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Predicting Dengue Outbreaks in Cambodia.


ABSTRACT: In Cambodia, dengue outbreaks occur each rainy season (May-October) but vary in magnitude. Using national surveillance data, we designed a tool that can predict 90% of the variance in peak magnitude by April, when typically <10% of dengue cases have been reported. This prediction may help hospitals anticipate excess patients.

SUBMITTER: Cousien A 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6874239 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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In Cambodia, dengue outbreaks occur each rainy season (May-October) but vary in magnitude. Using national surveillance data, we designed a tool that can predict 90% of the variance in peak magnitude by April, when typically <10% of dengue cases have been reported. This prediction may help hospitals anticipate excess patients. ...[more]

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