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Acute kidney injury risk prediction score for critically-ill surgical patients.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:There has been a global increase in the incidence of acute kidney injury (AKI), including among critically-ill surgical patients. AKI prediction score provides an opportunity for early detection of patients who are at risk of AKI; however, most of the AKI prediction scores were derived from cardiothoracic surgery. Therefore, we aimed to develop an AKI prediction score for major non-cardiothoracic surgery patients who were admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU). METHODS:The data of critically-ill patients from non-cardiothoracic operations in the Thai Surgical Intensive Care Unit (THAI-SICU) study were used to develop an AKI prediction score. Independent prognostic factors from regression analysis were included as predictors in the model. The outcome of interest was AKI within 7?days after the ICU admission. The AKI diagnosis was made according to the Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO)-2012 serum creatinine criteria. Diagnostic function of the model was determined by area under the Receiver Operating Curve (AuROC). Risk scores were categorized into four risk probability levels: low (0-2.5), moderate (3.0-8.5), high (9.0-11.5), and very high (12.0-16.5) risk. Risk of AKI was presented as likelihood ratios of positive (LH+). RESULTS:A total of 3474 critically-ill surgical patients were included in the model; 333 (9.6%) developed AKI. Using multivariable logistic regression analysis, older age, high Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) non-renal score, emergency surgery, large volume of perioperative blood loss, less urine output, and sepsis were identified as independent predictors for AKI. Then AKI prediction score was created from these predictors. The summation of the score was 16.5 and had a discriminative ability for predicting AKI at AuROC?=?0.839 (95% CI 0.825-0.852). LH+ for AKI were: low risk?=?0.117 (0.063-0.200); moderate risk?=?0.927 (0.745-1.148); high risk?=?5.190 (3.881-6.910); and very high risk?=?9.892 (6.230-15.695), respectively. CONCLUSIONS:The function of AKI prediction score to predict AKI among critically ill patients who underwent non-cardiothoracic surgery was good. It can aid in early recognition of critically-ill surgical patients who are at risk from ICU admission. The scores could guide decision making for aggressive strategies to prevent AKI during the perioperative period or at ICU admission. TRIAL REGISTRATION:TCTR20190408004, registered on April 4, 2019.

SUBMITTER: Trongtrakul K

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7271390 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Acute kidney injury risk prediction score for critically-ill surgical patients.

Trongtrakul Konlawij K Patumanond Jayanton J Kongsayreepong Suneerat S Morakul Sunthiti S Pipanmekaporn Tanyong T Akaraborworn Osaree O Poopipatpab Sujaree S

BMC anesthesiology 20200603 1

<h4>Background</h4>There has been a global increase in the incidence of acute kidney injury (AKI), including among critically-ill surgical patients. AKI prediction score provides an opportunity for early detection of patients who are at risk of AKI; however, most of the AKI prediction scores were derived from cardiothoracic surgery. Therefore, we aimed to develop an AKI prediction score for major non-cardiothoracic surgery patients who were admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU).<h4>Methods</ ...[more]

PMID: 32493268

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Project description:Background and Objectives: Critically ill surgical patients are susceptible to various postoperative complications, including acute kidney injury (AKI) and multiorgan distress syndrome (MODS). These complications intensify patient suffering and significantly increase morbidity and mortality rates. This study aimed to identify the biomarkers for predicting AKI and MODS in critically ill surgical patients. Materials and Methods: We prospectively enrolled critically ill surgical patients admitted to the intensive care unit via the emergency department between July 2022 and July 2023. A total of 83 patients were recruited, and their data were used to analyze MODS. Three patients who showed decreased creatinine clearance at the initial presentation were excluded from the analysis for AKI. Patient characteristics and laboratory parameters including white blood cell (WBC) count, neutrophil count, delta neutrophil index, urine and serum β2-microglobulin, and urine serum mitochondrial DNA copy number (mtDNAcn) were analyzed to determine the reliable biomarker to predict AKI and MODS. Results: The following parameters were independently correlated with MODS: systolic blood pressure (SBP), initial neutrophil count, and platelet count, according to a logistic regression model. The optimal cut-off values for SBP, initial neutrophil count, and platelet count were 113 mmHg (sensitivity 66.7%; specificity 73.9%), 8.65 (X3) (109/L) (sensitivity 72.2%; specificity 64.6%), and 195.0 (X3) (109/L) (sensitivity 66.7%; specificity 81.5%), respectively. According to the logistic regression model, diastolic blood pressure (DBP) and initial urine mtDNAcn were independently correlated with AKI. The optimal cut-off value for DBP and initial urine mtDNAcn were 68.5 mmHg (sensitivity 61.1%; specificity 79.5%) and 1225.6 copies/μL (sensitivity 55.6%; specificity 95.5%), respectively. Conclusions: SBP, initial neutrophil count, and platelet count were independent predictors of MODS in critically ill patients undergoing surgery. DBP and initial urine mtDNAcn levels were independent predictors of AKI in critically ill surgical patients. Large-scale multicenter prospective studies are needed to confirm our results.

Dataset Information

Acute kidney injury risk prediction score for critically-ill surgical patients.

Publications

Acute kidney injury risk prediction score for critically-ill surgical patients.

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