Dataset Information

A computational model tracks whole-lung Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection and predicts factors that inhibit dissemination.

ABSTRACT: Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb), the causative infectious agent of tuberculosis (TB), kills more individuals per year than any other infectious agent. Granulomas, the hallmark of Mtb infection, are complex structures that form in lungs, composed of immune cells surrounding bacteria, infected cells, and a caseous necrotic core. While granulomas serve to physically contain and immunologically restrain bacteria growth, some granulomas are unable to control Mtb growth, leading to bacteria and infected cells leaving the granuloma and disseminating, either resulting in additional granuloma formation (local or non-local) or spread to airways or lymph nodes. Dissemination is associated with development of active TB. It is challenging to experimentally address specific mechanisms driving dissemination from TB lung granulomas. Herein, we develop a novel hybrid multi-scale computational model, MultiGran, that tracks Mtb infection within multiple granulomas in an entire lung. MultiGran follows cells, cytokines, and bacterial populations within each lung granuloma throughout the course of infection and is calibrated to multiple non-human primate (NHP) cellular, granuloma, and whole-lung datasets. We show that MultiGran can recapitulate patterns of in vivo local and non-local dissemination, predict likelihood of dissemination, and predict a crucial role for multifunctional CD8+ T cells and macrophage dynamics for preventing dissemination.

SUBMITTER: Wessler T

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7239387 | biostudies-literature | 2020 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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A computational model tracks whole-lung Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection and predicts factors that inhibit dissemination.

Wessler Timothy T Joslyn Louis R LR Borish H Jacob HJ Gideon Hannah P HP Flynn JoAnne L JL Kirschner Denise E DE Linderman Jennifer J JJ

PLoS computational biology 20200520 5

Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb), the causative infectious agent of tuberculosis (TB), kills more individuals per year than any other infectious agent. Granulomas, the hallmark of Mtb infection, are complex structures that form in lungs, composed of immune cells surrounding bacteria, infected cells, and a caseous necrotic core. While granulomas serve to physically contain and immunologically restrain bacteria growth, some granulomas are unable to control Mtb growth, leading to bacteria and infec ...[more]

PMID: 32433646

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Project description:Background: Tuberculosis disease, caused by Mycobacterium tuberculosis, is a major public health problem. The emergence of M. tuberculosis strains resistant to existing treatments threatens to derail control efforts. Resistance is mainly conferred by mutations in genes coding for drug targets or converting enzymes, but our knowledge of these mutations is incomplete. Whole genome sequencing (WGS) is an increasingly common approach to rapidly characterize isolates and identify mutations predicting antimicrobial resistance and thereby providing a diagnostic tool to assist clinical decision making. Methods: We applied machine learning approaches to 16,688 M. tuberculosis isolates that have undergone WGS and laboratory drug-susceptibility testing (DST) across 14 antituberculosis drugs, with 22.5% of samples being multidrug resistant and 2.1% being extensively drug resistant. We used non-parametric classification-tree and gradient-boosted-tree models to predict drug resistance and uncover any associated novel putative mutations. We fitted separate models for each drug, with and without "co-occurrent resistance" markers known to be causing resistance to drugs other than the one of interest. Predictive performance was measured using sensitivity, specificity, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, assuming DST results as the gold standard. Results: The predictive performance was highest for resistance to first-line drugs, amikacin, kanamycin, ciprofloxacin, moxifloxacin, and multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve above 96%), and lowest for third-line drugs such as D-cycloserine and Para-aminosalisylic acid (area under the curve below 85%). The inclusion of co-occurrent resistance markers led to improved performance for some drugs and superior results when compared to similar models in other large-scale studies, which had smaller sample sizes. Overall, the gradient-boosted-tree models performed better than the classification-tree models. The mutation-rank analysis detected no new single nucleotide polymorphisms linked to drug resistance. Discordance between DST and genotypically inferred resistance may be explained by DST errors, novel rare mutations, hetero-resistance, and nongenomic drivers such as efflux-pump upregulation. Conclusion: Our work demonstrates the utility of machine learning as a flexible approach to drug resistance prediction that is able to accommodate a much larger number of predictors and to summarize their predictive ability, thus assisting clinical decision making and single nucleotide polymorphism detection in an era of increasing WGS data generation.

Project description:Cambodia has one of the highest tuberculosis (TB) incidence rates in the WHO Western Pacific region. Remarkably though, the prevalence of multidrug-resistant TB (MDR-TB) remains low. We explored the genetic diversity of Mycobacterium tuberculosis (MTB) circulating in this unique setting using whole-genome sequencing (WGS). From October 2017 until January 2018, we collected one hundred sputum specimens from consenting adults older than 21 years of age, newly diagnosed with bacteriologically confirmed TB in 3 districts of Phnom Penh and Takeo provinces of Cambodia before they commence on their TB treatment, where eighty MTB isolates were successfully cultured and sequenced. Majority of the isolates belonged to Lineage 1 (Indo-Oceanic) (69/80, 86.25%), followed by Lineage 2 (East Asian) (10/80, 12.5%) and Lineage 4 (Euro-American) (1/80, 1.25%). Phenotypic resistance to both streptomycin and isoniazid was found in 3 isolates (3/80, 3.75%), while mono-resistance to streptomycin and isoniazid was identical at 2.5% (N = 2 each). None of the isolates tested was resistant to either rifampicin or ethambutol. The specificities of genotypic prediction for resistance to all drugs tested were 100%, while the sensitivities of genotypic resistance predictions to isoniazid and streptomycin were lower at 40% (2/5) and 80% (4/5) respectively. We identified 8 clusters each comprising of two to five individuals all residing in the Takeo province, making up half (28/56, 50%) of all individuals sampled in the province, indicating the presence of multiple ongoing transmission events. All clustered isolates were of Lineage 1 and none are resistant to any of the drugs tested. This study while demonstrating the relevance and utility of WGS in predicting drug resistance and inference of disease transmission, highlights the need to increase the representation of genotype-phenotype TB data from low and middle income countries in Asia and Africa to improve the accuracies for prediction of drug resistance.

Dataset Information

A computational model tracks whole-lung Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection and predicts factors that inhibit dissemination.

Publications

A computational model tracks whole-lung Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection and predicts factors that inhibit dissemination.

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