Dataset Information

A nomogram to predict the risk of hepatic encephalopathy after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt in Cirrhotic Patients.

ABSTRACT:

Background and aim

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is a serious complication of decompensated liver cirrhosis, affecting the prognosis of patients underwent transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunts (TIPS). We aim to create a nomogram to predict hepatic encephalopathy- free survivals (HEFS) after TIPS in cirrhotic patients and select appropriate candidates for TIPS.

Methods

Cirrhotic patients underwent TIPS from 2015 to 2018 in our department were included. Multivariable Cox regression was conducted to estimate the predictors of overt HE (OHE) after TIPS within one year. A nomogram based on the Cox proportional hazard model using data from a retrospective training cohort (70% of the patients) was developed. Then the prediction model was validated in the remaining 30% patients by Harrell's C-indexes, ROC curves and calibration plots.

Results

Of 373 patients, 117 developed postoperative OHE (31.4%). The training and validation groups comprised 83 (31.4%) and 34 (31.2%) patients, respectively. The cumulative survival rates of patients with HE at 1, 2 and 3 years were 90%, 83% and 76%, respectively. The nomogram included the following variables: age, Child-Turcotte-Pugh class (CTP class), diabetes mellitus (DM), serum creatinine and serum sodium (C-index = 0.772). The C-index for HEFS prediction was 0.773 for the validation cohort. The ROC for predicting HEFS was 0.809 and 0.783, respectively.

Conclusions

We created a nomogram of predicting postoperative HEFS in cirrhotic patients received TIPS. This nomogram could be an important tool of HE risk prediction before TIPS to guide the therapeutic strategy in cirrhotic patients.

SUBMITTER: Yin X

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7287049 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

A nomogram to predict the risk of hepatic encephalopathy after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt in Cirrhotic Patients.

Yin Xiaochun X Zhang Feng F Guo Huiwen H Peng Chunyan C Zhang Wei W Xiao Jiangqiang J Wang Yi Y Zou Xiaoping X Zhang Ming M Zhuge Yuzheng Y

Scientific reports 20200610 1

<h4>Background and aim</h4>Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is a serious complication of decompensated liver cirrhosis, affecting the prognosis of patients underwent transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunts (TIPS). We aim to create a nomogram to predict hepatic encephalopathy- free survivals (HEFS) after TIPS in cirrhotic patients and select appropriate candidates for TIPS.<h4>Methods</h4>Cirrhotic patients underwent TIPS from 2015 to 2018 in our department were included. Multivariable Cox regr ...[more]

PMID: 32523059

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Project description:Background and aimsTransjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is used for decompressing clinically significant portal hypertension. The aims of this study were to evaluate clinical outcomes and adverse events associated with this procedure.MethodsRetrospective single-center study including 78 patients submitted to TIPS placement between January 2015 and November 2018. Follow-up data were missing in 27 patients, and finally 51 patients were included in the study sample. Data collected from individual registries included demographics, comorbidities, laboratory results, complications, and clinical results according to the indication.ResultsAverage pre-TIPS portosystemic pressure gradient decreased from 18.1 ± 5 to 6 ± 3 mm Hg after TIPS placement. Indications for TIPS were refractory ascites (63%, n = 49), recurrent or uncontrolled variceal bleeding (36%, n = 28), and Budd-Chiari syndrome (1.3%, n = 1). TIPS-related adverse events occurred in 29/51 (56.8%) patients, with hepatic encephalopathy (HE) in 21 (41%) patients, sepsis in 3, liver failure in 2, hemolytic anemia in 1, acute pulmonary edema in 1, and capsular perforation in 1 patient. Mean follow-up was 15.7 ± 15 months. First-month mortality was 11.7% (n = 6) (sepsis, n = 3; acute liver failure, n = 2; and recurrence of variceal bleeding, n = 1) and was significantly higher for patients with Child-Pugh >9 points (p = 0.01), model of end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores >19 (p = 0.02), and for patients with a history of HE before the procedure (p = 0.001). Older age (p = 0.006) and higher levels of creatinine (p = 0.008) were significantly higher in patients developing HE after TIPS. Ascites persisted in 21.2% (7/33 patients) and was more frequent in patients with lower baseline albumin levels (p = 0.003). Recurrent variceal bleeding occurred in 22% (n = 4/18 patients) and was more frequent in patients with lower baseline hemoglobin levels (p = 0.03).ConclusionTIPS is effective in up to 80% of patients presenting with variceal bleeding or refractory ascites. Careful patient selection based on age and HE history may reduce adverse events after TIPS.

Dataset Information

A nomogram to predict the risk of hepatic encephalopathy after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt in Cirrhotic Patients.

Background and aim

Methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

A nomogram to predict the risk of hepatic encephalopathy after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt in Cirrhotic Patients.

Similar Datasets

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