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Prioritising allocation of donor human breast milk amongst very low birthweight infants in middle-income countries.

ABSTRACT: The use of donor human breast milk instead of formula reduces the risk of necrotising enterocolitis in preterm infants when their mother's own milk is insufficient. Use of donor milk is limited by the cost of establishing a milk bank and a lack of donors, but the optimal rationing of limited donor milk is unclear. This paper uses an economic model to explore how a limited donor milk supply should be allocated across very low birthweight infants in South Africa considering 2 outcomes: maximising lives saved and minimising costs. We developed a probabilistic cohort Markov decision model with 10,000 infants across 4 birthweight groups. We evaluated allocation scenarios in which infants in each group could be exclusively formula-fed or fed donor milk for 14 or 28 days and thereafter formula until death or discharge. Prioritising infants in the lowest birthweight groups would save the most lives, whereas prioritising infants in the highest birthweight groups would result in the highest cost savings. All allocation scenarios would be considered very cost-effective in South Africa compared to the use of formula; the "worst case" was $619 per Disability Adjusted Life Year averted. There is a compelling argument to increase the supply of donor milk in middle-income countries. Our analysis could be extended by taking a longer term perspective, using data from more than one country and exploring the use of donor milk as an adjunct to mother's own milk, rather than a pure substitute for it.

SUBMITTER: Taylor C

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6865934 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:AimThis study aimed to identify early clinical biomarkers from birth to 16 weeks corrected age to predict typical outcome and developmental delay in infants born very preterm or with very low birthweight.MethodA prospective cohort of infants on the Sunshine Coast, Australia, was assessed using the Premie-Neuro Examination, the General Movement Assessment (GMA), the Alberta Infant Motor Scale, and the Infant Sensory Profile 2. At 24 months corrected age, delay was identified using the Bayley Scales of Infant and Toddler Development, Third Edition (Bayley-III) and Neurosensory Motor Developmental Assessment (NSMDA).ResultsOne hundred and four infants were recruited; 79 completed outcome assessments (43 females, 36 males; mean gestational age 30 weeks [SD 1 week 6 days], mean birthweight 1346 g [SD 323]). The incidence of developmental delay (motor or cognitive) was 6.3%. Suboptimal quality of fidgety general movements (temporal organization) at 16 weeks corrected age demonstrated the best predictive accuracy (Bayley-III motor: sensitivity 100% [95% confidence interval {CI} 3-100], specificity 75% [95% CI 63-84], area under the curve [AUC] 0.87); Bayley-III cognitive: sensitivity 100% [95% CI 3-100], specificity 75% [95% CI 64-84], AUC 0.88); NSMDA motor: sensitivity 100% [95% CI 40-100], specificity 81% [95% CI 70-90], AUC 0.91 [95% CI 0.86-0.95]). GMA trajectories that combined abnormal writhing general movements at 4 to 5 weeks corrected age with suboptimal quality of fidgety movement at 16 weeks corrected age were strongly predictive of developmental delay, superior to all other clinical tools, and perinatal and demographic variables investigated (p = 0.01, Akaike information criterion method 18.79 [score corrected for small sample size], accounting for 93% of the cumulative weight).InterpretationOnly the GMA had sufficient predictive validity to act as a biomarker for both conditions: typical outcome and developmental delay (motor or cognitive). GMA trajectories that assessed both writhing general movements at 4 to 5 weeks corrected age and quality of fidgety movement at 16 weeks corrected age predicted adverse neurodevelopmental outcome, accurately differentiating between infants with typical outcomes and those at increased risk for motor or cognitive delay.

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Prioritising allocation of donor human breast milk amongst very low birthweight infants in middle-income countries.

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