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Risk Prediction for Contrast-Induced Nephropathy in Cancer Patients Undergoing Computed Tomography under Preventive Measures.


ABSTRACT:

Background

Contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) is a major cause of acute kidney injury in chronic kidney disease. Many cancer patients have risk factors for CIN and frequently undergo contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT). We aimed to develop a risk prediction model for CIN in cancer patients undergoing CECT.

Methods

Between 2009 and 2017, 2,240 cancer patients with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 45?mL/min/1.73?m2 who underwent CECT with CIN preventive measures were included in a development cohort. Primary outcome was development of CIN, defined as 25% increase in serum creatinine within 2-6 days after contrast exposure. A prediction model was developed using logistic regression analysis. The model was evaluated for prognostic utility in an independent cohort (N = 555).

Results

Overall incidence of CIN was 2.5% (55/2,240). In multivariable analysis, eGFR, diabetes mellitus, and serum albumin level were identified as independent predictors of CIN. A prediction model including eGFR, serum albumin level, and diabetes mellitus was developed, and risk scores ranged from 0 to 6 points. The model demonstrated fair discriminative power (C statistic = 0.733, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.656-0.810) and good calibration (calibration slope 0.867, 95% Cl 0.719-1.015). In the validation cohort, the model also demonstrated fair discriminative power (C statistic = 0.749, 95% CI 0.648-0.849) and good calibration (calibration slope 0.974, 95% CI 0.634-1.315).

Conclusions

The proposed model has good predictive ability for risk of CIN in cancer patients with chronic kidney disease. This model can aid in risk stratification for CIN in patients undergoing CECT.

SUBMITTER: Jeon J 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6463556 | biostudies-literature | 2019

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Risk Prediction for Contrast-Induced Nephropathy in Cancer Patients Undergoing Computed Tomography under Preventive Measures.

Jeon Junseok J   Kim Suhyun S   Yoo Heejin H   Kim Kyunga K   Kim Yaerim Y   Park Sehoon S   Jang Hye Ryoun HR   Kim Dong Ki DK   Huh Wooseong W   Kim Yoon-Goo YG   Kim Dae Joong DJ   Oh Ha Young HY   Lee Jung Eun JE  

Journal of oncology 20190401


<h4>Background</h4>Contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) is a major cause of acute kidney injury in chronic kidney disease. Many cancer patients have risk factors for CIN and frequently undergo contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT). We aimed to develop a risk prediction model for CIN in cancer patients undergoing CECT.<h4>Methods</h4>Between 2009 and 2017, 2,240 cancer patients with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 45 mL/min/1.73 m<sup>2</sup> who underwent CECT with CIN prevent  ...[more]

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