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Estimation of the secondary attack rate of COVID-19 using proportional meta-analysis of nationwide contact tracing data in Taiwan.


ABSTRACT: Crude secondary attack rate (SAR) of COVID-19 in Taiwan was 0.84% using nationwide contact-tracing data till April 8, 2020. The random-effect Bayesian metaanalysis yielded 95% credible intervals of 0.42%-1.69% and 0.08%-8.32%, respectively, for estimated SAR pooling from 15 case series and for predicted SAR in the future if pandemic continues.

SUBMITTER: Huang YT 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7289119 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Estimation of the secondary attack rate of COVID-19 using proportional meta-analysis of nationwide contact tracing data in Taiwan.

Huang Yen-Ta YT   Tu Yu-Kang YK   Lai Pei-Chun PC  

Journal of microbiology, immunology, and infection = Wei mian yu gan ran za zhi 20200611 1


Crude secondary attack rate (SAR) of COVID-19 in Taiwan was 0.84% using nationwide contact-tracing data till April 8, 2020. The random-effect Bayesian metaanalysis yielded 95% credible intervals of 0.42%-1.69% and 0.08%-8.32%, respectively, for estimated SAR pooling from 15 case series and for predicted SAR in the future if pandemic continues. ...[more]

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