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Hospitalization Risk among Older Adults with Chronic Kidney Disease.

ABSTRACT: INTRODUCTION:Chronic kidney disease (CKD) risk staging is based on estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and albumin-creatinine ratio (ACR). However, the relationship between all-cause hospitalization risk and the current CKD staging system has not been well studied among older adults, despite a high prevalence of CKD and a high risk of hospitalization in old age. METHODS:Among 4,766 participants of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study, CKD was staged according to Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) criteria, using creatinine-based eGFR (eGFRcr) and ACR. Incidence rates of all-cause hospitalization associated with each CKD risk group were analyzed using negative binomial regression. Additionally, cause-specific hospitalization risks for cardiovascular, infectious, kidney, and other diseases were estimated. The impacts of using cystatin C-based eGFR (eGFRcys) to estimate the prevalence of CKD and risks of hospitalization were also quantified. RESULTS:Participants experienced 5,548 hospitalizations and 29% had CKD. Hospitalization rates per 1,000 person-years according to KDIGO risk categories were 208-223 ("low risk"), 288-376 ("moderately increased risk"), 363-548 ("high risk"), and 499-1083 ("very high risk"). The increased risk associated with low eGFR and high ACR persisted in adjusted analyses, examinations of cause-specific hospitalizations, and when CKD was staged by eGFRcys or eGFRcr-cys, a combined equation based on both creatinine and cystatin C. In comparison to eGFRcr, staging by eGFRcys increased the prevalence of CKD to 50%, but hospitalization risks remained similarly high. DISCUSSION/CONCLUSION:In older adults, decreased eGFR, increased ACR, and KDIGO risk stages based on a combination of these measures, were strong risk factors for hospitalization. These relationships were consistent, regardless of the marker used to estimate GFR, but the use of cystatin C resulted in a substantially higher prevalence of CKD than the use of creatinine. Older adults in the population with very high risk stages of CKD have hospitalization rates exceeding 500 per 1,000 person-years.

SUBMITTER: Wong E

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6726535 | biostudies-literature | 2019

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Hospitalization Risk among Older Adults with Chronic Kidney Disease.

Wong Eugenia E Ballew Shoshana H SH Daya Natalie N Ishigami Junichi J Rebholz Casey M CM Matsushita Kunihiro K Grams Morgan E ME Coresh Josef J

American journal of nephrology 20190716 3

<h4>Introduction</h4>Chronic kidney disease (CKD) risk staging is based on estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and albumin-creatinine ratio (ACR). However, the relationship between all-cause hospitalization risk and the current CKD staging system has not been well studied among older adults, despite a high prevalence of CKD and a high risk of hospitalization in old age.<h4>Methods</h4>Among 4,766 participants of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study, CKD was staged according to K ...[more]

PMID: 31311014

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Project description:Background and objectivesWalking while talking is a dual cognitive-motor task that predicts frailty, falls, and cognitive decline in the general elderly population. Adults with CKD have gait abnormalities during usual walking. It is unknown whether they have greater gait abnormalities and cognitive-motor interference during walking while talking.Design, setting, participants, & measurementsCommunity-dwelling, nondisabled adults (n=330) ≥65 years of age underwent quantitative gait analysis, including walking while talking. Differences in walking-while-talking performance by CKD status were evaluated, and relative changes between walking-while-talking and walking alone performance were computed to quantify cognitive-motor interference (dual-task cost). Associations were tested using multivariable linear spline regression models, and independent gait domains were derived using factor analysis. CKD was defined as an eGFR<60 ml/min per 1.73 m2.ResultsCKD was present in 134 (41%) participants. Participants with CKD had slower gait speed along with various gait cycle abnormalities during walking while talking: among those with CKD, every 10-ml/min per 1.73 m2 lower eGFR was associated with 3.3-cm/s (95% confidence interval, 0.4 to 6.1) slower gait speed, 1.8-cm (95% confidence interval, 0.6 to 3.0) shorter step length, 1.1% (95% confidence interval, 0.6 to 1.7) less time in the swing phase, and 1.4% (95% confidence interval, 0.5 to 2.3) greater time in double support after multivariable adjustment. When comparing walking while talking with walking alone, every 10-ml/min per 1.73 m2 lower eGFR was associated with 1.8% (95% confidence interval, 0.5 to 3.2) greater decrease in time in the swing phase and 0.9% (95% confidence interval, 0.2 to 1.5) greater increase in time in the stance phase. Factor analysis identified three walking-while-talking domains and three dual-task cost domains: eGFR was associated specifically with the rhythm domain for both walking-while-talking and dual-task cost. Every 10-ml/min per 1.73 m2 lower eGFR was associated with a poorer performance of 0.2 SD (95% confidence interval, 0.1 to 0.3) for walking while talking and 0.2 SD (95% confidence interval, 0.03 to 0.3) for dual-task cost.ConclusionsDuring walking while talking, CKD is associated with gait abnormalities, possibly due to increased cognitive-motor interference.

Project description:OBJECTIVES:Reducing potentially preventable hospitalization (PPH) among older adults with dementia is a goal of Healthy People 2020, yet no tools specifically identify patients with dementia at highest risk. The objective was to develop a risk prediction model to identify older adults with dementia at high imminent risk of PPH. DESIGN:A 30-day risk prediction model was developed using multivariable logistic regression. Patients from fiscal years (FY) 2009 to 2011 were split into development and validation cohorts; FY2012 was used for prediction. SETTING:Community-dwelling older adults (?65 years of age) with dementia who received care through the Veterans Health Administration. PARTICIPANTS:There were 1 793 783 participants. MEASUREMENTS:Characteristics associated with hospitalization risk were (1) age and other demographic factors; (2) outpatient, emergency department, and inpatient utilization; (3) medical and psychiatric diagnoses; and (4) prescribed medication use including changes to psychotropic medications (eg, initiation or dosage increase). Model discrimination was determined by the C statistic for each of the three cohorts. Finally, to determine whether predicted 30-day risk strata were stable over time, the observed PPH rate was calculated out to 1 year. RESULTS:In the development cohort, .6% of patients experienced PPH within 30?days. The C statistic for the development cohort was .83 (95% confidence interval [CI] = .83-.84) and .83 in the prediction cohort (95% CI = .82-.84). Patients in the top 10% of predicted 30-day PPH risk accounted for more than 50% of 30-day PPH admissions in all three cohorts. In addition, those predicted to be at elevated 30-day risk remained at higher risk throughout a year of follow-up. CONCLUSION:It is possible to identify older adults with dementia at high risk of imminent PPH, and their risk remains elevated for an entire year. Given the negative outcomes associated with acute hospitalization for those with dementia, healthcare systems and providers may be able to engage these high-risk patients proactively to avoid unnecessary hospitalization. J Am Geriatr Soc 67:2077-2084, 2019.

Project description:BackgroundOlder adults with chronic kidney disease (CKD)-discordant conditions (comorbid conditions with treatment recommendations that potentially complicate CKD management) have higher risk of hospitalization and death. Our goal is to develop a CKD-Discordance Index using electronic health records to improve recognition of discordance.MethodsThis retrospective cohort study included Kaiser Permanente Southern California patients aged ≥65 years and older with incident CKD (N = 30,932). To guide inclusion of conditions in the Index and weight each condition, we first developed a prediction model for 1-year hospitalization risk using Cox regression. Points were assigned proportional to regression coefficients derived from the model. Next, the CKD-Discordance Index was calculated as an individual's total points divided by the maximum possible discordance points. The association between CKD-Discordance Index and hospitalizations, emergency department visits, and mortality was accessed using multivariable-adjusted Cox regression model.ResultsOverall, mean (SD) age was 77.9 (7.6) years, 55% of participants were female, 59.3% were white, and 32% (n = 9,869) had ≥1 hospitalization during 1 year of follow-up. The CKD-Discordance Index included the following variables: heart failure, gastroesophageal reflux disease/peptic ulcer disease, osteoarthritis, dementia, depression, cancer, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease/asthma, and having four or more prescribers. Compared to those with a CKD-Discordance Index of 0, adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) for hospitalization were 1.39 (1.27-1.51) and 1.81 (1.64-2.01) for those with a CKD-Discordance Index of 0.001-0.24 and ≥0.25, respectively (ptrend < .001). A graded pattern of risk was seen for emergency department visits and all-cause mortality.ConclusionA data-driven approach identified CKD-discordant indicators for a CKD-Discordance Index. Higher CKD-Discordance Index was associated with health care utilization and mortality.

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Hospitalization Risk among Older Adults with Chronic Kidney Disease.

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Hospitalization Risk among Older Adults with Chronic Kidney Disease.

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