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Early prediction of high flow nasal cannula therapy outcomes using a modified ROX index incorporating heart rate.

ABSTRACT: Background:The ROX index (ratio of pulse oximetry/FIO2 to respiratory rate) has been validated to predict high flow nasal cannula therapy (HFNC) outcomes in patients with pneumonia. We evaluated a modified ROX index incorporating heart rate (HR) in patients initiated on HFNC for acute hypoxemic respiratory failure and as a preventative treatment following planned extubation. Methods:We performed a prospective observational cohort study of 145 patients treated with HFNC. ROX-HR index was defined as the ratio of ROX index over HR (beats/min), multiplied by a factor of 100. Evaluation was performed using area under the receiving operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and cutoffs assessed for prediction of HFNC failure: defined as the need for mechanical ventilation. Results:Ninety-nine (68.3%) and 46 (31.7%) patients were initiated on HFNC for acute hypoxemic respiratory failure and following a planned extubation, respectively. The majority (86.9%) of patients had pneumonia as a primary diagnosis, and 85 (56.6%) patients were immunocompromised. Sixty-one (42.1%) patients required intubation (HFNC failure). Amongst patients on HFNC for acute respiratory failure, HFNC failure was associated with a lower ROX and ROX-HR index recorded at time points between 1 and 48?h. Within the first 12?h, both indices performed with the highest AUROC at 10?h as follows: 0.723 (95% CI 0.605-0.840) and 0.739 (95% CI 0.626-0.853) for the ROX and ROX-HR index respectively. A ROX-HR index of > 6.80 was significantly associated with a lower risk of HFNC failure (hazard ratio 0.301 (95% CI 0.143-0.663)) at 10?h. This association was also observed at 2, 6, 18, and 24h, even with correction for potential confounding factors. For HFNC initiated post-extubation, only the ROX-HR index remained significantly associated with HFNC failure at all recorded time points between 1 and 24?h. A ROX-HR > 8.00 at 10?h was significantly associated with a lower risk of HFNC failure (hazard ratio 0.176 (95% CI 0.051-0.604)). Conclusion:While validation studies are required, the ROX-HR index appears to be a promising tool for early identification of treatment failure in patients initiated on HFNC for acute hypoxemic respiratory failure or as a preventative treatment after a planned extubation.

SUBMITTER: Goh KJ

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7310118 | biostudies-literature | 2020

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Early prediction of high flow nasal cannula therapy outcomes using a modified ROX index incorporating heart rate.

Goh Ken Junyang KJ Chai Hui Zhong HZ Ong Thun How TH Sewa Duu Wen DW Phua Ghee Chee GC Tan Qiao Li QL

Journal of intensive care 20200622

<h4>Background</h4>The ROX index (ratio of pulse oximetry/FIO<sub>2</sub> to respiratory rate) has been validated to predict high flow nasal cannula therapy (HFNC) outcomes in patients with pneumonia. We evaluated a modified ROX index incorporating heart rate (HR) in patients initiated on HFNC for acute hypoxemic respiratory failure and as a preventative treatment following planned extubation.<h4>Methods</h4>We performed a prospective observational cohort study of 145 patients treated with HFNC. ...[more]

PMID: 32587703

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Project description:BackgroundThe respiratory rate-oxygenation (ROX) index has been increasingly applied to predict the outcome of high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) in pneumonia patients with acute hypoxemic respiratory failure (AHRF). However, its diagnostic accuracy for the HFNC outcome has not yet been systematically assessed. This meta-analysis sought to evaluate the predictive performance of the ROC index for the successful weaning from HFNC in pneumonia patients with AHRF.MethodsA literature search was conducted on electronic databases through February 12, 2022, to retrieve studies that investigated the diagnostic accuracy of the ROC index for the outcome of HFNC application in pneumonia patients with AHRF. The area under the hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic curve (AUHSROC) was estimated as the primary measure of diagnostic accuracy due to the varied cutoff values of the index. We observed the distribution of the cutoff values and estimated the optimal threshold with corresponding 95% confidential interval (CI).ResultsThirteen observational studies comprising 1751 patients were included, of whom 1003 (57.3%) successfully weaned from HFNC. The ROC index exhibits good performance for predicting the successful weaning from HFNC in pneumonia patients with AHRF, with an AUHSROC of 0.81 (95% CI 0.77-0.84), a pooled sensitivity of 0.71 (95% CI 0.64-0.78), and a pooled specificity of 0.78 (95% CI 0.70-0.84). The cutoff values of the ROX index were nearly conically symmetrically distributed; most data were centered between 4.5 and 6.0, and the mean and median values were 4.8 (95% CI 4.2-5.4) and 5.3 (95% CI 4.2-5.5), respectively. Moreover, the AUHSROC in the subgroup of measurement within 6 h after commencing HFNC was comparable to that in the subgroup of measurement during 6-12 h. The stratified analyses also suggested that the ROC index was a reliable predictor of HFNC success in pneumonia patients with coronavirus disease 2019.ConclusionsIn pneumonia patients with AHRF, the ROX index measured within 12 h after HFNC initiation is a good predictor of successful weaning from HFNC. The range of 4.2-5.4 may represent the optimal confidence interval for the prediction of HFNC outcome.

Project description:Background: High flow nasal cannula (HFNC) is commonly used as non-invasive respiratory support in critically ill children. There are limited data to inform consensus on optimal device parameters, determinants of successful patient response, and indications for escalation of support. Clinical scores, such as the respiratory rate-oxygenation (ROX) index, have been described as a means to predict HFNC non-response, but are limited to evaluating for escalations to invasive mechanical ventilation (MV). In the presence of apparent HFNC non-response, a clinician may choose to increase the HFNC flow rate to hypothetically prevent further respiratory deterioration, transition to an alternative non-invasive interface, or intubation for MV. To date, no models have been assessed to predict subsequent escalations of HFNC flow rates after HFNC initiation. Objective: To evaluate the abilities of tree-based machine learning algorithms to predict HFNC flow rate escalations. Methods: We performed a retrospective, cohort study assessing children admitted for acute respiratory failure under 24 months of age placed on HFNC in the Johns Hopkins Children's Center pediatric intensive care unit from January 2019 through January 2020. We excluded encounters with gaps in recorded clinical data, encounters in which MV treatment occurred prior to HFNC, and cases electively intubated in the operating room. The primary study outcome was discriminatory capacity of generated machine learning algorithms to predict HFNC flow rate escalations as compared to each other and ROX indices using area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) analyses. In an exploratory fashion, model feature importance rankings were assessed by comparing Shapley values. Results: Our gradient boosting model with a time window of 8 h and lead time of 1 h before HFNC flow rate escalation achieved an AUROC with a 95% confidence interval of 0.810 ± 0.003. In comparison, the ROX index achieved an AUROC of 0.525 ± 0.000. Conclusion: In this single-center, retrospective cohort study assessing children under 24 months of age receiving HFNC for acute respiratory failure, tree-based machine learning models outperformed the ROX index in predicting subsequent flow rate escalations. Further validation studies are needed to ensure generalizability for bedside application.

Project description:Our objective was to evaluate the association of respiratory rate oxygenation index (ROX) with the need for positive pressure ventilation in children < 2 years of age with bronchiolitis on high flow nasal cannula (HFNC) therapy. We performed a single-center prospective observational study of a convenience sample of children < 2 years of age with bronchiolitis who had HFNC initiated in the pediatric emergency department between November and March, 2018-2020. ROX was calculated as pulse oximetry/FiO2/respiratory rate at HFNC initiation. Demographics, need for positive pressure ventilation (PPV), disposition, and hospital length of stay were collected. Logistic regression model was used to determine the odds ratio for PPV need relative to the highest ROX quartile. Of the 373 patients included, 49 (13.1%) required PPV. ROX was lower in patients who required PPV compared with those who did not (5.86 [4.71-7.42] vs. 6.74 [5.46-8.25]; p = 0.01). Logistic regression revealed that those patients whose ROX was in the lowest quartile (< 5.39) were three times more likely to require PPV compared to those in the highest quartile (> 8.21). These results held true after adjusting for confounders (odds ratio 3.1; 95% CI [1.3 to 7.5]; p = 0.02). The model's AUROC (0.701) indicated acceptable discrimination between cases and controls.ConclusionLow ROX index was associated with the need for PPV in children with bronchiolitis on HFNC. The risk stratification provided and ROX threshold for risk stratification require confirmation in other populations with a larger sample size.What is known• Demographic and clinical factors associated with high flow nasal cannula (HFNC) therapy in children with bronchiolitis has been studied.What is new• This is the first study to report the utility of association of Respiratory Rate Oxygenation (ROX) index for need for positive pressure ventilation (PPV) in children < 2 years of age with bronchiolitis on HFNC therapy. • ROX was lower in children who required PPV and children whose ROX was in the lowest quartile (< 5.39) were three times more likely to require PPV compared to those in the highest quartile (> 8.21).

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Early prediction of high flow nasal cannula therapy outcomes using a modified ROX index incorporating heart rate.

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Early prediction of high flow nasal cannula therapy outcomes using a modified ROX index incorporating heart rate.

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