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Optimized EBMT transplant-specific risk score in myelodysplastic syndromes after allogeneic stem-cell transplantation.

ABSTRACT: The aim of this study was to develop and validate a clinical and transplant-specific prognostic score using data from a large cohort of patients with myelodysplastic syndromes reported to the European Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation registry. A Cox model was fitted to detect clinical and transplant-related variables prognostic of outcome. Then, cross-validation was performed to evaluate the validity and consistency of the model. Seven independent risk factors for survival were identified: age ≥50 years, matched unrelated donor, Karnofsky Performance Status <90%, very poor cytogenetics or monosomal karyotype, positive cytomegalovirus status of the recipient, blood blasts >1%, and platelet count ≤50 × 10⁹/L prior to transplantation. Incorporating these factors into a four-level risk score yielded hazard ratios for death, with low-risk (score of 0-1) as reference, of 2.02 (95% CI: 1.41-2.90) for the intermediate-risk group (score of 2-3), 3.49 (95% CI: 2.45-4.97) for the high-risk group (score of 4-5), and 5.90 (95% CI: 4.01-8.67) for the very high-risk group (score of >5). The score was predictive of survival, relapse-free survival, relapse, and non-relapse mortality (P<0.001, respectively). Cross-validation yielded significant and reproducible improvement in prognostic ability with C-statistics being 0.609 (95% CI: 0.588-0.629) versus 0.555 for the Gruppo Italiano Trapianto di Midollo Osseo registry and 0.579 for the Center for Blood and Marrow Transplant Research registry. Prediction was even further augmented after applying a nomogram using age and platelets as continuous variables showing C-statistics of 0.628 (95% CI: 0.616-0.637). In conclusion, compared to existing prognostic systems, this proposed transplant-specific risk score offers improved performance with respect to post-transplant risk stratification in myelodysplastic syndromes.

SUBMITTER: Gagelmann N

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6518902 | biostudies-literature | 2019 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Optimized EBMT transplant-specific risk score in myelodysplastic syndromes after allogeneic stem-cell transplantation.

Gagelmann Nico N Eikema Diderik-Jan DJ Stelljes Matthias M Beelen Dietrich D de Wreede Liesbeth L Mufti Ghulam G Knelange Nina Simone NS Niederwieser Dietger D Friis Lone S LS Ehninger Gerhard G Nagler Arnon A Yakoub-Agha Ibrahim I Meijer Ellen E Ljungman Per P Maertens Johan J Kanz Lothar L Lopez-Corral Lucia L Brecht Arne A Craddock Charles C Finke Jürgen J Cornelissen Jan J JJ Bernasconi Paolo P Chevallier Patrice P Sierra Jorge J Robin Marie M Kröger Nicolaus N

Haematologica 20190117 5

The aim of this study was to develop and validate a clinical and transplant-specific prognostic score using data from a large cohort of patients with myelodysplastic syndromes reported to the European Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation registry. A Cox model was fitted to detect clinical and transplant-related variables prognostic of outcome. Then, cross-validation was performed to evaluate the validity and consistency of the model. Seven independent risk factors for survival were ident ...[more]

PMID: 30655377

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Project description:Allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HCT) is the only curative treatment for myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS). The proportion of MDS patients referred for transplantation evaluation, those undergoing transplantation, and the reasons for not undergoing transplantation are unknown. In this retrospective analysis, predefined HCT eligibility and indications criteria were applied to 362 unselected patients with newly diagnosed MDS seen by leukemia faculty between 2008 and 2015 at Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center. Two hundred ninety-four patients (81%) were deemed eligible for transplantation and among these, transplantation was considered indicated in 244 (83%). Of these, 158 of 244 (65%) were referred for transplantation evaluation at a median of 3.9 months from diagnosis. Overall 120 of 362 (33%) underwent transplantation at a median of 7.7 months from diagnosis. Metastatic solid-organ malignancy was the major reason for transplantation ineligibility (54%), and death due to MDS, which occurred in 41% of candidates who did not undergo transplantation, was the major reason for not undergoing transplantation. Factors associated with a lower likelihood of referral for transplantation evaluation included age ≥65 (P < .001), ≥2 comorbidities (P = .008), intermediate-1/low risk MDS (P < .001), <5% blasts at diagnosis (overall P < .001), having Medicare/Medicaid health insurance (P < .001), not being married (P = .017), and diagnosis between 2008 and 2011 (P = .035). On multivariate analysis adjusting for all of the previous factors, diagnosis between 2008 and 2011 (P < .001), age ≥65 (P = .001), and <5% blasts at diagnosis (overall P = .031) were associated with a lower likelihood of referral for transplantation evaluation. Factors associated with a lower likelihood of undergoing transplantation included age ≥65 (P < .001), ≥2 comorbidities (P = .003), intermediate-1/low risk MDS (P < .001), <5% blasts (overall P < .001), very low/low/intermediate risk International Prognostic Scoring System-revised karyotype (P = .018), and having Medicare/Medicaid health insurance (P < .001). In multivariate analysis adjusting for all of the previous factors, age ≥65 (P = .021), presence of ≥2 comorbidities (P = .018), and <5% blasts (overall P = .011) were associated with a lower likelihood of undergoing transplantation. The results highlight that transplantation for MDS remains underutilized, particularly for candidates over the age of 65.

Project description:Myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) are a heterogeneous group of hematopoietic stem cell disorders for which allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) is currently the sole curative treatment. Epigenetic lesions are considered a major pathogenetic determinant in many cancers, and in MDS, epigenetic-based interventions have emerged as life-prolonging therapies. However, the impact of epigenomic aberrations on HCT outcomes among patients with MDS are not well understood. We hypothesized that epigenomic signatures in MDS patients before undergoing HCT serve as a novel prognostic indicator of the risk of post-HCT MDS relapse. To evaluate these epigenomic signatures in MDS patients, we analyzed reduced representation bisulfite sequencing profiles in a matched case-control population of 94 patients. Among these HCT recipients, 47 patients with MDS who relapsed post-HCT (cases) were matched 1:1 to patients with MDS who did not relapse (controls). Only patients with wild-type TP53, RAS pathway, and JAK2 mutations were included in this study to promote the discovery of novel factors. Cases were matched with controls based on conditioning regimen intensity, age, sex, Revised International Prognostic Scoring System, Karnofsky Performance Status, graft type, and donor type. Pre-HCT whole-blood samples from cases and matched controls were obtained from the Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research repository. We comprehensively identified differentially methylated regions (DMRs) by comparing the methylation patterns among matched cases and controls. Our findings show that cases displayed more hyper-DMRs pretransplantation compared with controls, even after adjusting for pre-HCT use of hypomethylating agents. Hyper-DMRs specific to cases were mapped to the transcription start site of 218 unique genes enriched in 5 different signaling pathways that may serve as regions of interest and factors to consider as prognostic determinants of post-HCT relapse in MDS patients. Interestingly, although patients selected for this cohort were wild-type for the TP53 gene, cases showed significantly greater levels of methylation at TP53 compared with controls. These findings indicate that previously identified prognostic genes for MDS, such as TP53, may affect disease relapse not only through genetic mutation, but also through epigenetic methylation mechanisms.

Dataset Information

Optimized EBMT transplant-specific risk score in myelodysplastic syndromes after allogeneic stem-cell transplantation.

Publications

Optimized EBMT transplant-specific risk score in myelodysplastic syndromes after allogeneic stem-cell transplantation.

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