Stochastic modeling of influenza spread dynamics with recurrences.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Whitman J
PROVIDER: S-EPMC7173783 | biostudies-literature | 2020
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Publications
Stochastic modeling of influenza spread dynamics with recurrences.
Whitman John J Jayaprakash Ciriyam C
PloS one 20200421 4
We present results of a study of a simple, stochastic, agent-based model of influenza A infection, simulating its dynamics over the course of one flu season. Building on an early work of Bartlett, we define a model with a limited number of parameters and rates that have clear epidemiological interpretation and can be constrained by data. We demonstrate the occurrence of recurrent behavior in the infected number [more than one peak in a season], which is observed in data, in our simulations for p ...[more]
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