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Prediction of gestational age with symphysis-fundal height and estimated uterine volume in a pregnancy cohort in Sylhet, Bangladesh.


ABSTRACT: OBJECTIVE:To improve the accuracy of the prediction of gestational age (GA) before birth with the standardised measurement of symphysis-fundal height (SFH), estimation of uterine volume, and statistical modelling including maternal anthropometrics and other factors. DESIGN:Prospective pregnancy cohort study. SETTING:Rural communities in Sylhet, Bangladesh. PARTICIPANTS:1516 women with singleton pregnancies with early pregnancy ultrasound dating (<20 weeks); 1486 completed follow-up. METHODS:SFH and abdominal girth were measured at subsequent antenatal care (ANC) visits by community health workers at 24 to 28, 32 to 36, and/or >37 weeks gestation. An estimated uterine volume (EUV) was calculated from these measures. Data on pregnancy characteristics and other maternal anthropometrics were also collected. PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE:GA at subsequent ANC visits, as defined by early ultrasound dating. RESULTS:1486 (98%) women had at least one subsequent ANC visit, 1102 (74%) women had two subsequent ANC visits, and 748 (50%) had three visits. Using the common clinical practice of approximating the GA (in weeks) with the SFH measurement (cm), SFH systematically underestimated GA in late pregnancy (mean difference -4.4 weeks, 95% limits of agreement -12.5 to 3.7). For the classification of GA <28 weeks, SFH <26?cm had 85% sensitivity and 81% specificity; and for GA <34 weeks, SFH <29?cm had 83% sensitivity and 71% specificity. EUV had similar diagnostic accuracy. Despite rigorous statistical modelling of SFH, accounting for repeated longitudinal measurements and additional predictors, the best model without including a known last menstrual period predicted 95% of pregnancy dates within ±7.4 weeks of early ultrasound dating. CONCLUSIONS:We were unable to predict GA with a high degree of accuracy before birth using maternal anthropometric measures and other available maternal characteristics. Efforts to improve GA dating in low- and middle-income countries before birth should focus on increasing coverage and training of ultrasonography. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER:NCT01572532.

SUBMITTER: Lee ACC 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7069288 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Prediction of gestational age with symphysis-fundal height and estimated uterine volume in a pregnancy cohort in Sylhet, Bangladesh.

Lee Anne C C ACC   Whelan Rachel R   Bably Nazmun Nahar NN   Schaeffer Lauren E LE   Rahman Sayedur S   Ahmed Salahuddin S   Moin Syed Mamun Ibne SMI   Begum Nazma N   Quaiyum Mohammad Abdul MA   Rosner Bernard B   Litch James A JA   Baqui Abdullah H AH   Wylie Blair J BJ  

BMJ open 20200312 3


<h4>Objective</h4>To improve the accuracy of the prediction of gestational age (GA) before birth with the standardised measurement of symphysis-fundal height (SFH), estimation of uterine volume, and statistical modelling including maternal anthropometrics and other factors.<h4>Design</h4>Prospective pregnancy cohort study.<h4>Setting</h4>Rural communities in Sylhet, Bangladesh.<h4>Participants</h4>1516 women with singleton pregnancies with early pregnancy ultrasound dating (<20 weeks); 1486 comp  ...[more]

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