Dataset Information

Predicting fracture risk in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a UK-based population-based cohort study.

ABSTRACT:

Objective

To assess the incidence of hip fracture and all major osteoporotic fractures (MOF) in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) compared with non-COPD patients and to evaluate the use and performance of fracture risk prediction tools in patients with COPD. To assess the prevalence and incidence of osteoporosis.

Design

Population-based cohort study.

Setting

UK General Practice health records from The Health Improvement Network database.

Participants

Patients with an incident COPD diagnosis from 2004 to 2015 and non-COPD patients matched by age, sex and general practice were studied.

Outcomes

Incidence of fracture (hip alone and all MOF); accuracy of fracture risk prediction tools in COPD; and prevalence and incidence of coded osteoporosis.

Methods

Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the incidence rates of osteoporosis, hip fracture and MOF (hip, proximal humerus, forearm and clinical vertebral fractures). The discriminatory accuracies (area under the receiver operating characteristic [ROC] curve) of fracture risk prediction tools (FRAX and QFracture) in COPD were assessed.

Results

Patients with COPD (n=80?874) were at an increased risk of fracture (both hip alone and all MOF) compared with non-COPD patients (n=308?999), but this was largely mediated through oral corticosteroid use, body mass index and smoking. Retrospectively calculated ROC values for MOF in COPD were as follows: FRAX: 71.4% (95% CI 70.6% to 72.2%), QFracture: 61.4% (95% CI 60.5% to 62.3%) and for hip fracture alone, both 76.1% (95% CI 74.9% to 77.2%). Prevalence of coded osteoporosis was greater for patients (5.7%) compared with non-COPD patients (3.9%), p<0.001. The incidence of osteoporosis was increased in patients with COPD (n=73?084) compared with non-COPD patients (n=264?544) (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.13, 95%?CI 1.05 to 1.22).

Conclusion

Patients with COPD are at an increased risk of fractures and osteoporosis. Despite this, there is no systematic assessment of fracture risk in clinical practice. Fracture risk tools identify those at high risk of fracture in patients with COPD.

SUBMITTER: Akyea RK

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6500346 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Predicting fracture risk in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a UK-based population-based cohort study.

Akyea Ralph Kwame RK McKeever Tricia M TM Gibson Jack J Scullion Jane E JE Bolton Charlotte E CE

BMJ open 20190403 4

<h4>Objective</h4>To assess the incidence of hip fracture and all major osteoporotic fractures (MOF) in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) compared with non-COPD patients and to evaluate the use and performance of fracture risk prediction tools in patients with COPD. To assess the prevalence and incidence of osteoporosis.<h4>Design</h4>Population-based cohort study.<h4>Setting</h4>UK General Practice health records from The Health Improvement Network database.<h4>Particip ...[more]

PMID: 30948576

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Project description:INTRODUCTION:Osteoporosis is becoming an impending epidemic in the Asia-Pacific region. The association between risk of osteoporotic fracture (OTPF) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in East Asian patients is yet to be fully examined. We conducted a nationwide population-based retrospective cohort study of 98,700 patients aged ?50 years with or without COPD using a national administrative claims dataset. MATERIALS AND METHODS:The patients were divided into COPD and comparison groups comprising 19,740 and 78,960 patients, respectively. The groups were 1 to 4 matched for age, gender, index date, diabetes mellitus, pre-existing osteoporosis and chronic kidney disease. Information such as the geographic area where southern part represented more sunshine exposure, smoking-related diagnoses, alcohol use disorder, whether there was regular use of inhaled corticosteroids and oral corticosteroids, vitamin D prescriptions, Charlson-Deyo comorbidity index score, and other relevant medical comorbidities were extracted for analysis. They were followed up until OTPF or the end of the year 2013. The outcome measure was an osteoporotic vertebral fracture and other long-bone fractures. A multivariate Cox model was constructed to derive adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) for OTPF with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI) after controlling for age, sex, insurance premium category, vitamin D prescription, osteoporosis, and coronary heart disease (CHD). Kaplan-Meier curves of the probability of OTPF-free survival for each cohort were compared using the log-rank test. Patients with OTPF during the first follow-up year were excluded from the overall risk calculation. Contributing factors to the increased risk of OTPF in COPD patients were examined in a sensitivity analysis. RESULTS:After a total follow-up of 68,743 patient-years for the COPD group and 278,051 patient-years for the matched comparison group, the HR for OTPF was 1.24 (95% CI [1.02-1.51]; P = 0.0322) in COPD patients. The aHR was increased by 30% for vertebral OTPF (aHR = 1.297, 95% CI [1.020-1.649]; P = 0.0339). Differential lag time sensitivity analysis revealed a progressively elevated risk up to 8-fold increase in women (aHR = 8.0 (95% CI [1.81-35.4]; P < 0.01)) during the fifth follow-up year. COPD patients with pre-existing osteoporosis or given vitamin D prescription harbor a sustained increased risk up to the 5th (aHR, 4.1; 95% CI [1.61-10.35]) and third (aHR, 2.97; 95% CI [1.48-5.97]) follow-up year, respectively. CONCLUSIONS:Our nationwide population-based cohort study demonstrates that East Asian COPD patients aged 50 and beyond do harbor a modestly increased risk for osteoporotic vertebral fractures particularly for those who are female, have pre-existing osteoporosis or require vitamin D prescription.

Project description:BackgroundPatients living with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) are at an increased risk of lung cancer. A common comorbidity of COPD is cardiovascular disease; as such, COPD patients often receive statins. This study sought to understand the association between statin exposure and lung cancer risk in a population-based cohort of COPD patients.MethodsWe identified a population-based cohort of COPD patients based on having filled at least three prescriptions for an anticholinergic or short-acting beta-agonist (SABA). We used an array of methods of defining medication exposure including three conventional methods (ever statin exposure, cumulative duration of use, and cumulative dose) and two novel methods (recency-weighted cumulative duration of use and recency-weighted cumulative dose). To assess residual confounding, a negative control exposure was used to test the validity of our results. All exposure variables were time-dependent.ResultsThe population-based cohort of COPD had 39,879 patients with mean age of 70.6 (SD: 11.2) years and, of which, 53.5% were female. There were 12,469 patients who received at least one statin prescription. Results from the reference case multivariable analysis indicated a reduced risk from statin exposure (HR: 0.85 (95% CI: 0.73-1.00) in COPD patients, but this result not statistically significant. Using the two recency-weighted modelling approaches, statin exposure was associated with a statistically significant reduction in lung cancer risk (recency-weighted cumulative dose, HR: 0.85 (95% CI: 0.77-0.93) and recency-weighted cumulative duration of use, HR: 0.97 (95% CI: 0.96-0.99). Multivariable analysis incorporating the negative control exposure was not statistically significant (HR: 0.89 (95% CI: 0.75-1.10).ConclusionsThe results of this population-based analysis indicate that statin use in COPD patients may reduce the risk of lung cancer. While the effect was not statistically significantly across all exposure definitions, the overall results support the hypothesis that COPD patients might benefit from statin therapy.

Project description:ObjectivesSex differences in respiratory physiology and predilection for developing chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) have been documented, suggesting that female sex hormones may influence pathogenesis. We investigated whether aspects of female reproductive health might play a role in risk of COPD among women.DesignPopulation-based prospective cohort study.SettingUK Biobank recruited across 22 centres in the UK between 2006 to 2010.Primary and secondary outcomes measuresWe examined a range of female reproductive health indicators in relation to risk of COPD-related hospitalisation/death (n=271 271) using Cox proportional hazards regression; and lung function (n=273 441) using linear regression.ResultsParity >3 was associated with greater risk of COPD-related hospitalisation/death (adjusted HR 1.45; 95% CI: 1.16 to 1.82) and lower forced expiratory volume at 1 second/forced vital capacity ratio (FEV1/FVC) (adjusted mean difference -0.06; 95% CI: -0.07 to 0.04). Any oral contraception use was associated with lower risk of COPD-related hospitalisation/death (adjusted HR 0.85; 95% CI: 0.74 to 0.97) and greater FEV1/FVC (adjusted mean difference 0.01; 95% CI: 0.003 to 0.03). Late menarche (age >15) and early menopause (age <47) were also associated with greater risk of COPD-related hospitalisation/death (but not lung function), while endometriosis was associated with greater FEV1/FVC (not COPD-related hospitalisation/death). Early menarche (age <12 years) was associated with lower FEV1/FVC (but not COPD hospitalisation/death). Associations with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) or ovarian cysts, any hormone replacement therapy (HRT) use, hysterectomy-alone and both hysterectomy and bilateral oophorectomy were in opposing directions for COPD-related hospitalisation/death (greater risk) and FEV1/FVC (positive association).ConclusionsMultiple female reproductive health indicators across the life course are associated with COPD-related hospitalisation/death and lung function. Further studies are necessary to understand the opposing associations of PCOS/ovarian cysts, HRT and hysterectomy with COPD and objective measures of airway obstruction.

Dataset Information

Predicting fracture risk in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a UK-based population-based cohort study.

Objective

Design

Setting

Participants

Outcomes

Methods

Results

Conclusion

Publications

Predicting fracture risk in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a UK-based population-based cohort study.

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