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Towards the global elimination of cervical cancer.

ABSTRACT: Two very effective prevention strategies for cervical cancer exist - vaccination against the human papillomavirus (HPV) and cervical screening with primary HPV testing followed by treatment of precancerous lesions. In 2018, the World Health Organisation called for action towards achieving the global elimination of cervical cancer, and a strategic plan encompassing elimination goals and targets for the scale-up of HPV vaccination, cervical screening and precancer and cancer treatment, particularly in low and middle income countries, will be presented to the 2020 World Health Assembly. The first published estimates suggest that achieving rapid scale-up of both vaccination and twice lifetime cervical screening in all countries would avert up to 13.4 million cervical cancer cases over the next half century, with the majority (but not all) countries achieving incidence of <4 per 100,000 women by 2100. However, there are significant challenges - (i) including vaccine manufacturing pipeline, supply, delivery and hesitancy, (ii) cervical screening HPV self-collection and point-of-care evaluation, acceptability, and scaling up effective precancer treatment processes, (iii) configuration of appropriate referral pathways, cancer treatment services and palliative care for those women who do develop cervical cancer, as well as (iv) the effective financing of both HPV vaccination and cervical screening on a large scale. It is hoped and anticipated that the WHO elimination initiative will galvanise concerted action to address these issues.

SUBMITTER: Canfell K

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6722296 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Towards the global elimination of cervical cancer.

Canfell Karen K

Papillomavirus research (Amsterdam, Netherlands) 20190606

Two very effective prevention strategies for cervical cancer exist - vaccination against the human papillomavirus (HPV) and cervical screening with primary HPV testing followed by treatment of precancerous lesions. In 2018, the World Health Organisation called for action towards achieving the global elimination of cervical cancer, and a strategic plan encompassing elimination goals and targets for the scale-up of HPV vaccination, cervical screening and precancer and cancer treatment, particularl ...[more]

PMID: 31176807

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Project description:BackgroundThe revolution in hepatitis C virus (HCV) treatment through the development of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) has generated international interest in the global elimination of the disease as a public health threat. In 2017, this led WHO to establish elimination targets for 2030. We evaluated the impact of public health interventions on the global HCV epidemic and investigated whether WHO's elimination targets could be met.MethodsWe developed a dynamic transmission model of the global HCV epidemic, calibrated to 190 countries, which incorporates data on demography, people who inject drugs (PWID), current coverage of treatment and prevention programmes, natural history of the disease, HCV prevalence, and HCV-attributable mortality. We estimated the worldwide impact of scaling up interventions that reduce risk of transmission, improve access to treatment, and increase screening for HCV infection by considering six scenarios: no change made to existing levels of diagnosis or treatment; sequentially adding the following interventions: blood safety and infection control, PWID harm reduction, offering of DAAs at diagnosis, and outreach screening to increase the number diagnosed; and a scenario in which DAAs are not introduced (ie, treatment is only with pegylated interferon and oral ribavirin) to investigate the effect of DAA use. We explored the effect of varying the coverage or impact of these interventions in sensitivity analyses and also assessed the impact on the global epidemic of removing certain key countries from the package of interventions.FindingsBy 2030, interventions that reduce risk of transmission in the non-PWID population by 80% and increase coverage of harm reduction services to 40% of PWID could avert 14·1 million (95% credible interval 13·0-15·2) new infections. Offering DAAs at time of diagnosis in all countries could prevent 640 000 deaths (620 000-670 000) from cirrhosis and liver cancer. A comprehensive package of prevention, screening, and treatment interventions could avert 15·1 million (13·8-16·1) new infections and 1·5 million (1·4-1·6) cirrhosis and liver cancer deaths, corresponding to an 81% (78-82) reduction in incidence and a 61% (60-62) reduction in mortality compared with 2015 baseline. This reaches the WHO HCV incidence reduction target of 80% but is just short of the mortality reduction target of 65%, which could be reached by 2032. Reducing global burden depends upon success of prevention interventions, implemention of outreach screening, and progress made in key high-burden countries including China, India, and Pakistan.InterpretationFurther improvements in blood safety and infection control, expansion or creation of PWID harm reduction services, and extensive screening for HCV with concomitant treatment for all are necessary to reduce the burden of HCV. These findings should inform the ongoing global action to eliminate the HCV epidemic.FundingWellcome Trust.

Dataset Information

Towards the global elimination of cervical cancer.

Publications

Towards the global elimination of cervical cancer.

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