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Dynamic Changes in Prognosis with Elapsed Time on Ventilators among Mechanically Ventilated Patients.

ABSTRACT: Rationale: Previous outcome studies of mechanical ventilation usually adopted a static timeframe to observe the outcome and reported prognosis from the standpoint of the first ventilator day. However, patients and their families may repeatedly inquire about prognosis over time after the initiation of mechanical ventilation.Objectives: We aimed to describe dynamic changes in prognosis according to the elapsed time on a ventilator among mechanically ventilated patients.Methods: For this cohort study we used the entire population dataset of Taiwan's National Health Insurance database. We enrolled adults who newly received invasive mechanical ventilation for at least two consecutive days between March 1, 2010, and August 31, 2011. For every single ventilator day after the initiation of mechanical ventilation, we estimated the cumulative probabilities of weaning success and death in the subsequent 90 days.Results: A total of 162,200 episodes of respiratory failure requiring invasive mechanical ventilation were included. The median age of the subjects was 72 years (interquartile range 57-81 yr) and the median follow-up time was 250 days (interquartile range 30-463 d). The probability curve of weaning success against the time on ventilation showed a unidirectionally decreasing trend, with a relatively sharp slope in the initial 2 months. The probabilities of weaning success in 90 days after the 2nd, 7th, 21st, and 60th ventilator days were 68.3% (95% confidence interval [CI], 68.1-68.5%), 62.6% (95% CI, 62.2-62.9%), 46.3% (95% CI, 45.8-46.8%), and 21.0% (95% CI, 20.3-21.8%), respectively. In contrast, the death curve showed an initial increase and then a decreasing trend after the 19th ventilator day. We also reported tailored prognosis information according to the age, sex, and ventilator day of a mechanically ventilated patient.Conclusions: This study provides ventilator-day-specific prognosis information obtained from a large cohort of unselected patients on invasive mechanical ventilation. The probability of weaning success decreased with the elapsed time on mechanical ventilation, and the decline was particularly remarkable in the first 2 months of ventilatory support.

SUBMITTER: Ruan SY

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7258420 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Dynamic Changes in Prognosis with Elapsed Time on Ventilators among Mechanically Ventilated Patients.

Ruan Sheng-Yuan SY Teng Nai-Chi NC Huang Chun-Ta CT Tsai Shu-Ling SL Wang Cheng-Yi CY Wu Chin-Pyng CP Hsu Jeng-Yuan JY Yu Chong-Jen CJ Hsiung Chao C Wu Huey-Dong HD Chen Likwang L

Annals of the American Thoracic Society 20200601 6

Rationale: Previous outcome studies of mechanical ventilation usually adopted a static timeframe to observe the outcome and reported prognosis from the standpoint of the first ventilator day. However, patients and their families may repeatedly inquire about prognosis over time after the initiation of mechanical ventilation.Objectives: We aimed to describe dynamic changes in prognosis according to the elapsed time on a ventilator among mechanically ventilated patients.Methods:</b ...[more]

PMID: 32011907

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Project description:ObjectivesThe determinants of decisions to limit life support (withholding or withdrawal) in ventilated stroke patients have been evaluated mainly for patients with intracranial hemorrhages. We aimed to evaluate the frequency of life support limitations in ventilated ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke patients compared with a nonbrain-injured population and to determine factors associated with such decisions.DesignMulticenter prospective French observational study.SettingFourteen ICUs of the French OutcomeRea network.PatientsFrom 2005 to 2016, we included stroke patients and nonbrain-injured patients requiring invasive ventilation within 24 hours of ICU admission.InterventionNone.Measurements and main resultsWe identified 373 stroke patients (ischemic, n = 167 [45%]; hemorrhagic, n = 206 [55%]) and 5,683 nonbrain-injured patients. Decisions to limit life support were taken in 41% of ischemic stroke cases (vs nonbrain-injured patients, subdistribution hazard ratio, 3.59 [95% CI, 2.78-4.65]) and in 33% of hemorrhagic stroke cases (vs nonbrain-injured patients, subdistribution hazard ratio, 3.9 [95% CI, 2.97-5.11]). Time from ICU admission to the first limitation was longer in ischemic than in hemorrhagic stroke (5 [3-9] vs 2 d [1-6] d; p < 0.01). Limitation of life support preceded ICU death in 70% of ischemic strokes and 45% of hemorrhagic strokes (p < 0.01). Life support limitations in ischemic stroke were increased by a vertebrobasilar location (vs anterior circulation, subdistribution hazard ratio, 1.61 [95% CI, 1.01-2.59]) and a prestroke modified Rankin score greater than 2 (2.38 [1.27-4.55]). In hemorrhagic stroke, an age greater than 70 years (2.29 [1.43-3.69]) and a Glasgow Coma Scale score less than 8 (2.15 [1.08-4.3]) were associated with an increased risk of limitation, whereas a higher nonneurologic admission Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score was associated with a reduced risk (per point, 0.89 [0.82-0.97]).ConclusionsIn ventilated stroke patients, decisions to limit life support are more than three times more frequent than in nonbrain-injured patients, with different timing and associated risk factors between ischemic and hemorrhagic strokes.

Project description:BackgroundDynamic pulmonary hyperinflation may develop in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) due to dynamic airway collapse and/or increased airway resistance, increasing the risk of volutrauma and hemodynamic compromise. The reference standard to quantify dynamic pulmonary hyperinflation is the measurement of the volume at end-inspiration (Vei). As this is cumbersome, the aim of this study was to evaluate if methods that are easier to perform at the bedside can accurately reflect Vei.MethodsVei was assessed in COPD patients under controlled protective mechanical ventilation (7 ± mL/kg) on zero end-expiratory pressure, using three techniques in a fixed order: (1) reference standard (Veireference): passive exhalation to atmosphere from end-inspiration in a calibrated glass burette; (2) ventilator maneuver (Veimaneuver): measuring the expired volume during a passive exhalation of 45s using the ventilator flow sensor; (3) formula (Veiformula): (Vt × Pplateau)/(Pplateau - PEEPi), with Vt tidal volume, Pplateau is plateau pressure after an end-inspiratory occlusion, and PEEPi is intrinsic positive end-expiratory pressure after an end-expiratory occlusion. A convenience sample of 17 patients was recruited.ResultsVeireference was 1030 ± 380 mL and had no significant correlation with Pplateau (r2 = 0.06; P = 0.3710) or PEEPi (r2 = 0.11; P = 0.2156), and was inversely related with Pdrive (calculated as Pplateau -PEEPi) (r2 = 0.49; P = 0.0024). A low bias but rather wide limits of agreement and fairly good correlations were found when comparing Veimaneuver and Veiformula to Veireference. Vei remained stable during the study period (low bias 15 mL with high agreement (95% limits of agreement from - 100 to 130 mL) and high correlation (r2 = 0.98; P < 0.0001) between both measurements of Veireference).ConclusionsIn patients with COPD, airway pressures are not a valid representation of Vei. The three techniques to quantify Vei show low bias, but wide limits of agreement.

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Dynamic Changes in Prognosis with Elapsed Time on Ventilators among Mechanically Ventilated Patients.

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Dynamic Changes in Prognosis with Elapsed Time on Ventilators among Mechanically Ventilated Patients.

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