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Combining noninvasive risk stratification parameters improves the prediction of mortality and appropriate ICD shocks.


ABSTRACT:

Background

Sudden cardiac death (SCD) results from a complex interplay of abnormalities in autonomic function, myocardial substrate and vulnerability. We studied whether a combination of noninvasive risk stratification tests reflecting these key players could improve risk stratification.

Methods

Patients implanted with an ICD in whom 24-hr holter recordings were available prior to implant were included. QRS fragmentation (fQRS) was selected as measure of myocardial substrate and a high ventricular premature beat count (VPB >10/hr) for arrhythmic vulnerability. From receiver operating characteristics analysis, detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA), turbulence slope, and deceleration capacity were selected for autonomic function. Adjusted Cox regression analysis with comparison of C-statistics was performed to predict first appropriate shock (AS) and total mortality.

Results

A total of 220 patients were included in the analysis with an overall follow-up of 4.3 ± 3.1 years. A model including VPB >10/hr, inferior fQRS, and abnormal nonedited DFA was the best for prediction of AS after 1 year of follow-up with a trends toward improvement of the C-statistics compared to baseline (p = 0.055). The risk increased significantly with every abnormal test (HR 1.793, 95%CI 1.255-2.564). A model including fQRS in any region and abnormal edited DFA was the best for prediction of mortality after 3 years of follow-up with significant improvement of the C-statistics (p = 0.023). Each abnormal test was associated with a significant increase in mortality (HR 5.069, 95%CI 1.978-12.994).

Conclusion

Combining noninvasive risk stratification tests according to their physiological background can improve the risk prediction of SCD and mortality.

SUBMITTER: Vandenberk B 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6931642 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Combining noninvasive risk stratification parameters improves the prediction of mortality and appropriate ICD shocks.

Vandenberk Bert B   Junttila M Juhani MJ   Robyns Tomas T   Garweg Christophe C   Ector Joris J   Huikuri Heikki V HV   Willems Rik R  

Annals of noninvasive electrocardiology : the official journal of the International Society for Holter and Noninvasive Electrocardiology, Inc 20180928 1


<h4>Background</h4>Sudden cardiac death (SCD) results from a complex interplay of abnormalities in autonomic function, myocardial substrate and vulnerability. We studied whether a combination of noninvasive risk stratification tests reflecting these key players could improve risk stratification.<h4>Methods</h4>Patients implanted with an ICD in whom 24-hr holter recordings were available prior to implant were included. QRS fragmentation (fQRS) was selected as measure of myocardial substrate and a  ...[more]

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