Efficient polygenic risk scores for biobank scale data by exploiting phenotypes from inferred relatives.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Truong B
PROVIDER: S-EPMC7299943 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:Accurate construction of polygenic scores (PGS) can enable early diagnosis of diseases and facilitate the development of personalized medicine. Accurate PGS construction requires prediction models that are both adaptive to different genetic architectures and scalable to biobank scale datasets with millions of individuals and tens of millions of genetic variants. Here, we develop such a method called Deterministic Bayesian Sparse Linear Mixed Model (DBSLMM). DBSLMM relies on a flexible modeling assumption on the effect size distribution to achieve robust and accurate prediction performance across a range of genetic architectures. DBSLMM also relies on a simple deterministic search algorithm to yield an approximate analytic estimation solution using summary statistics only. The deterministic search algorithm, when paired with further algebraic innovations, results in substantial computational savings. With simulations, we show that DBSLMM achieves scalable and accurate prediction performance across a range of realistic genetic architectures. We then apply DBSLMM to analyze 25 traits in UK Biobank. For these traits, compared to existing approaches, DBSLMM achieves an average of 2.03%-101.09% accuracy gain in internal cross-validations. In external validations on two separate datasets, including one from BioBank Japan, DBSLMM achieves an average of 14.74%-522.74% accuracy gain. In these real data applications, DBSLMM is 1.03-28.11 times faster and uses only 7.4%-24.8% of physical memory as compared to other multiple regression-based PGS methods. Overall, DBSLMM represents an accurate and scalable method for constructing PGS in biobank scale datasets.
| S-EPMC7212266 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Oxytocin is a neuromodulator and hormone that is typically associated with social cognition and behavior. In light of its purported effects on social cognition and behavior, research has investigated its potential as a treatment for psychiatric illnesses characterized by social dysfunction, such as schizophrenia and bipolar disorder. While the results of these trials have been mixed, more recent evidence suggests that the oxytocin system is also linked with cardiometabolic conditions for which individuals with severe mental disorders are at a higher risk for developing. To investigate whether the oxytocin system has a pleiotropic effect on the etiology of severe mental illness and cardiometabolic conditions, we explored oxytocin's role in the shared genetic liability of schizophrenia, bipolar disorder, type-2 diabetes, and several phenotypes linked with cardiovascular disease and type 2 diabetes risk using a polygenic pathway-specific approach. Analysis of a large sample with about 480,000 individuals (UK Biobank) revealed statistically significant associations across the range of phenotypes analyzed. By comparing these effects to those of polygenic scores calculated from 100 random gene sets, we also demonstrated the specificity of many of these significant results. Altogether, our results suggest that the shared effect of oxytocin-system dysfunction could help partially explain the co-occurrence of social and cardiometabolic dysfunction in severe mental illnesses.
| S-EPMC8616952 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundPolygenic risk score (PRS) analyses have become an integral part of biomedical research, exploited to gain insights into shared aetiology among traits, to control for genomic profile in experimental studies, and to strengthen causal inference, among a range of applications. Substantial efforts are now devoted to biobank projects to collect large genetic and phenotypic data, providing unprecedented opportunity for genetic discovery and applications. To process the large-scale data provided by such biobank resources, highly efficient and scalable methods and software are required.ResultsHere we introduce PRSice-2, an efficient and scalable software program for automating and simplifying PRS analyses on large-scale data. PRSice-2 handles both genotyped and imputed data, provides empirical association P-values free from inflation due to overfitting, supports different inheritance models, and can evaluate multiple continuous and binary target traits simultaneously. We demonstrate that PRSice-2 is dramatically faster and more memory-efficient than PRSice-1 and alternative PRS software, LDpred and lassosum, while having comparable predictive power.ConclusionPRSice-2's combination of efficiency and power will be increasingly important as data sizes grow and as the applications of PRS become more sophisticated, e.g., when incorporated into high-dimensional or gene set-based analyses. PRSice-2 is written in C++, with an R script for plotting, and is freely available for download from http://PRSice.info.
| S-EPMC6629542 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Polygenic risk scores (PRS) are proposed for use in clinical and research settings for risk stratification. However, there are limited investigations on how different PRS diverge from each other in risk prediction of individuals. We compared two recently published PRS for each of three conditions, breast cancer, hypertension and dementia, to assess the stability of using these algorithms for risk prediction in a single large population. We used imputed genotyping data from the UK Biobank prospective cohort, limited to the White British subset. We found that: (1) 20% or more of SNPs in the first PRS were not represented in the more recent PRS for all three diseases, by the same SNP or a surrogate with R2 > 0.8 by linkage disequilibrium (LD). (2) Although the difference in the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) obtained using the two PRS is hardly appreciable for all three diseases, there were large differences in individual risk prediction between the two PRS. For instance, for each disease, of those classified in the top 5% of risk by the first PRS, over 60% were not so classified by the second PRS. We found substantial discordance between different PRS for the same disease, indicating that individuals could receive different medical advice depending on which PRS is used to assess their genetic susceptibility. It is desirable to resolve this uncertainty before using PRS for risk stratification in clinical settings.
| S-EPMC9329440 | biostudies-literature
Project description:We present a systematic assessment of polygenic risk score (PRS) prediction across more than 1,500 traits using genetic and phenotype data in the UK Biobank. We report 813 sparse PRS models with significant (p < 2.5 x 10-5) incremental predictive performance when compared against the covariate-only model that considers age, sex, types of genotyping arrays, and the principal component loadings of genotypes. We report a significant correlation between the number of genetic variants selected in the sparse PRS model and the incremental predictive performance (Spearman's ⍴ = 0.61, p = 2.2 x 10-59 for quantitative traits, ⍴ = 0.21, p = 9.6 x 10-4 for binary traits). The sparse PRS model trained on European individuals showed limited transferability when evaluated on non-European individuals in the UK Biobank. We provide the PRS model weights on the Global Biobank Engine (https://biobankengine.stanford.edu/prs).
| S-EPMC8946745 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundSchizophrenia is a heritable psychiatric disorder with a polygenic architecture. Genome-wide association studies have reported that an increasing number of risk-associated variants and polygenic risk scores (PRSs) explain 17% of the variance in the disorder. Substantial heterogeneity exists in the effect of these variants, and aggregating them based on biologically relevant functions may provide mechanistic insight into the disorder.MethodsUsing the largest schizophrenia genome-wide association study conducted to date, we associated PRSs based on 5 gene sets previously found to contribute to schizophrenia pathophysiology-postsynaptic density of excitatory synapses, postsynaptic membrane, dendritic spine, axon, and histone H3-K4 methylation-along with respective whole-genome PRSs, with neuroimaging (n > 29,000) and reported psychotic-like experiences (n > 119,000) variables in healthy UK Biobank subjects.ResultsSeveral variables were significantly associated with the axon gene-set (psychotic-like communications, parahippocampal gyrus volume, fractional anisotropy thalamic radiations, and fractional anisotropy posterior thalamic radiations (β range -0.016 to 0.0916, false discovery rate-corrected p [pFDR] ≤ .05), postsynaptic density gene-set (psychotic-like experiences distress, global surface area, and cingulate lobe surface area [β range -0.014 to 0.0588, pFDR ≤ .05]), and histone gene set (entorhinal surface area: β = -0.016, pFDR = .035). From these, whole-genome PRSs were significantly associated with psychotic-like communications (β = 0.2218, pFDR = 1.34 × 10-7), distress (β = 0.1943, pFDR = 7.28 × 10-16), and fractional anisotropy thalamic radiations (β = -0.0143, pFDR = .036). Permutation analysis revealed that these associations were not due to chance.ConclusionsOur results indicate that genetic variation in 3 gene sets relevant to schizophrenia may confer risk for the disorder through effects on previously implicated neuroimaging variables. Because associations were stronger overall for whole-genome PRSs, findings here highlight that selection of biologically relevant variants is not yet sufficient to address the heterogeneity of the disorder.
| S-EPMC10593950 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) have been widely explored in precision medicine. However, few studies have thoroughly investigated their best practices in global populations across different diseases. We here utilized data from Global Biobank Meta-analysis Initiative (GBMI) to explore methodological considerations and PRS performance in 9 different biobanks for 14 disease endpoints. Specifically, we constructed PRSs using pruning and thresholding (P + T) and PRS-continuous shrinkage (CS). For both methods, using a European-based linkage disequilibrium (LD) reference panel resulted in comparable or higher prediction accuracy compared with several other non-European-based panels. PRS-CS overall outperformed the classic P + T method, especially for endpoints with higher SNP-based heritability. Notably, prediction accuracy is heterogeneous across endpoints, biobanks, and ancestries, especially for asthma, which has known variation in disease prevalence across populations. Overall, we provide lessons for PRS construction, evaluation, and interpretation using GBMI resources and highlight the importance of best practices for PRS in the biobank-scale genomics era.
| S-EPMC9903818 | biostudies-literature
Project description:The UK Biobank (UKB) has recently released genotypes on 152,328 individuals together with extensive phenotypic and lifestyle information. We present a new phasing method, SHAPEIT3, that can handle such biobank-scale data sets and results in switch error rates as low as ?0.3%. The method exhibits O(NlogN) scaling with sample size N, enabling fast and accurate phasing of even larger cohorts.
| S-EPMC4926957 | biostudies-other
Project description:PurposeGenome-wide association studies have identified hundreds of single nucleotide variations (formerly single nucleotide polymorphisms) associated with several cancers, but the predictive ability of polygenic risk scores (PRSs) is unclear, especially among non-Whites.MethodsPRSs were derived from genome-wide significant single-nucleotide variations for 15 cancers in 20,079 individuals in an academic biobank. We evaluated the improvement in discriminatory accuracy by including cancer-specific PRS in patients of genetically-determined African and European ancestry.ResultsAmong the individuals of European genetic ancestry, PRSs for breast, colon, melanoma, and prostate were significantly associated with their respective cancers. Among the individuals of African genetic ancestry, PRSs for breast, colon, prostate, and thyroid were significantly associated with their respective cancers. The area under the curve of the model consisting of age, sex, and principal components was 0.621 to 0.710, and it increased by 1% to 4% with the inclusion of PRS in individuals of European genetic ancestry. In individuals of African genetic ancestry, area under the curve was overall higher in the model without the PRS (0.723-0.810) but increased by <1% with the inclusion of PRS for most cancers.ConclusionPRS moderately increased the ability to discriminate the cancer status in individuals of European but not African ancestry. Further large-scale studies are needed to identify ancestry-specific genetic factors in non-White populations to incorporate PRS into cancer risk assessment.
| S-EPMC9680700 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundThe genealogical histories of individuals within populations are of interest to studies aiming both to uncover detailed pedigree information and overall quantitative population demographic histories. However, the analysis of quantitative details of individual genealogical histories has faced challenges from incomplete available pedigree records and an absence of objective and quantitative details in pedigree information. Although complete pedigree information for most individuals is difficult to track beyond a few generations, it is possible to describe a person's genealogical history using their genetic relatives revealed by identity by descent (IBD) segments-long genomic segments shared by two individuals within a population, which are identical due to inheritance from common ancestors. When modern biobanks collect genotype information for a significant fraction of a population, dense genetic connections of a person can be traced using such IBD segments, offering opportunities to characterize individuals in the context of the underlying populations. Here, we conducted an individual-centric analysis of IBD segments among the UK Biobank participants that represent 0.7% of the UK population.ResultsWe made a high-quality call set of IBD segments over 5 cM among all 500,000 UK Biobank participants. On average, one UK individual shares IBD segments with 14,000 UK Biobank participants, which we refer to as "relatives." Using these segments, approximately 80% of a person's genome can be imputed. We subsequently propose genealogical descriptors based on the genetic connections of relative cohorts of individuals sharing at least one IBD segment and show that such descriptors offer important information about one's genetic makeup, personal genealogical history, and social behavior. Through analysis of relative counts sharing segments at different lengths, we identified a group, potentially British Jews, who has a distinct pattern of familial expansion history. Finally, using the enrichment of relatives in one's neighborhood, we identified regional variations of personal preference favoring living closer to one's extended families.ConclusionsOur analysis revealed genetic makeup, personal genealogical history, and social behaviors at the population scale, opening possibilities for further studies of individual's genetic connections in biobank data.
| S-EPMC7888130 | biostudies-literature