95% CI 0.634-1.315).

Conclusions

The proposed model has good predictive ability for risk of CIN in cancer patients with chronic kidney disease. This model can aid in risk stratification for CIN in patients undergoing CECT.

SUBMITTER: Jeon J

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6463556 | biostudies-literature | 2019

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

ACCESS DATA

Publications

Risk Prediction for Contrast-Induced Nephropathy in Cancer Patients Undergoing Computed Tomography under Preventive Measures.

Jeon Junseok J Kim Suhyun S Yoo Heejin H Kim Kyunga K Kim Yaerim Y Park Sehoon S Jang Hye Ryoun HR Kim Dong Ki DK Huh Wooseong W Kim Yoon-Goo YG Kim Dae Joong DJ Oh Ha Young HY Lee Jung Eun JE

Journal of oncology 20190401

<h4>Background</h4>Contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) is a major cause of acute kidney injury in chronic kidney disease. Many cancer patients have risk factors for CIN and frequently undergo contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT). We aimed to develop a risk prediction model for CIN in cancer patients undergoing CECT.<h4>Methods</h4>Between 2009 and 2017, 2,240 cancer patients with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 45 mL/min/1.73 m<sup>2</sup> who underwent CECT with CIN prevent ...[more]

PMID: 31057617

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Project description:ObjectivesTo look at the available literature on validated prediction models for contrast induced nephropathy and describe their characteristics.DesignSystematic review.Data sourcesMedline, Embase, and CINAHL (cumulative index to nursing and allied health literature) databases.Review methodsDatabases searched from inception to 2015, and the retrieved reference lists hand searched. Dual reviews were conducted to identify studies published in the English language of prediction models tested with patients that included derivation and validation cohorts. Data were extracted on baseline patient characteristics, procedural characteristics, modelling methods, metrics of model performance, risk of bias, and clinical usefulness. Eligible studies evaluated characteristics of predictive models that identified patients at risk of contrast induced nephropathy among adults undergoing a diagnostic or interventional procedure using conventional radiocontrast media (media used for computed tomography or angiography, and not gadolinium based contrast).Results16 studies were identified, describing 12 prediction models. Substantial interstudy heterogeneity was identified, as a result of different clinical settings, cointerventions, and the timing of creatinine measurement to define contrast induced nephropathy. Ten models were validated internally and six were validated externally. Discrimination varied in studies that were validated internally (C statistic 0.61-0.95) and externally (0.57-0.86). Only one study presented reclassification indices. The majority of higher performing models included measures of pre-existing chronic kidney disease, age, diabetes, heart failure or impaired ejection fraction, and hypotension or shock. No prediction model evaluated its effect on clinical decision making or patient outcomes.ConclusionsMost predictive models for contrast induced nephropathy in clinical use have modest ability, and are only relevant to patients receiving contrast for coronary angiography. Further research is needed to develop models that can better inform patient centred decision making, as well as improve the use of prevention strategies for contrast induced nephropathy.

Project description:ObjectivesNon-contrast computed tomography (NCCT) markers are robust predictors of parenchymal hematoma expansion in intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). We investigated whether NCCT features can also identify ICH patients at risk of intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) growth.MethodsPatients with acute spontaneous ICH admitted at four tertiary centers in Germany and Italy were retrospectively included from January 2017 to June 2020. NCCT markers were rated by two investigators for heterogeneous density, hypodensity, black hole sign, swirl sign, blend sign, fluid level, island sign, satellite sign, and irregular shape. ICH and IVH volumes were semi-manually segmented. IVH growth was defined as IVH expansion > 1 mL (eIVH) or any delayed IVH (dIVH) on follow-up imaging. Predictors of eIVH and dIVH were explored with multivariable logistic regression. Hypothesized moderators and mediators were independently assessed in PROCESS macro models.ResultsA total of 731 patients were included, of whom 185 (25.31%) suffered from IVH growth, 130 (17.78%) had eIVH, and 55 (7.52%) had dIVH. Irregular shape was significantly associated with IVH growth (OR 1.68; 95%CI [1.16-2.44]; p = 0.006). In the subgroup analysis stratified by the IVH growth type, hypodensities were significantly associated with eIVH (OR 2.06; 95%CI [1.48-2.64]; p = 0.015), whereas irregular shape (OR 2.72; 95%CI [1.91-3.53]; p = 0.016) in dIVH. The association between NCCT markers and IVH growth was not mediated by parenchymal hematoma expansion.ConclusionsNCCT features identified ICH patients at a high risk of IVH growth. Our findings suggest the possibility to stratify the risk of IVH growth with baseline NCCT and might inform ongoing and future studies.Clinical relevance statementNon-contrast CT features identified ICH patients at a high risk of intraventricular hemorrhage growth with subtype-specific differences. Our findings may assist in the risk stratification of intraventricular hemorrhage growth with baseline CT and might inform ongoing and future clinical studies.Key points• NCCT features identified ICH patients at a high risk of IVH growth with subtype-specific differences. • The effect of NCCT features was not moderated by time and location or indirectly mediated by hematoma expansion. • Our findings may assist in the risk stratification of IVH growth with baseline NCCT and might inform ongoing and future studies.

Dataset Information

Risk Prediction for Contrast-Induced Nephropathy in Cancer Patients Undergoing Computed Tomography under Preventive Measures.

Background

Methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

Risk Prediction for Contrast-Induced Nephropathy in Cancer Patients Undergoing Computed Tomography under Preventive Measures.

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