Dataset Information

A Pre-operative Nomogram for Prediction of Lymph Node Metastasis in Bladder Urothelial Carcinoma.

ABSTRACT: The status of lymph node (LN) metastases plays a decisive role in the selection of surgical procedures and post-operative treatment. Several histopathologic features, known as predictors of LN metastasis, are commonly available post-operatively. Medical imaging improved pre-operative diagnosis, but the results are not fully satisfactory due to substantial false positives. Thus, a reliable and robust method for pre-operative assessment of LN status is urgently required. We developed a prediction model in a training set from the TCGA-BLCA cohort including 196 bladder urothelial carcinoma samples with confirmed LN metastasis status. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression was harnessed for dimension reduction, feature selection, and LNM signature building. Multivariable logistic regression was used to develop the prognostic model, incorporating the LNM signature, and a genomic mutation of MLL2, and was presented with a LNM nomogram. The performance of the nomogram was assessed with respect to its calibration, discrimination, and clinical usefulness. Internal validation was evaluated by the testing set from the TCGA cohort and independent validation was assessed by two independent cohorts. The LNM signature, which consisted of 48 selected features, was significantly associated with LN status (p < 0.005 for both the training and testing sets of the TCGA cohort). Predictors contained in the individualized prediction nomogram included the LNM signature and MLL2 mutation status. The model demonstrated good discrimination, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 98.7% (85.3% for testing set) and good calibration with p = 0.973 (0.485 for testing set) in the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the LNM nomogram was clinically useful. This study presents a pre-operative nomogram incorporating a LNM signature and a genomic mutation, which can be conveniently utilized to facilitate pre-operative individualized prediction of LN metastasis in patients with bladder urothelial carcinoma.

SUBMITTER: Lu X

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6598397 | biostudies-literature | 2019

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

A Pre-operative Nomogram for Prediction of Lymph Node Metastasis in Bladder Urothelial Carcinoma.

Lu Xiaofan X Wang Yang Y Jiang Liyun L Gao Jun J Zhu Yue Y Hu Wenjun W Wang Jiashuo J Ruan Xinjia X Xu Zhengbao Z Meng Xiaowei X Zhang Bing B Yan Fangrong F

Frontiers in oncology 20190621

The status of lymph node (LN) metastases plays a decisive role in the selection of surgical procedures and post-operative treatment. Several histopathologic features, known as predictors of LN metastasis, are commonly available post-operatively. Medical imaging improved pre-operative diagnosis, but the results are not fully satisfactory due to substantial false positives. Thus, a reliable and robust method for pre-operative assessment of LN status is urgently required. We developed a prediction ...[more]

PMID: 31293963

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Project description:BackgroundGrowing evidence suggests that tumor metastasis necessitates multi-step microenvironmental regulation. Lymph node metastasis (LNM) influences both pre- and post-operative bladder cancer (BLCA) treatment strategies. Given that current LNM diagnosis methods are still insufficient, we intend to investigate the microenvironmental changes in BLCA with and without LNM and develop a prediction model to confirm LNM status.Method"Estimation of Stromal and Immune cells in Malignant Tumors using Expression data" (ESTIMATE) algorithm was used to characterize the tumor microenvironment pattern of TCGA-BLCA cohort, and dimension reduction, feature selection, and StrLNM signature construction were accomplished using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression. StrLNM signature was combined with the genomic mutation to establish an LNM nomogram by using multivariable logistic regression. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated in terms of calibration, discrimination, and clinical utility. The testing set from the TCGA-BLCA cohort was used for internal validation. Moreover, three independent cohorts were used for external validation, and BLCA patients from our cohort were also used for further validation.ResultsThe StrLNM signature, consisting of 22 selected features, could accurately predict LNM status in the TCGA-BLCA cohort and several independent cohorts. The nomogram performed well in discriminating LNM status, with the area under curve (AUC) of 75.1% and 65.4% in training and testing datasets from the TCGA-BLCA cohort. Furthermore, the StrLNM nomogram demonstrated good calibration with p >0.05 in the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test. Decision curve analysis (DCA) revealed that the StrLNM nomogram had a high potential for clinical utility. Additionally, 14 of 22 stably expressed genes were identified by survival analysis and confirmed by qPCR in BLCA patient samples in our cohort.ConclusionIn summary, we developed a nomogram that included an StrLNM signature and facilitated the preoperative prediction of LNM status in BLCA patients.

Project description:This study aimed to evaluate the feasibility of applying a clinical multimodal radiomics nomogram based on ultrasonography (US) and multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) for the prediction of cervical lymph node metastasis (LNM) in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) preoperatively. We performed retrospective evaluations of 133 patients with pathologically confirmed PTC, who were assigned to the training cohort and validation cohort (7 : 3), and extracted radiomics features from the preoperative US, T2-weighted (T2WI),diffusion-weighted (DWI), and contrast-enhanced T1-weighted (CE-T1WI) images. Optimal subsets were selected using minimum redundancy, maximum relevance, and recursive feature elimination in the support vector machine (SVM). For LNM prediction, the radiomics model was constructed by SVM, and Multi-Omics Graph cOnvolutional NETworks (MOGONET) was used for the effective classification of multiradiomics data. Multivariable logistic regression incorporating multiradiomics signatures and clinical risk factors was used to generate a nomogram, whose performance and clinical utility were assessed. Results showed that the nine most predictive features were separately selected from US, T2WI, DWI, and CE-T1WI images, and 18 features were selected in the combined model. The combined radiomics model showed better performance than models based on US, T2WI, DWI, and CE-T1WI. In a comparison of the combined radiomics and MOGONET model, receiver operating curve analysis showed that the area under the curve (AUC) value (95% CI) was 0.84 (0.76-0.93) and 0.84 (0.71-0.96) for the MOGONET model in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The corresponding values (95% CI) for the combined radiomics model were 0.82 (0.74-0.90) and 0.77 (0.61-0.94), respectively. The MOGONET model had better performance and better prediction specificity compared with the combined radiomics model. The nomogram including the MOGONET signature showed a better predictive value (AUC: 0.81 vs. 0.88) in the training and validation (AUC: 0.74vs. 0.87) cohorts, as compared with the clinical model. Calibration curves showed good agreement in both cohorts. The applicability of the clinical multimodal radiomics (CMR) nomogram in clinical settings was validated by decision curve analysis. In patients with PTC, the CMR nomogram could improve the prediction of cervical LNM preoperatively and may be helpful in clinical decision-making.

Project description:Radiomics studies to predict lymph node (LN) metastasis has only focused on either primary tumor or LN alone. However, combining radiomics features from multiple sources may reflect multiple characteristic of the lesion thereby increasing the discriminative performance of the radiomic model. Therefore, the present study intends to evaluate the efficiency of integrative nomogram, created by combining clinical parameters and radiomics features extracted from gross tumor volume (GTV), peritumoral volume (PTV) and LN, for the preoperative prediction of LN metastasis in clinical cT1N0M0 adenocarcinoma. A primary cohort of 163 patients (training cohort, 113; and internal validation cohort, 50) and an external validation cohort of 53 patients with clinical stage cT1N0M0 were retrospectively included. Features were extracted from three regions of interests (ROIs): GTV; PTV (5.0 mm around the tumor) and LN on pre-operative contrast enhanced computed tomography (CT). LASSO logistic regression method was used to build radiomic signatures. Multivariable regression analysis was used to build a nomogram. The performance of the nomogram was assessed with respect to its calibration, discrimination, and clinical usefulness. The discriminative performance of nomogram was validated both internally and externally. The radiomic signatures using the features of GTV, PTV and LN showed a good ability in predicting LN metastasis with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.74 (95% CI 0.60-0.88), 0.72 (95% CI 0.57-0.87) and 0.64 (95% CI 0.48-0.80) respectively in external validation cohort. The integration of different signature together further increases the discriminatory ability: GTV + PTV (GPTV): AUC 0.75 (95% CI 0.61-0.89) and GPTV + LN: AUC 0.76 (95% CI 0.61-0.91) in external validation cohort. An integrative nomogram of clinical parameters and radiomic features demonstrated further increase in discriminatory ability with AUC of 0.79 (95% CI 0.66-0.93) in external validation cohort. The nomogram showed good calibration. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the radiomic nomogram was clinically useful. The integration of information from clinical parameters along with CT radiomics information from GTV, PTV and LN was feasible and increases the predictive performance of the nomogram in predicting LN status in cT1N0M0 adenocarcinoma patients suggesting merit of information integration from multiple sources in building prediction model.

Dataset Information

A Pre-operative Nomogram for Prediction of Lymph Node Metastasis in Bladder Urothelial Carcinoma.

Publications

A Pre-operative Nomogram for Prediction of Lymph Node Metastasis in Bladder Urothelial Carcinoma.

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