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Association between Heat Exposure and Hospitalization for Diabetes in Brazil during 2000-2015: A Nationwide Case-Crossover Study.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:Exposure to excessive heat, which will continue to increase with climate change, is associated with increased morbidity due to a range of noncommunicable diseases (NCDs). Whether this is true for diabetes is unknown. OBJECTIVES:We aimed to quantify the relationship between heat exposure and risk of hospitalization due to diabetes in Brazil. METHODS:Data on hospitalizations and weather conditions were collected from 1,814 cities during the hot seasons from 2000 to 2015. A time-stratified case-crossover design was used to quantify the association between hospitalization for diabetes and heat exposure. Region-specific odds ratios (ORs) were used to calculate the attributable fractions (AFs). RESULTS:A total of 553,351 hospitalizations associated with diabetes were recorded during 2000-2015. Every 5°C increase in daily mean temperature was associated with 6% [OR=1.06; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.04, 1.07] increase in hospitalization due to diabetes with lag 0-3 d. The association was greatest (OR=1.18; 95% CI: 1.13, 1.23) in those ?80y of age, but did not vary by sex, and was generally consistent by region and type of diabetes. Assuming a causal association, we estimated that 7.3% (95% CI: 3.5, 10.9) of all hospitalizations due to diabetes in the hot season could be attributed to heat exposure during the study period. DISCUSSION:Short-term heat exposure may increase the burden of diabetes-related hospitalization, especially among the very elderly. As global temperatures continue to rise, this burden is likely to increase. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP5688.

SUBMITTER: Xu R

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6927500 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Association between Heat Exposure and Hospitalization for Diabetes in Brazil during 2000-2015: A Nationwide Case-Crossover Study.

Xu Rongbin R Zhao Qi Q Coelho Micheline S Z S MSZS Saldiva Paulo H N PHN Zoungas Sophia S Huxley Rachel R RR Abramson Michael J MJ Guo Yuming Y Li Shanshan S

Environmental health perspectives 20191120 11

<h4>Background</h4>Exposure to excessive heat, which will continue to increase with climate change, is associated with increased morbidity due to a range of noncommunicable diseases (NCDs). Whether this is true for diabetes is unknown.<h4>Objectives</h4>We aimed to quantify the relationship between heat exposure and risk of hospitalization due to diabetes in Brazil.<h4>Methods</h4>Data on hospitalizations and weather conditions were collected from 1,814 cities during the hot seasons from 2000 to ...[more]

PMID: 31746643

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Project description:BACKGROUND:Global warming is predicted to indirectly result in more undernutrition by threatening crop production. Whether temperature rise could affect undernutrition directly is unknown. We aim to quantify the relationship between short-term heat exposure and risk of hospitalization due to undernutrition in Brazil. METHODS AND FINDINGS:We collected hospitalization and weather data for the hot season (the 4 adjacent hottest months for each city) from 1,814 Brazilian cities during 1 January 2000-31 December 2015. We used a time-stratified case-crossover design to quantify the association between heat exposure and hospitalization due to undernutrition. Region-specific odds ratios (ORs) were used to calculate the attributable fractions (AFs). A total of 238,320 hospitalizations for undernutrition were recorded during the 2000-2015 hot seasons. Every 1°C increase in daily mean temperature was associated with a 2.5% (OR 1.025, 95% CI 1.020-1.030, p < 0.001) increase in hospitalizations for undernutrition across lag 0-7 days. The association was greatest for individuals aged ?80 years (OR 1.046, 95% CI 1.034-1.059, p < 0.001), 0-4 years (OR 1.039, 95% CI 1.024-1.055, p < 0.001), and 5-19 years (OR 1.042, 95% CI 1.015-1.069, p = 0.002). Assuming a causal relationship, we estimate that 15.6% of undernutrition hospitalizations could be attributed to heat exposure during the study period. The AF grew from 14.1% to 17.5% with a 1.1°C increase in mean temperature from 2000 to 2015. The main limitations of this study are misclassification of different types of undernutrition, lack of individual temperature exposure data, and being unable to adjust for relative humidity. CONCLUSIONS:Our study suggests that global warming might directly increase undernutrition morbidity, by a route other than by threatening food security. This short-term effect is increasingly important with global warming. Global strategies addressing the syndemic of climate change and undernutrition should focus not only on food systems, but also on the prevention of heat exposure.

Project description:BackgroundLimited evidence is available regarding the association between heat exposure and morbidity in Brazil and how the effect of heat exposure on health outcomes may change over time.ObjectivesThis study sought to quantify the geographic, demographic and temporal variations in the heat–hospitalization association in Brazil from 2000–2015.MethodsData on hospitalization and meteorological conditions were collected from 1,814 cities during the 2000–2015 hot seasons. Quasi-Poisson regression with constrained lag model was applied to examine city-specific estimates, which were then pooled at the regional and national levels using random-effect meta-analyses. Stratified analyses were performed by sex, 10 age groups, and 11 cause categories. Meta-regression was used to examine the temporal change in estimates of heat effect from 2000 to 2015.ResultsFor every 5°C increase in daily mean temperature during the 2000–2015 hot seasons, the estimated risk of hospitalization over lag 0-7 d rose by 4.0% [95% confidence interval (CI): 3.7%, 4.3%] nationwide. Estimated 6.2% [95% empirical CI (eCI): 3.3%, 9.1%] of hospitalizations were attributable to heat exposure, equating to 132 cases (95% eCI: 69%, 192%) per 100,000 residents. The attributable rate was greatest in children [Formula: see text] and was highest for hospitalizations due to infectious and parasitic diseases. Women of reproductive age and those [Formula: see text] had higher heat burden than men. The attributable burden was greatest for cities in the central west and the inland of the northeast; lowest in the north and eastern coast. Over the 16-y period, the estimated heat effects declined insignificantly at the national level.ConclusionsIn Brazil's hot seasons, 6% of hospitalizations were estimated to be attributed to heat exposure. As there was no evidence indicating that thermal adaptation had occurred at the national level, the burden of hospitalization associated with heat exposure in Brazil is likely to increase in the context of global warming. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP3889.

Project description:BackgroundTo our knowledge, no study has assessed the association between heatwaves and risk of hospitalization and how it may change over time in Brazil. We quantified the heatwave-hospitalization association in Brazil during 2000-2015.Methods and findingsDaily data on hospitalization and temperature were collected from 1,814 cities (>78% of the national population) in the hottest five consecutive months during 2000-2015. Twelve types of heatwaves were defined with daily mean temperatures of ?90th, 92.5th, 95th, or 97.5th percentiles of year-round temperature and durations of ?2, 3, or 4 consecutive days. The city-specific association was estimated using a quasi-Poisson regression with constrained distributed lag model and then pooled at the national level using random-effect meta-analysis. Stratified analyses were performed by five regions, sex, 10 age groups, and nine cause categories. The temporal change in the heatwave-hospitalization association was assessed using a time-varying constrained distributed lag model. Of the 58,400,682 hospitalizations (59% women), 24%, 34%, 21%, and 19% of cases were aged <20, 20-39, 40-59, and ?60 years, respectively. The city-specific year-round daily mean temperatures were 23.5 ± 2.8 °C on average, varying from 26.8 ± 1.8 °C for the 90th percentile to 28.0 ± 1.6 °C for the 97.5th percentile. We observed that the risk of hospitalization was most pronounced for heatwaves characterized by high daily temperatures and long durations across Brazil, except for the minimal association in the north (the hottest region). After controlling for temperature, the association remained for severe heatwaves in the south and southeast (cold regions). Children 0-9 years, the elderly ?70 years, and admissions for perinatal conditions were most strongly associated with heatwaves. Over the study period, the strength of the heatwave-hospitalization association declined substantially in the south, while an apparent increase was observed in the southeast. The main limitations of this study included the lack of data on individual temperature exposure and measured air pollution.ConclusionsThere are geographic, demographic, cause-specific, and temporal variations in the heatwave-hospitalization associations across the Brazilian population. Considering the projected increase in frequency, duration, and intensity of heatwaves, future strategies should be developed, such as building early warning systems, to reduce the health risk associated with heatwaves in Brazil.

Project description:BackgroundHeat exposure, which will increase with global warming, has been linked to increased risk of a range of types of cause-specific hospitalizations. However, little is known about socioeconomic disparities in vulnerability to heat. We aimed to evaluate whether there were socioeconomic disparities in vulnerability to heat-related all-cause and cause-specific hospitalization among Brazilian cities.Methods and findingsWe collected daily hospitalization and weather data in the hot season (city-specific 4 adjacent hottest months each year) during 2000-2015 from 1,814 Brazilian cities covering 78.4% of the Brazilian population. A time-stratified case-crossover design modeled by quasi-Poisson regression and a distributed lag model was used to estimate city-specific heat-hospitalization association. Then meta-analysis was used to synthesize city-specific estimates according to different socioeconomic quartiles or levels. We included 49 million hospitalizations (58.5% female; median [interquartile range] age: 33.3 [19.8-55.7] years). For cities of lower middle income (LMI), upper middle income (UMI), and high income (HI) according to the World Bank's classification, every 5°C increase in daily mean temperature during the hot season was associated with a 5.1% (95% CI 4.4%-5.7%, P < 0.001), 3.7% (3.3%-4.0%, P < 0.001), and 2.6% (1.7%-3.4%, P < 0.001) increase in all-cause hospitalization, respectively. The inter-city socioeconomic disparities in the association were strongest for children and adolescents (0-19 years) (increased all-cause hospitalization risk with every 5°C increase [95% CI]: 9.9% [8.7%-11.1%], P < 0.001, in LMI cities versus 5.2% [4.1%-6.3%], P < 0.001, in HI cities). The disparities were particularly evident for hospitalization due to certain diseases, including ischemic heart disease (increase in cause-specific hospitalization risk with every 5°C increase [95% CI]: 5.6% [-0.2% to 11.8%], P = 0.060, in LMI cities versus 0.5% [-2.1% to 3.1%], P = 0.717, in HI cities), asthma (3.7% [0.3%-7.1%], P = 0.031, versus -6.4% [-12.1% to -0.3%], P = 0.041), pneumonia (8.0% [5.6%-10.4%], P < 0.001, versus 3.8% [1.1%-6.5%], P = 0.005), renal diseases (9.6% [6.2%-13.1%], P < 0.001, versus 4.9% [1.8%-8.0%], P = 0.002), mental health conditions (17.2% [8.4%-26.8%], P < 0.001, versus 5.5% [-1.4% to 13.0%], P = 0.121), and neoplasms (3.1% [0.7%-5.5%], P = 0.011, versus -0.1% [-2.1% to 2.0%], P = 0.939). The disparities were similar when stratifying the cities by other socioeconomic indicators (urbanization rate, literacy rate, and household income). The main limitations were lack of data on personal exposure to temperature, and that our city-level analysis did not assess intra-city or individual-level socioeconomic disparities and could not exclude confounding effects of some unmeasured variables.ConclusionsLess developed cities displayed stronger associations between heat exposure and all-cause hospitalizations and certain types of cause-specific hospitalizations in Brazil. This may exacerbate the existing geographical health and socioeconomic inequalities under a changing climate.

Project description:Background and Objective: It has been suggested to avoid cilostazol, the first-line therapy for peripheral arterial disease, in patients with congestive heart failure (HF). The objective of this study was to evaluate the risk of hospitalization for heart failure (HHF) associated with cilostazol use in the patients of diabetes mellitus. Methods: This case-crossover study retrieved records on diabetic patients > 20 years of age who were hospitalized for heart failure during the period of 2009-2011 from the Taiwan National Health Insurance Database. The "current" period was defined as 1-30 days prior to HHF whereas the 91-120 days prior to HHF served as the "reference" period. The exposure status just preceding the event is compared with exposure of the same person in one or more referent remote to the event. Adjusted odds ratios (OR) were used to estimate time-varying discordant exposure by the ratio of the number exposed to cilostazol only during the case period to the number exposed to cilostazol only during the control period. Results: A total of 47,506 diabetic patients were included in the analysis (average age: 72.7 ± 12.4, percentage of males: 48%). A total of 399 patients (0.84%) received cilostazol only in the current period, and 252 (0.53%) received cilostazol only in the reference period. After adjustment for other medications, a significant association was found between cilostazol and HHF (OR: 1.35, 95% CI: 1.14-1.59). After further adjustment for time-varying co-morbidities the ORs remained essentially the same. Sensitivity analyses using different definitions of control period (ranging from 31-60, 61-90, to 121-150 days before index date) yielded adjusted ORs of 1.43 (95% CI: 1.14-1.79), 1.31 (95% CI: 1.09-1.57) and 1.23 (95% CI: 1.06-1.44), respectively suggesting the robustness of our study findings. Conclusion: Use of cilostazol may be positively related to the risk of HHF. Further studies are warranted to explore the underlying mechanisms and to confirm the association.

Project description:ImportanceThe onset of the hot season is known to be adversely associated with a range of health outcomes. However, little is known about whether the association is constant over the course of the hot season.ObjectiveTo quantify the change in the association between heat exposure and hospitalization from the early to late hot season in the Brazilian population.Design, setting, and participantsThis time-stratified case-crossover study used daily data on hospitalization and weather conditions during the 2000 to 2015 hot seasons in 1814 Brazilian cities. There were 49 145 997 admissions during the study period. Data analysis was conducted between May 12, 2018, and July 2, 2018.ExposuresIncrease in daily mean temperature.Main outcomes and measuresDaily hospitalizations were recorded. Conditional quasi-Poisson regression with time-varying constrained distributed lag model was used to examine the city-specific association between heat and hospitalization in the early or late hot season. City-specific estimates were then pooled at the national level using random-effect meta-analysis. Stratified analyses were conducted by 5 regions, sex, 10 age groups, and 7 cause-specific categories.ResultsOf the 49 145 997 admissions (59% women), the median (interquartile range) age was 33.3 (19.8-55.7) years. At the national level, the risk of hospitalization increased by 4.6% (95% CI, 4.3%-4.9%) and 2.3% (95% CI, 1.9%-2.6%) for every 5°C increase in daily mean temperature in the early and late hot season, respectively. Exposure to early heat was associated with greater risk of hospitalization for residents in the northeast (6.4%; 95% CI, 5.5%-7.3%) and central west (7.1%; 95% CI, 6.1%-8.2%) compared with other regions. Children aged 0 to 9 years and elderly individuals (aged ≥80 years) were most susceptible. Admissions due to endocrine, nutritional, and metabolic diseases were most strongly associated with heat exposure. There was an attenuation in the heat-associated risk of hospitalization from the early to late hot season for all subgroups except young children and patients with hospitalization caused by respiratory illness.Conclusions and relevanceIn this study, the association between heat exposure and hospitalization attenuated temporally for most of the Brazilian population. Preventive strategies to mitigate the association of high temperature with population health should focus in particular on the first few days of heat exposure.

Project description:Numerous studies have demonstrated the relationship between summer temperatures and increased heat-related deaths. Epidemiological analyses of the health effects of climate exposures usually rely on observations from the nearest weather station to assess exposure-response associations for geographically diverse populations. Urban climate models provide high-resolution spatial data that may potentially improve exposure estimates, but to date, they have not been extensively applied in epidemiological research. We investigated temperature-mortality relationships in the city of Barcelona, and whether estimates vary among districts. We considered georeferenced individual (natural) mortality data during the summer months (June-September) for the period 1992-2015. We extracted daily summer mean temperatures from a 100-m resolution simulation of the urban climate model (UrbClim). Summer hot days (above percentile 70) and reference (below percentile 30) temperatures were compared by using a conditional logistic regression model in a case crossover study design applied to all districts of Barcelona. Relative Risks (RR), and 95% Confidence Intervals (CI), of all-cause (natural) mortality and summer temperature were calculated for several population subgroups (age, sex and education level by districts). Hot days were associated with an increased risk of death (RR = 1.13; 95% CI = 1.10-1.16) and were significant in all population subgroups compared to the non-hot days. The risk ratio was higher among women (RR = 1.16; 95% CI= 1.12-1.21) and the elderly (RR = 1.18; 95% CI = 1.13-1.22). Individuals with primary education had similar risk (RR = 1.13; 95% CI = 1.08-1.18) than those without education (RR = 1.10; 95% CI= 1.05-1.15). Moreover, 6 out of 10 districts showed statistically significant associations, varying the risk ratio between 1.12 (95% CI = 1.03-1.21) in Sants-Montjuïc and 1.25 (95% CI = 1.14-1.38) in Sant Andreu. Findings identified vulnerable districts and suggested new insights to public health policy makers on how to develop district-specific strategies to reduce risks.

Dataset Information

Association between Heat Exposure and Hospitalization for Diabetes in Brazil during 2000-2015: A Nationwide Case-Crossover Study.

Publications

Association between Heat Exposure and Hospitalization for Diabetes in Brazil during 2000-2015: A Nationwide Case-Crossover Study.

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