Dataset Information

Age, thyroglobulin levels and ATA risk stratification predict 10-year survival rate of differentiated thyroid cancer patients.

ABSTRACT:

Introduction

Differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is the most common of endocrine cancers. Many studies have focused on recurrence-free survival of DTC patients, however, few studies have addressed overall survival rates. Given its very good prognosis, estimating overall or long-term survival in patients with DTC seems rational. So far, neither the impact of pre- and post-ablation thyroglobulin, nor that of initial American Thyroid Association (ATA) risk stratification on long-term disease-specific survival, have been sufficiently studied.

Objective

The aim of this study was to determine the factors that influence long-term disease-specific survival and thyroglobulin levels in patients with DTC who have been previously treated with thyroidectomy and radioactive iodine (RAI) remnant ablation.

Patients and methods

This observational retrospective study included 1093 patients who were treated for DTC between 1995 and 2010 and are still monitored in our tertiary center. Only patients who needed RAI ablation after thyroidectomy were included in this study. Patients who were treated with RAI following rhTSH stimulation, patients who presented positive anti-thyroglobulin antibodies, and patients who had micro-cancers were excluded. Pre-ablation stimulated thyroglobulin (Pre-ablation sTg) was measured after thyroid hormone withdrawal (THW), just before RAI.

Results

According to ATA standards, 29 patients (2.7%) were classified as high-risk patients. Initial ATA high-recurrence risk rating (HR 21.9; 95% CI: 8.5-56.3), age>55 years (HR 23.8; 95%-CI: 7.5-75.3) and pre-ablation sTg?30 ?g/l (HR 8.4; 95% CI: 4.6-15.3) significantly impacted ten-year survival. Moreover, age over 45 years, ATA moderate-risk and follicular DTC were also significant. Ten-year survival was lower in ATA high-risk patients (51% vs 95% and 93% for the low and intermediate risk; p<10-7), patients older than 55 years (82% vs 98%; p<10-7), and in patients with pre-ablation sTg?30 (78% vs 95%; p<10-7). Three rates of long-term survival were distinguished: excellent (survival rate of 99% in patients<55 years with pre-ablation sTg <30?g/l) representing 59% of the cohort, moderate (survival rate of 94.5% in patients <55 years with pre-ablation sTg ?30?g/l or ?55 years with pre-ablation sTg <30 ?g/l) representing 38% of the cohort, and low (survival rate of 49% in patients ?55 years with pre-ablation sTg ?30?g/l) representing 3% of the cohort.

Conclusion

Initial ATA high-risk classification, age over 55 years old and pre-ablation sTg ?30 ?g/l are the main negative factors that influence the ten-year survival in DTC. We suggest three categories of overall survival rates. Patients older than 55 years with pre-ablation sTg ?30 ?g/l have the worst survival rate.

SUBMITTER: Kelly A

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6699685 | biostudies-literature | 2019

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Age, thyroglobulin levels and ATA risk stratification predict 10-year survival rate of differentiated thyroid cancer patients.

Kelly Antony A Barres Bertrand B Kwiatkowski Fabrice F Batisse-Lignier Marie M Aubert Bernadette B Valla Clémence C Somda Frédéric F Cachin Florent F Tauveron Igor I Maqdasy Salwan S

PloS one 20190819 8

<h4>Introduction</h4>Differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is the most common of endocrine cancers. Many studies have focused on recurrence-free survival of DTC patients, however, few studies have addressed overall survival rates. Given its very good prognosis, estimating overall or long-term survival in patients with DTC seems rational. So far, neither the impact of pre- and post-ablation thyroglobulin, nor that of initial American Thyroid Association (ATA) risk stratification on long-term diseas ...[more]

PMID: 31425569

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Project description:BackgroundStudies have reported differing factors associated with poor outcomes in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). We aimed to describe our 20 years of experience in the management of thyroid cancer (TC) and identify predictors of treatment outcomes.MethodsWe conducted a retrospective review of medical records of patients with TC seen in the Thyroid Center at King Saud University Medical City (KSUMC) in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, between the years 2000 and 2020. Demographic and clinical data including pathological characteristics were collected. The American Thyroid Association (ATA) risk stratification was determined for all patients at the postoperative period as well as the response to therapy at the final follow-up visit.ResultsA total of 674 patients (mean age: 47.21 years) with TC, 571 (84.7%) of which were women, were included. There were 404 (60.0%) patients with ATA low risk, 127 (18.8%) with intermediate risk, and 143 (21.2%) with high-risk histology. Overall, 461 patients (68.4%) had an excellent response to treatment, 65 (9.6%) had an indeterminate response, 83 (12.3%) had a biochemical incomplete response, and 65 (9.6%) had a structural incomplete response. Patients who had an excellent response were mostly ATA low risk (n = 318 of 431, 68.1%), whereas 40 of 65 patients (61.5%) of those with ATA high-risk histology had a structural incomplete response to treatment. There were significantly more women who had an excellent response compared with men. Obesity, lymphovascular invasion, and size of the tumor were significant predictors of worse outcomes to therapy.ConclusionTumor size, lymphovascular invasion, and obesity are strong predictors of a worse response to therapy among patients with TC. Patients with obesity should be carefully followed up regardless of their risk stratification in light of the recent compelling evidence associating obesity with thyroid cancer and its higher risk of a worse disease outcome. ATA risk stratification is well correlated with patient long-term outcomes.

Project description:ContextAlthough response to therapy assessment is a validated tool for dynamic risk stratification in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) treated with total thyroidectomy (TT) and radioactive iodine therapy (RAI), it has not been well studied in patients treated with lobectomy or TT without RAI. Because these responses to therapy definitions are heavily dependent on serum thyroglobulin (Tg) levels, modifications of the original definitions were needed to appropriately classify patients treated without RAI.ObjectiveThis study aimed to validate the response to therapy assessment in patients with DTC treated with lobectomy or TT without RAI.Design and settingThis was a retrospective study, which took place at a referral center.PatientsA total of 507 adults with DTC were treated with lobectomy (n = 187) or TT (n = 320) without RAI. They had a median age of 43.7 y, 88% were female, 85.4% had low risk, and 14.6% intermediate risk.Main outcome measureMain outcome measured was recurrent/persistent structural evidence of disease (SED) during a median followup period of 100.5 months (24-510).ResultsRecurrent/persistent SED was observed in 0% of the patients with excellent response to therapy (nonstimulated Tg for TT < 0.2 ng/mL and for lobectomy < 30 ng/mL, undetectable Tg antibodies [TgAb] and negative imaging; n = 326); 1.3% with indeterminate response (nonstimulated Tg for TT 0.2-5 ng/mL, stable or declining TgAb and/or nonspecific imaging findings; n = 2/152); 31.6% of the patients with biochemical incomplete response (nonstimulated Tg for TT > 5 ng/mL and for lobectomy > 30 ng/mL and/or increasing Tg with similar TSH levels and/or increasing TgAb and negative imaging; n = 6/19) and all (100%) patients with structural incomplete response (n = 10/10) (P < .0001). Initial American Thyroid Association risk estimates were significantly modified based on response to therapy assessment.ConclusionsOur data validate the newly proposed response to therapy assessment in patients with DTC treated with lobectomy or TT without RAI as an effective tool to modify initial risk estimates of recurrent/persistent SED and better tailor followup and future therapeutic approaches. This study provides further evidence to support a selective use of RAI in DTC.

Dataset Information

Age, thyroglobulin levels and ATA risk stratification predict 10-year survival rate of differentiated thyroid cancer patients.

Introduction

Objective

Patients and methods

Results

Conclusion

Publications

Age, thyroglobulin levels and ATA risk stratification predict 10-year survival rate of differentiated thyroid cancer patients.

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