Forecasting efforts from prior epidemics and COVID-19 predictions.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Nadella P
PROVIDER: S-EPMC7366467 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Jul
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Publications
Forecasting efforts from prior epidemics and COVID-19 predictions.
Nadella Pranay P Swaminathan Akshay A Subramanian S V SV
European journal of epidemiology 20200717 8
Since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, countless disease prediction models have emerged, shaping the focus of news media, policymakers, and broader society. We reviewed the accuracy of forecasts made during prior twenty-first century epidemics, namely SARS, H1N1, and Ebola. We found that while disease prediction models were relatively nascent as a research focus during SARS and H1N1, for Ebola, numerous such forecasts were published. We found that forecasts of deaths for Ebola were often far ...[more]
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