Predicting the severity of acute bronchiolitis in infants: should we use a clinical score or a biomarker?
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Amat F
PROVIDER: S-EPMC7167168 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:ObjectiveTo investigate the relationship between socioeconomic factors and bronchiolitis severity among hospitalized infants.MethodsWe performed a 17-center, prospective cohort study from 2011 to 2014. Children <1 year old hospitalized with bronchiolitis were enrolled. Socioeconomic factors included estimated median household income (MHI) per home ZIP code, parent-reported household income, number of adults and children in household, and insurance type. We defined higher bronchiolitis severity as receipt of intensive care treatment. Multivariable logistic regression was used to analyze the association between socioeconomic factors and bronchiolitis severity, with the final model adjusted for potential clustering by site.ResultsIn multivariable models adjusted for demographic and clinical characteristics, estimated MHI was the socioeconomic factor most strongly associated with severity. Compared to infants with an intermediate MHI ($40,000-$79,999), odds of receiving intensive care treatment were significantly higher for those with MHI of ≥$80,000 (aOR 2.05, 95% CI 1.19-3.53). No significant associations were found for the other socioeconomic factors (all P > .30). While there were no significant differences in clinical presentation between income groups (all P > .25) or in receipt of mechanical ventilation alone (P = .98), infants with estimated MHI ≥$80,000 were significantly more likely to specifically have been admitted to the intensive care unit (P = .01).ConclusionsIn this multicenter study of infants hospitalized with bronchiolitis, we identified higher median household income as a risk factor for intensive care treatment. This work may yield important biological or nonbiological insights for the future management of infants with bronchiolitis.
| S-EPMC6930979 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundThe role of respiratory viruses in the pathogenesis of bronchiolitis was re-evaluated with the use of molecular methods such as PCR for virus detection. Whether specific viruses or the classical clinical risk factors are more important in determining severe bronchiolitis is not well established.AimTo analyze the specific viruses and clinical variables that can predict severe bronchiolitis at admission.MethodsNasopharyngeal aspirates were prospectively collected from 484 children <12 months admitted to the pediatrics ward or PICU at Universitary Hospital Sant Joan de Déu (Barcelona, Spain) for bronchiolitis from October 2007 to October 2008. Clinical and demographic data were collected. Sixteen respiratory viruses were studied using PCR. Severity was assessed with a bronchiolitis clinical score (BCS).ResultsFour hundred ten infants that tested positive for respiratory viruses were analyzed. Mixed viral infections did not increase the severity of the disease. Rhinovirus was associated with severe BCS in univariate analysis (P = 0.041), but in the multivariate logistic regression including viruses and clinical data only bronchopulmonary dysplasia (OR 7.2; 95% CI 1.2-43.3), congenital heart disease (OR 4.7; 95% CI 1.1-19.9), prematurity (OR 2.6; 95% CI 1.3-5.1), and fever (OR 1.8, 95% CI 1.1-3.1) showed statistical significance for predicting severe BCS.ConclusionsClassical clinical risk factors have more weight in predicting a severe BCS in infants with acute bronchiolitis than the involved viruses.
| S-EPMC7167901 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Little is known about the relationship between the specific airway microbiota composition and severity of bronchiolitis. We aimed to identify nasopharyngeal microbiota profiles and link these profiles to acute severity in infants hospitalised for bronchiolitis.We conducted a multicentre prospective cohort study of 1005 infants (age <1?year) hospitalised for bronchiolitis over three winters, 2011-2014. By applying a 16S rRNA gene sequence and clustering approach to the nasopharyngeal aspirates collected within 24?h of hospitalisation, we determined nasopharyngeal microbiota profiles and their association with bronchiolitis severity. The primary outcome was intensive care use, i.e. admission to an intensive care unit or use of mechanical ventilation.We identified four nasopharyngeal microbiota profiles: three profiles were dominated by one of Haemophilus, Moraxella or Streptococcus, while the fourth profile had the highest bacterial richness. The rate of intensive care use was highest in infants with a Haemophilus-dominant profile and lowest in those with a Moraxella-dominant profile (20.2% versus 12.3%; unadjusted OR 1.81, 95% CI 1.07-3.11, p=0.03). After adjusting for 11 patient-level confounders, the rate remained significantly higher in infants with Haemophilus-dominant profiles (OR 1.98, 95% CI 1.08-3.62, p=0.03). These findings were externally validated in a separate cohort of 307 children hospitalised for bronchiolitis.
| S-EPMC5459592 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Acute bronchiolitis in infancy increases the risk of later asthma and reduced health-related quality of life (QoL). We aimed to see whether the severity of acute bronchiolitis in the first year of life was associated with QoL nine months later.The parents of 209 of 404 of children hospitalised for acute bronchiolitis in eight paediatric departments in south-east Norway at a mean four months of age (range 0-12 months) completed the Infant/Toddler Quality of Life Questionnaire sent by mail nine months after the acute illness. Disease severity was measured by length of stay and the need for supportive treatment. Interactions with gender, inclusion age, prematurity, maternal ethnicity and maternal education were examined.Reduced QoL in four domains was associated with increased length of stay and need for ventilatory support. Physical abilities and general health were associated with both severity markers, whereas bodily pain and discomfort and change in health were associated with length of stay. Ventilatory support was more negatively associated with QoL than atopic eczema and also associated with reduced parental emotions and parental time.The severity of acute bronchiolitis in infants was associated with reduced QoL nine months later.
| S-EPMC5074291 | biostudies-literature
Project description:We aimed to develop machine learning models to accurately predict bronchiolitis severity, and to compare their predictive performance with a conventional scoring (reference) model. In a 17-center prospective study of infants (aged?<?1 year) hospitalized for bronchiolitis, by using routinely-available pre-hospitalization data as predictors, we developed four machine learning models: Lasso regression, elastic net regression, random forest, and gradient boosted decision tree. We compared their predictive performance-e.g., area-under-the-curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and net benefit (decision curves)-using a cross-validation method, with that of the reference model. The outcomes were positive pressure ventilation use and intensive treatment (admission to intensive care unit and/or positive pressure ventilation use). Of 1,016 infants, 5.4% underwent positive pressure ventilation and 16.0% had intensive treatment. For the positive pressure ventilation outcome, machine learning models outperformed reference model (e.g., AUC 0.88 [95% CI 0.84-0.93] in gradient boosted decision tree vs 0.62 [95% CI 0.53-0.70] in reference model), with higher sensitivity (0.89 [95% CI 0.80-0.96] vs. 0.62 [95% CI 0.49-0.75]) and specificity (0.77 [95% CI 0.75-0.80] vs. 0.57 [95% CI 0.54-0.60]). The machine learning models also achieved a greater net benefit over ranges of clinical thresholds. Machine learning models consistently demonstrated a superior ability to predict acute severity and achieved greater net benefit.
| S-EPMC7335203 | biostudies-literature
Project description:The impact of dynamic respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) load on the clinical severity of hospitalized infants with bronchiolitis has not been clarified. Nasopharyngeal aspirates were obtained from 60 infants who were diagnosed with bronchiolitis within 96 hr of wheezing onset upon admission and on days 3, 5, and 7 in the hospital, and 17 respiratory viruses were detected. The RSV load was quantified by real-time qPCR for RSV subtypes A and B at different time points. Scoring criteria were used to evaluate the degree of severity. A total of 40 infants were determined to be RSV-positive, nine were identified as RSV subtype A (RSVA), and 31 were RSV subtype B (RSVB). The peak RSV load was observed upon admission, and the RSV load decreased significantly over time; in addition, this decrease began to have significant differences on day 5. There was a positive correlation between the RSV load and the clinical score (r(2) = 0.121 and P < 0.001). According to the clinical scores, the infants in the severe group tended to have higher RSV loads than those in the moderate and mild groups. Multivariate logistic regression models revealed that the viral load on day 3 was independently associated with the degree of severity. This study elucidated that a higher mean RSV load was associated with a more severe disease and a longer duration of hospitalization and symptoms. This study also clarified RSV replication in infants and provides a theoretical basis for specifying an anti-RSV therapy strategy.
| S-EPMC7166664 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundDespite the notoriety of Ebola virus disease (EVD) as one of the world's most deadly infections, EVD has a wide range of outcomes, where asymptomatic infection may be almost as common as fatality. With increasingly sensitive EVD diagnosis, there is a need for more accurate prognostic tools that objectively stratify clinical severity to better allocate limited resources and identify those most in need of intensive treatment.Methods/principal findingsThis retrospective cohort study analyses the clinical characteristics of 158 EVD(+) patients at the GOAL-Mathaska Ebola Treatment Centre, Sierra Leone. The prognostic potential of each characteristic was assessed and incorporated into a statistically weighted disease score. The mortality rate among EVD(+) patients was 60.8% and highest in those aged <5 or >25 years (p<0.05). Death was significantly associated with malaria co-infection (OR = 2.5, p = 0.01). However, this observation was abrogated after adjustment to Ebola viral load (p = 0.1), potentially indicating a pathologic synergy between the infections. Similarly, referral-time interacted with viral load, and adjustment revealed referral-time as a significant determinant of mortality, thus quantifying the benefits of early reporting as a 12% mortality risk reduction per day (p = 0.012). Disorientation was the strongest unadjusted predictor of death (OR = 13.1, p = 0.014) followed by hiccups, diarrhoea, conjunctivitis, dyspnoea and myalgia. Including these characteristics in multivariate prognostic scores, we obtained a 91% and 97% ability to discriminate death at or after triage respectively (area under ROC curve).Conclusions/significanceThis study proposes highly predictive and easy-to-use prognostic tools, which stratify the risk of EVD mortality at or after EVD triage.
| S-EPMC5289426 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundAirway oedema (swelling) and mucus plugging are the principal pathological features in infants with acute viral bronchiolitis. Nebulised hypertonic saline solution (≥ 3%) may reduce these pathological changes and decrease airway obstruction. This is an update of a review first published in 2008, and previously updated in 2010 and 2013.ObjectivesTo assess the effects of nebulised hypertonic (≥ 3%) saline solution in infants with acute bronchiolitis.Search methodsWe searched the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), MEDLINE, MEDLINE Epub Ahead of Print, In-Process & Other Non-Indexed Citations, Ovid MEDLINE Daily, Embase, CINAHL, LILACS, and Web of Science on 11 August 2017. We also searched the World Health Organization International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (WHO ICTRP) and ClinicalTrials.gov on 8 April 2017.Selection criteriaWe included randomised controlled trials and quasi-randomised controlled trials using nebulised hypertonic saline alone or in conjunction with bronchodilators as an active intervention and nebulised 0.9% saline, or standard treatment as a comparator in children under 24 months with acute bronchiolitis. The primary outcome for inpatient trials was length of hospital stay, and the primary outcome for outpatients or emergency department trials was rate of hospitalisation.Data collection and analysisTwo review authors independently performed study selection, data extraction, and assessment of risk of bias in included studies. We conducted random-effects model meta-analyses using Review Manager 5. We used mean difference (MD), risk ratio (RR), and their 95% confidence intervals (CI) as effect size metrics.Main resultsWe identified 26 new trials in this update, of which 9 await classification due to insufficient data for eligibility assessment, and 17 trials (N = 3105) met the inclusion criteria. We included a total of 28 trials involving 4195 infants with acute bronchiolitis, of whom 2222 infants received hypertonic saline.Hospitalised infants treated with nebulised hypertonic saline had a statistically significant shorter mean length of hospital stay compared to those treated with nebulised 0.9% saline (MD -0.41 days, 95% CI -0.75 to -0.07; P = 0.02, I² = 79%; 17 trials; 1867 infants) (GRADE quality of evidence: low). Infants who received hypertonic saline also had statistically significant lower post-inhalation clinical scores than infants who received 0.9% saline in the first three days of treatment (day 1: MD -0.77, 95% CI -1.18 to -0.36, P < 0.001; day 2: MD -1.28, 95% CI -1.91 to -0.65, P < 0.001; day 3: MD -1.43, 95% CI -1.82 to -1.04, P < 0.001) (GRADE quality of evidence: low).Nebulised hypertonic saline reduced the risk of hospitalisation by 14% compared with nebulised 0.9% saline among infants who were outpatients and those treated in the emergency department (RR 0.86, 95% CI 0.76 to 0.98; P = 0.02, I² = 7%; 8 trials; 1723 infants) (GRADE quality of evidence: moderate).Twenty-four trials presented safety data: 13 trials (1363 infants, 703 treated with hypertonic saline) did not report any adverse events, and 11 trials (2360 infants, 1265 treated with hypertonic saline) reported at least one adverse event, most of which were mild and resolved spontaneously.Authors' conclusionsNebulised hypertonic saline may modestly reduce length of stay among infants hospitalised with acute bronchiolitis and improve clinical severity score. Treatment with nebulised hypertonic saline may also reduce the risk of hospitalisation among outpatients and emergency department patients. However, we assessed the quality of the evidence as low to moderate.
| S-EPMC6485976 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Effective methods for predicting COVID-19 disease trajectories are urgently needed. Here, enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) and coronavirus antigen microarray (COVAM) analysis mapped antibody epitopes in the plasma of COVID-19 patients (n = 86) experiencing a wide range of disease states. The experiments identified antibodies to a 21-residue epitope from nucleocapsid (termed Ep9) associated with severe disease, including admission to the intensive care unit (ICU), requirement for ventilators, or death. Importantly, anti-Ep9 antibodies can be detected within 6 days post-symptom onset and sometimes within 1 day. Furthermore, anti-Ep9 antibodies correlate with various comorbidities and hallmarks of immune hyperactivity. We introduce a simple-to-calculate, disease risk factor score to quantitate each patient’s comorbidities and age. For patients with anti-Ep9 antibodies, scores above 3.0 predict more severe disease outcomes with a 13.42 likelihood ratio (96.7% specificity). The results lay the groundwork for a new type of COVID-19 prognostic to allow early identification and triage of high-risk patients. Such information could guide more effective therapeutic intervention.
2021-04-21 | GSE172471 | GEO
Project description:BACKGROUND:Respiratory syncytial virus and other respiratory tract viruses lead to common colds in most infants, whereas a minority develop acute severe bronchiolitis often requiring hospitalization. We hypothesized that such an excessive response to respiratory tract viral infection is caused by host factors reflected in pre-existing increased bronchial responsiveness. OBJECTIVE:We sought to compare bronchial responsiveness and lung function in 1-month-old neonates who later develop acute severe bronchiolitis with those who do not. METHODS:We measured infant lung function (n=402) and bronchial responsiveness to methacholine (n=363) using the raised-volume rapid thoracoabdominal compression technique before any respiratory symptoms in 1-month-old neonates from the Copenhagen Prospective Study of Asthma in Childhood birth cohort born to mothers with asthma. The children were prospectively monitored for respiratory symptoms and given a diagnosis of acute severe bronchiolitis according to a fixed algorithm. RESULTS:Thirty-four (8.5%) infants had acute severe bronchiolitis before 2 years of age, 21 (62%) were hospitalized, and 23 (67%) of the cases were associated with respiratory syncytial virus. Children who later had acute severe bronchiolitis irrespective of viral species had a 2.5-fold increased responsiveness to methacholine (provocative dose of methacholine producing a 15% decrease in transcutaneous oxygen pressure [PD(15)]) at age 1 month compared with control subjects (median PD(15) in cases vs control subjects, 0.13 vs 0.33 ?mol; P=.01), whereas differences in baseline airflow were not significant for forced expiratory volume at 0.5 seconds (mean z score for cases vs control subjects, -0.18 vs -0.01; P=.36) and forced expiratory flow at 50% of forced vital capacity (mean z score for cases vs control subjects, -0.37 vs -0.09; P=.13). CONCLUSION:Bronchial hyperresponsiveness in at-risk neonates precedes acute severe bronchiolitis in response to infections with respiratory tract virus.
| S-EPMC7112274 | biostudies-literature