Dataset Information

Predicting the Risk of Huntington's Disease with Multiple Longitudinal Biomarkers.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:Huntington's disease (HD) has gradually become a public health threat, and there is a growing interest in developing prognostic models to predict the time for HD diagnosis. OBJECTIVE:This study aims to develop a novel prognostic model that leverages multiple longitudinal biomarkers to inform the risk of HD. METHODS:The multivariate functional principal component analysis was used to summarize the essential information from multiple longitudinal markers and to obtain a set of prognostic scores. The prognostic scores were used as predictors in a Cox model to predict the right-censored time to diagnosis. We used cross-validation to determine the best model in PREDICT-HD (n?=?1,039) and ENROLL-HD (n?=?1,776); external validation was carried out in ENROLL-HD. RESULTS:We considered six commonly measured longitudinal biomarkers in PREDICT-HD and ENROLL-HD (Total Motor Score, Symbol Digit Modalities Test, Stroop Word Test, Stroop Color Test, Stroop Interference Test, and Total Functional Capacity). The prognostic model utilizing these longitudinal biomarkers significantly improved the predictive performance over the model with baseline biomarker information. A new prognostic index was computed using the proposed model, and can be dynamically updated over time as new biomarker measurements become available. CONCLUSION:Longitudinal measurements of commonly measured clinical biomarkers substantially improve the risk prediction of Huntington's disease diagnosis. Calculation of the prognostic index informs the patient's risk category and facilitates patient selection in future clinical trials.

SUBMITTER: Li F

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6718328 | biostudies-literature | 2019

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Predicting the Risk of Huntington's Disease with Multiple Longitudinal Biomarkers.

Li Fan F Li Kan K Li Cai C Luo Sheng S

Journal of Huntington's disease 20190101 3

<h4>Background</h4>Huntington's disease (HD) has gradually become a public health threat, and there is a growing interest in developing prognostic models to predict the time for HD diagnosis.<h4>Objective</h4>This study aims to develop a novel prognostic model that leverages multiple longitudinal biomarkers to inform the risk of HD.<h4>Methods</h4>The multivariate functional principal component analysis was used to summarize the essential information from multiple longitudinal markers and to obt ...[more]

PMID: 31256145

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Project description:Proton magnetic resonance spectroscopy is a non-invasive method of exploring cerebral metabolism. In Huntington's disease, altered proton magnetic resonance spectroscopy-determined concentrations of several metabolites have been described; however, findings are often discrepant and longitudinal studies are lacking. Proton magnetic resonance spectroscopy metabolites may represent a source of biomarkers, thus their relationship with established markers of disease progression require further exploration to assess prognostic value and elucidate pathways associated with neurodegeneration. In a prospective single-site controlled cohort study with standardized collection of CSF, blood, phenotypic and volumetric imaging data, we used 3 T proton magnetic resonance spectroscopy in conjunction with the linear combination of model spectra method to quantify seven metabolites (total n-acetylaspartate, total creatine, total choline, myo-inositol, GABA, glutamate and glutathione) in the putamen of 59 participants at baseline (15 healthy controls, 15 premanifest and 29 manifest Huntington's disease gene expansion carriers) and 48 participants at 2-year follow-up (12 healthy controls, 13 premanifest and 23 manifest Huntington's disease gene expansion carriers). Intergroup differences in concentration and associations with CSF and plasma biomarkers; including neurofilament light chain and mutant Huntingtin, volumetric imaging markers; namely whole brain, caudate, grey matter and white matter volume, measures of disease progression and cognitive decline, were assessed cross-sectionally using generalized linear models and partial correlation. We report no significant groupwise differences in metabolite concentration at baseline but found total creatine and total n-acetylaspartate to be significantly reduced in manifest compared with premanifest participants at follow-up. Additionally, total creatine and myo-inositol displayed significant associations with reduced caudate volume across both time points in gene expansion carriers. Although relationships were observed between proton magnetic resonance spectroscopy metabolites and biofluid measures, these were not consistent across time points. To further assess prognostic value, we examined whether baseline proton magnetic resonance spectroscopy values, or rate of change, predicted subsequent change in established measures of disease progression. Several associations were found but were inconsistent across known indicators of disease progression. Finally, longitudinal mixed-effects models revealed glutamine + glutamate to display a slow linear decrease over time in gene expansion carriers. Altogether, our findings show some evidence of reduced total n-acetylaspartate and total creatine as the disease progresses and cross-sectional associations between select metabolites, namely total creatine and myo-inositol, and markers of disease progression, potentially highlighting the proposed roles of neuroinflammation and metabolic dysfunction in disease pathogenesis. However, the absence of consistent group differences, inconsistency between baseline and follow-up, and lack of clear longitudinal change suggests that proton magnetic resonance spectroscopy metabolites have limited potential as Huntington's disease biomarkers.

Project description:The initial stages of neurodegeneration are commonly marked by normal levels of cognitive and motor performance despite the presence of structural brain pathology. Compensation is widely assumed to account for this preserved behaviour, but despite the apparent simplicity of such a concept, it has proven incredibly difficult to demonstrate such a phenomenon and distinguish it from disease-related pathology. Recently, we developed a model of compensation whereby brain activation, behaviour and pathology, components key to understanding compensation, have specific longitudinal trajectories over three phases of progression. Here, we empirically validate our explicit mathematical model by testing for the presence of compensation over time in neurodegeneration. Huntington's disease is an ideal model for examining longitudinal compensation in neurodegeneration as it is both monogenic and fully penetrant, so disease progression and potential compensation can be monitored many years prior to diagnosis. We defined our conditions for compensation as non-linear longitudinal trajectories of brain activity and performance in the presence of linear neuronal degeneration and applied our model of compensation to a large longitudinal cohort of premanifest and early-stage Huntington's disease patients from the multisite Track-On HD study. Focusing on cognitive and motor networks, we integrated progressive volume loss, task and resting state functional MRI and cognitive and motor behaviour across three sequential phases of neurodegenerative disease progression, adjusted for genetic disease load. Multivariate linear mixed models were fitted and trajectories for each variable tested. Our conceptualization of compensation was partially realized across certain motor and cognitive networks at differing levels. We found several significant network trends that were more complex than that hypothesized in our model. These trends suggest changes to our theoretical model where the network effects are delayed relative to performance effects. There was evidence of compensation primarily in the prefrontal component of the cognitive network, with increased effective connectivity between the left and right dorsolateral prefrontal cortex. Having developed an operational model for the explicit testing of longitudinal compensation in neurodegeneration, it appears that general patterns of our framework are consistent with the empirical data. With the proposed modifications, our operational model of compensation can be used to test for both cross-sectional and longitudinal compensation in neurodegenerative disease with similar patterns to Huntington's disease.

Dataset Information

Predicting the Risk of Huntington's Disease with Multiple Longitudinal Biomarkers.

Publications

Predicting the Risk of Huntington's Disease with Multiple Longitudinal Biomarkers.

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