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Risk stratification model for in-hospital death in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention: a nationwide retrospective cohort study in Japan.

ABSTRACT: OBJECTIVES:To provide an accurate adjustment for mortality in a benchmark, developing a risk prediction model from its own dataset is mandatory. We aimed to develop and validate a risk model predicting in-hospital mortality in a broad spectrum of Japanese patients after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). DESIGN:A retrospective cohort study was conducted. SETTING:The Japanese-PCI (J-PCI) registry includes a nationally representative retrospective sample of patients who underwent PCI and covers approximately 88% of all PCIs in Japan. PARTICIPANTS:Overall, 669?181 patients who underwent PCI between January 2014 and December 2016 in 1018 institutes. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES:In-hospital death. RESULTS:The study population (n=669?181; mean (SD) age, 70.1(11.0) years; women, 24.0%) was divided into two groups: 50% of the sample was used for model derivation (n=334?591), while the remaining 50% was used for model validation (n=334?590). Using the derivation cohort, both 'full' and 'preprocedure' risk models were developed using logistic regression analysis. Using the validation cohort, the developed risk models were internally validated. The in-hospital mortality rate was 0.7%. The preprocedure model included age, sex, clinical presentation, previous PCI, previous coronary artery bypass grafting, hypertension, dyslipidaemia, smoking, renal dysfunction, dialysis, peripheral vascular disease, previous heart failure and cardiogenic shock. Angiographic information, such as the number of diseased vessel and location of the target lesion, was also included in the full model. Both models performed well in the entire validation cohort (C-indexes: 0.929 and 0.926 for full and preprocedure models, respectively) and among prespecified subgroups with good calibration, although both models underestimated the risk of mortality in high-risk patients with the elective procedure. CONCLUSIONS:These simple models from a nationwide J-PCI registry, which is easily applicable in clinical practice and readily available directly at the patients' presentation, are valid tools for preprocedural risk stratification of patients undergoing PCI in contemporary Japanese practice.

SUBMITTER: Inohara T

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6538054 | biostudies-literature | 2019 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Risk stratification model for in-hospital death in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention: a nationwide retrospective cohort study in Japan.

Inohara Taku T Kohsaka Shun S Yamaji Kyohei K Ishii Hideki H Amano Tetsuya T Uemura Shiro S Kadota Kazushige K Kumamaru Hiraku H Miyata Hiroaki H Nakamura Masato M

BMJ open 20190522 5

<h4>Objectives</h4>To provide an accurate adjustment for mortality in a benchmark, developing a risk prediction model from its own dataset is mandatory. We aimed to develop and validate a risk model predicting in-hospital mortality in a broad spectrum of Japanese patients after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).<h4>Design</h4>A retrospective cohort study was conducted.<h4>Setting</h4>The Japanese-PCI (J-PCI) registry includes a nationally representative retrospective sample of patients wh ...[more]

PMID: 31122979

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Project description:BackgroundThrombocytopenia was intuitively considered to be associated with higher risk of bleeding and multiple comorbidities after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). However, controversial results exist, and the real-world clinical impact of thrombocytopenia in patients undergoing PCI is largely unknown. The aim of this study was to evaluate the influence of baseline thrombocytopenia on the prognosis of patients undergoing PCI.MethodsUsing the West China Hospital Inpatient Sample database, patients who underwent PCI were identified from August 2012 to January 2019. Baseline thrombocytopenia was defined as a preprocedural platelet count of 100 × 109/L or less obtained from a routine blood sample taken within 48 hours before coronary PCI. The clinical effect of the advanced thrombocytopenia group (≤85 × 109/L), according to the median value of platelet count in the thrombocytopenia cohort, was further assessed. The primary outcome was a composite of in-hospital death, bleeding events, and post-PCI transfusion.ResultsOf 9531 patients enrolled in our study, 936 had baseline thrombocytopenia and 8595 patients did not have. There were no significant differences in the primary outcome between the two groups. However, advanced thrombocytopenia was independently associated with higher risk of primary outcome (OR 1.67, 95% CI 1.06 to 2.65, p = 0.029). Acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients with thrombocytopenia were associated with higher odds of major bleeding (BARC ≥ 2) (OR 2.56, 95% CI 1.24 to 5.44, p = 0.011). Compared with the nonthrombocytopenia group, the thrombocytopenia group with ticagrelor use had higher odds of major bleeding (OR 9.7, 95% CI 1.57 to 60.4 versus OR 0.22, 95% CI 0.03 to 1.69, interaction p = 0.025).ConclusionsIt seems feasible for patients with thrombocytopenia to receive PCI, but close attention should be paid to advanced thrombocytopenia, the risk of postprocedure bleeding in ACS patients, and the use of more potent P2Y12 inhibitor.

Project description:Large-scale registries have demonstrated that in-hospital mortality after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) varies widely across institutions. However, whether this variation is related to major procedural complications (e.g., bleeding) is unclear. In this study, institutional variation in in-hospital mortality and its association with PCI-related bleeding complications were investigated. We analyzed 388,866 procedures at 718 hospitals performed from 2017 to 2018, using data from a nationwide PCI registry in Japan. Hospitals were stratified into quintiles according to risk-adjusted in-hospital mortality (very low, low, medium, high, and very high). Incidence of bleeding complications, defined as procedure-related bleeding events that required a blood transfusion, and in-hospital mortality in patients who developed bleeding complications were calculated for each quintile. Overall, 4,048 (1.04%) in-hospital deaths and 1,535 (0.39%) bleeding complications occurred. Among patients with bleeding complications, 270 (17.6%) died during hospitalization. In-hospital mortality ranged from 0.22% to 2.46% in very low to very high mortality hospitals. The rate of bleeding complications varied modestly from 0.27% to 0.57% (odds ratio, 1.95; 95% confidence interval, 1.58-2.39). However, mortality after bleeding complications markedly increased by quintile and was 6-fold higher in very high mortality hospitals than very low mortality hospitals (29.0% vs. 4.8%; odds ratio, 12.2; 95% confidence interval, 6.90-21.7). In conclusion, institutional variation in in-hospital mortality after PCI was associated with procedure-related bleeding complications, and this variation was largely driven by differences in mortality after bleeding complications rather than difference in their incidence. These findings underscore the importance of efforts toward reducing not only bleeding complications but also, even more importantly, subsequent mortality once they have occurred.

Project description:BackgroundCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has negatively affected access to healthcare systems and treatment timelines. This study was designed to explore the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on patients who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).MethodsFrom January 2019 to December 2020, 489,001 patients from 1068 institutions were registered in the Japanese nationwide PCI (J-PCI) registry. We constructed generalized linear models to assess the difference in the daily number of patients and in-hospital outcomes between 2019 and 2020.FindingsIn total, 207 institutions (19·3%) had closed or restricted access during the first COVID-19 outbreak in May 2020; the number of closed or restricted institutions had plateaued at a median of 121 institutions (11·3%). The daily case volume of PCI significantly decreased in 2020 (by 6·7% compared with that in 2019; 95% confidence interval [CI], 6·2-7·2%; p < 0·001). Marked differences in the presentation of PCI patients were observed; more patients presented with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (18·3% vs. 17·5%; p < 0·001), acute heart failure (4·49% vs. 4·30%; p = 0·001), cardiogenic shock (3·79% vs. 3·45%; p < 0·001), and cardiopulmonary arrest (2·12% vs. 2·00%; p = 0·002) in 2020. The excess adjusted in-hospital mortality rate in patients treated in 2020 relative to those treated in 2019 was significant (adjusted odds ratio, 1·054; 95% CI, 1·004-1·107; p = 0·03).InterpretationWhile the number of patients who underwent PCI substantially decreased during the COVID-19 pandemic, more patients presented with high-risk characteristics and were associated with significantly higher adjusted in-hospital mortality.FundingThe J-PCI registry is a registry led and supported by the Japanese Association of Cardiovascular Intervention and Therapeutics. The present study was supported by the Grant-in-Aid from the Ministry of Health and Labour (No. 20IA2002 and 21FA1015), the Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research from the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (KAKENHI; No. 21K08064), and the Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development (No. 17ek0210097h000).

Dataset Information

Risk stratification model for in-hospital death in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention: a nationwide retrospective cohort study in Japan.

Publications

Risk stratification model for in-hospital death in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention: a nationwide retrospective cohort study in Japan.

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