Dataset Information

Predicting Risk in Patients Hospitalized for Acute Decompensated Heart Failure and Preserved Ejection Fraction: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study Heart Failure Community Surveillance.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:Risk-prediction models specifically for hospitalized heart failure with preserved ejection fraction are lacking. METHODS AND RESULTS:We analyzed data from the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) Study Heart Failure Community Surveillance to create and validate a risk score predicting mortality in patients ?55 years of age admitted with acute decompensated heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (ejection fraction ?50%). A modified version of the risk-prediction model for acute heart failure developed from patients in the EFFECT (Enhanced Feedback for Effective Cardiac Treatment) study was used as a composite predictor of 28-day and 1-year mortalities and evaluated together with other potential predictors in a stepwise logistic regression. The derivation sample consisted of 1852 hospitalizations from 2005 to 2011 (mean age, 77 years; 65% women; 74% white). Risk scores were created from the identified predictors and validated in hospitalizations from 2012 to 2013 (n=821). Mortality in the derivation and validation sample was 11% and 8% at 28 days and 34% and 31% at 1 year. The modified EFFECT score, including age, systolic blood pressure, blood urea nitrogen, sodium, cerebrovascular disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and hemoglobin, was a powerful predictor of mortality. Another important predictor for both 28-day and 1-year mortalities was hypoxia. The risk scores were well calibrated and had good discrimination in the derivation sample (area under the curve: 0.76 for 28-day and 0.72 for 1-year mortalities) and validation sample (area under the curve: 0.73 and 0.71, respectively). CONCLUSIONS:Mortality after acute decompensation in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction is high, with one third of patients dying within a year. A prediction tool may allow for greater discrimination of the highest risk patients. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION:URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00005131.

SUBMITTER: Thorvaldsen T

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6592614 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Predicting Risk in Patients Hospitalized for Acute Decompensated Heart Failure and Preserved Ejection Fraction: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study Heart Failure Community Surveillance.

Thorvaldsen Tonje T Claggett Brian L BL Shah Amil A Cheng Susan S Agarwal Sunil K SK Wruck Lisa M LM Chang Patricia P PP Rosamond Wayne D WD Lewis Eldrin F EF Desai Akshay S AS Lund Lars H LH Solomon Scott D SD

Circulation. Heart failure 20171201 12

<h4>Background</h4>Risk-prediction models specifically for hospitalized heart failure with preserved ejection fraction are lacking.<h4>Methods and results</h4>We analyzed data from the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) Study Heart Failure Community Surveillance to create and validate a risk score predicting mortality in patients ≥55 years of age admitted with acute decompensated heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (ejection fraction ≥50%). A modified version of the risk-predi ...[more]

PMID: 29242352

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Project description:Background Although the prognostic importance of pulmonary arterial capacitance (PAC; stroke volume/pulmonary arterial pulse pressure) has been elucidated in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction, whether its significance in patients suffering from heart failure with preserved ejection fraction is not known. We aimed to examine the association of PAC with outcomes in inpatients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. Methods and Results We prospectively studied 705 patients (median age, 83 years; 55% women) registered in PURSUIT-HFpEF (Prospective Multicenter Observational Study of Patients With Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction). We investigated the association of echocardiographic PAC at discharge with the primary end point of all-cause death or heart failure rehospitalization with a mean follow-up of 384 days. We further tested the acceptability of the prognostic significance of PAC in a subgroup of patients (167/705 patients; median age, 81 years; 53% women) in whom PAC was assessed by right heart catheterization. The median echocardiographic PAC was 2.52 mL/mm Hg, with a quartile range of 1.78 to 3.32 mL/mm Hg. Univariable and multivariable Cox regression testing revealed that echocardiographic PAC was associated with the primary end point (unadjusted hazard ratio, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.72-0.92; P=0.001; adjusted hazard ratio, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.74-0.99; P=0.035, respectively). Univariable Cox regression testing revealed that PAC assessed by right heart catheterization (median calculated PAC, 2.82 mL/mm Hg) was also associated with the primary end point (unadjusted HR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.52-0.91; P=0.005). Conclusions A prospective cohort study revealed that impaired PAC diagnosed with both echocardiography and right heart catheterization was associated with adverse outcomes in inpatients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. Registration URL: https://upload.umin.ac.jp/cgi-open-bin/ctr_e/ctr_view.cgi?recptno=R000024414. Unique identifier: UMIN000021831.

Project description:Background and objectivesThe relationship among anemia, renal dysfunction, left ventricular ejection fraction, and outcomes of patients hospitalized for acute decompensated heart failure is unclear. The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between cardiorenal anemia syndrome and postdischarge outcomes in patients hospitalized for heart failure with a preserved or reduced ejection fraction.Design, setting, participants, & measurementsOf 4842 patients enrolled in the Acute Decompensated Heart Failure Syndromes Registry between April 1, 2007 and December 31, 2011, 4393 patients were evaluated to investigate the association among anemia, renal dysfunction, preserved or reduced ejection fraction, and the primary end point (mortality and readmission for heart failure since discharge). The patients were divided into four groups on the basis of eGFR and hemoglobin at discharge. The median follow-up period after discharge was 432 (range=253-659) days.ResultsThe primary end point was reached in 37.6% and 34.8% of the preserved and reduced ejection fraction groups, respectively. After adjustment for multiple comorbidities, there was no significant association of either renal dysfunction or anemia alone with the primary end point in patients with preserved ejection fraction, but the combination of renal dysfunction and anemia was associated with a significantly higher risk than that without either condition (hazard ratio, 1.54; 95% confidence interval, 1.12 to 2.12; P<0.01). In patients with reduced ejection fraction, adjusted analysis showed that a significantly higher risk of the primary end point was associated with renal dysfunction alone (hazard ratio, 1.65; 95% confidence interval, 1.21 to 2.25; P=0.002) and also, renal dysfunction plus anemia relative to the risk without either condition (hazard ratio, 2.19; 95% confidence interval, 1.62 to 2.96; P<0.001).ConclusionsThe findings show that renal dysfunction combined with anemia is associated with an increased risk of adverse postdischarge outcomes in patients with preserved ejection fraction, whereas renal dysfunction is an independent predictor of the risk of adverse outcomes in patients with reduced ejection fraction, regardless of anemia.

Project description:BackgroundLifetime risk of heart failure has been estimated to range from 20% to 46% in diverse sex and race groups. However, lifetime risk estimates for the 2 HF phenotypes, HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), are not known.MethodsParticipant-level data from 2 large prospective cohort studies, the CHS (Cardiovascular Health Study) and MESA (Multiethnic Study of Atherosclerosis), were pooled, excluding individuals with prevalent HF at baseline. Remaining lifetime risk estimates for HFpEF (EF ≥45%) and HFrEF (EF <45%) were determined at different index ages with the use of a modified Kaplan-Meier method with mortality and the other HF subtype as competing risks.ResultsWe included 12 417 participants >45 years of age (22.2% blacks, 44.8% men) who were followed up for median duration of 11.6 years with 2178 overall incident HF events with 561 HFrEF events and 726 HFpEF events. At the index age of 45 years, the lifetime risk for any HF through 90 years of age was higher in men than women (27.4% versus 23.8%). Among HF subtypes, the lifetime risk for HFrEF was higher in men than women (10.6% versus 5.8%). In contrast, the lifetime risk for HFpEF was similar in men and women. In race-stratified analyses, lifetime risk for overall HF was higher in nonblacks than blacks (25.9% versus 22.4%). Among HF subtypes, the lifetime risk for HFpEF was higher in nonblacks than blacks (11.2% versus 7.7%), whereas that for HFrEF was similar across the 2 groups. Among participants with antecedent myocardial infarction before HF diagnosis, the remaining lifetime risks for HFpEF and HFrEF were up to 2.5-fold and 4-fold higher, respectively, compared with those without antecedent myocardial infarction.ConclusionsLifetime risks for HFpEF and HFrEF vary by sex, race, and history of antecedent myocardial infarction. These insights into the distribution of HF risk and its subtypes could inform the development of targeted strategies to improve population-level HF prevention and control.

Project description:BackgroundHeart failure (HF) with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is a heterogeneous syndrome. Some patients develop elevated filling pressures exclusively during exercise and never require hospitalization, whereas others periodically develop congestion that requires inpatient treatment. The features differentiating these cohorts are unclear.MethodsWe performed a secondary analysis of 7 National Institutes of Health-sponsored multicenter trials of HFpEF (EF ≥ 50%, N = 727). Patients were stratified by history of hospitalization because of HF, comparing patients never hospitalized (HFpEFNH) to those with a prior hospitalization (HFpEFPH). Currently hospitalized (HFpEFCH) patients were included to fill the spectrum. Clinical characteristics, cardiac structure, biomarkers, quality of life, functional capacity, activity levels, and outcomes were compared.ResultsAs expected, HFpEFCH (n = 338) displayed the greatest severity of congestion, as assessed by N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide levels, edema and orthopnea. As compared to HFpEFNH (n = 109), HFpEFPH (n = 280) displayed greater comorbidity burden, with more lung disease, renal dysfunction and anemia, along with lower activity levels (accelerometry), poorer exercise capacity (6-minute walk distance and peak exercise capacity), and more orthopnea. Patients with current or prior hospitalization displayed higher rates of future HF hospitalization, but quality of life was similarly impaired in all patients with HFpEF, regardless of hospitalization history.ConclusionsA greater burden of noncardiac organ dysfunction, sedentariness, functional impairment, and higher event rates distinguish patients with HFpEF and prior HF hospitalization from those never hospitalized. Despite lower event rates, quality of life is severely and similarly limited in patients with no history of hospitalization. These data suggest that the 2 clinical profiles of HFpEF may require different treatment strategies.

Dataset Information

Predicting Risk in Patients Hospitalized for Acute Decompensated Heart Failure and Preserved Ejection Fraction: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study Heart Failure Community Surveillance.

Publications

Predicting Risk in Patients Hospitalized for Acute Decompensated Heart Failure and Preserved Ejection Fraction: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study Heart Failure Community Surveillance.

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