Dataset Information

Predicting 5-Year Progression and Survival Outcomes for Early Stage Non-small Cell Lung Cancer Treated with Stereotactic Ablative Radiation Therapy: Development and Validation of Robust Prognostic Nomograms.

ABSTRACT:

Purpose

Our purpose was to develop predictive nomograms for overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and time-to-progression (TTP) at 5 years in patients with early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (ES-NSCLC) treated with stereotactic ablative radiation therapy (SABR).

Methods and materials

The study cohort included 714 ES-NSCLC patients treated with SABR from 2004-2015 with median follow-up of 59 months, divided into training and testing sets (8:2), with the former used for nomogram development. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator were initially employed to screen for predictors of OS, PFS, and TTP, and identified predictors were subsequently applied toward Cox proportional hazards regression modeling. Significant predictors (P < .05) on multivariable regression were then used to develop nomograms, which were validated via evaluation of concordance indexes (C-index) and calibration plots. Finally, Kaplan-Meier method and Gray's test were employed to compare and confirm differences in outcomes among various groups and explore prognostic factors associated with local versus distant disease progression.

Results

Significant predictors of both OS and PFS at 5 years included age, sex, Charlson comorbidity index, diffusing capacity of carbon monoxide, systemic immune-inflammation index, and tumor size (P ? .01 for all). Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status predicted for OS as well (P = .01), and both tumor size (P < .01) and minimum biological equivalent dose to 95% of planning target volume (PTV D95 BED₁₀; P < .01) were predictive of TTP. The C-indexes for the OS, PFS, and TTP nomograms were 0.73, 0.68, and 0.60 in the training data set and 0.72, 0.66, and 0.59 in the testing data set, respectively. Tumor size > 2.45 cm and PTV D95 BED₁₀ < 113 Gy were significantly associated with both local and distant progression.

Conclusions

These prognostic nomograms can accurately predict for OS, PFS, and TTP at 5 years after SABR for ES-NSCLC and may thus help identify high-risk patients who could benefit from additional systemic therapy.

SUBMITTER: Kang J

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6911622 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Predicting 5-Year Progression and Survival Outcomes for Early Stage Non-small Cell Lung Cancer Treated with Stereotactic Ablative Radiation Therapy: Development and Validation of Robust Prognostic Nomograms.

Kang Jingjing J Ning Matthew S MS Feng Han H Li Hongqi H Bahig Houda H Brooks Eric D ED Welsh James W JW Ye Rui R Miao Hongyu H Chang Joe Y JY

International journal of radiation oncology, biology, physics 20191003 1

<h4>Purpose</h4>Our purpose was to develop predictive nomograms for overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and time-to-progression (TTP) at 5 years in patients with early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (ES-NSCLC) treated with stereotactic ablative radiation therapy (SABR).<h4>Methods and materials</h4>The study cohort included 714 ES-NSCLC patients treated with SABR from 2004-2015 with median follow-up of 59 months, divided into training and testing sets (8:2), with the former ...[more]

PMID: 31586665

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Project description:Purpose:Patients with oligometastatic colorectal cancer have demonstrated excellent clinical outcomes with surgical resection of hepatic and pulmonary metastases. Stereotactic ablative radiation therapy (SABR) has emerged as an alternative local therapy for nonsurgical candidates. Herein, we report the oncologic and patient-reported quality-of-life (PR-QoL) outcomes for a subset of patients with oligometastatic colorectal cancer who were treated in a prospective phase 2 multicenter clinical trial. Methods and materials:Patients with a pathologically proven diagnosis of oligometastatic colorectal cancer were enrolled as part of a prospective study. SABR dose and fractionation schedules were dependent on the lesion location and size. Patient follow-up occurred 6 weeks after completion of SABR and at 3-month intervals for the following 3 years. Patients received the Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy-General questionnaire at baseline and at each follow-up visit to assess PR-QoL. The total Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy-General questionnaire scores were compared with those from baseline using the Wilcoxon signed rank test. Overall survival, local progression-free survival (PFS), and distant PFS were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier estimation to the date of the last follow-up visit/death or local/distant failure. Results:A total of 31 patients with oligometastatic colorectal cancer with 1 (71.0%), 2 (16.1%), 3 (3.2%), 4 (3.2%), or 5 (6.5%) metastatic lesions were identified. After a median follow-up time of 50.1 months, the median OS from the time of completion of the SABR was 53.9 months (95% confidence interval, 23.2-84.6), and the 5-year OS, local PFS, and distant PFS were 45%, 83%, and 27%, respectively. Acute grade 2+ toxicity was 9.7% (pain, nausea, fatigue) and late grade 3+ toxicity (small bowel obstruction) was 3.2% with no significant change in PR-QoL in the year after SABR. Conclusions:This subset analysis of a prospective phase 2 study demonstrates that SABR is a safe and effective treatment option for patients with unresectable oligometastic colorectal cancer. In addition, SABR of oligometastatic disease preserves PR-QoL.

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Dataset Information

Predicting 5-Year Progression and Survival Outcomes for Early Stage Non-small Cell Lung Cancer Treated with Stereotactic Ablative Radiation Therapy: Development and Validation of Robust Prognostic Nomograms.

Purpose

Methods and materials

Results

Conclusions

Publications

Predicting 5-Year Progression and Survival Outcomes for Early Stage Non-small Cell Lung Cancer Treated with Stereotactic Ablative Radiation Therapy: Development and Validation of Robust Prognostic Nomograms.

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