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Enrichment Strategy for Systemic Sclerosis Clinical Trials Targeting Skin Fibrosis: A Prospective, Multiethnic Cohort Study.

ABSTRACT: OBJECTIVE:The modified Rodnan skin score (mRSS) is often used as a primary outcome measure in systemic sclerosis (SSc) randomized clinical trials (RCTs). Previous cohort studies with predominantly European Caucasian patients showed that setting an upper limit of mRSS as a selection criterion for RCTs leads effectively to enrichment with progressive patients. This study aimed to demonstrate this effect in an ethnically diverse cohort, rich in patients positive for anti-RNA polymerase III antibodies (Pol3). METHODS:We selected from the Genetics versus Environment in Scleroderma Outcomes Study (GENISOS) cohort patients with diffuse cutaneous SSc (dcSSc), who had mRSS of 7 or more at inclusion and a documented mRSS after 12 ± 2 months. Progression of skin fibrosis was defined as an increase in mRSS greater than 5 points and 25% or more from baseline. To identify the optimal cutoff for the baseline mRSS yielding the highest sensitivity for progressive skin fibrosis, we developed ROC curves and logistic regression models with "progression" as the outcome variable and a binary variable of baseline mRSS cutoff point as predictor. RESULTS:We included 152 patients (age and disease duration [mean ± SD, years]: 48.7 ± 13.0 and 2.4 ± 1.5 respectively, 22.4% males, 34.2% Pol3-positive). Seventeen patients (11.2%) had skin fibrosis progression after 12 ± 2 months. An mRSS cutoff of 27 or less had the highest probability of progression (odds ratio, 9.12; 95% confidence interval: 1.173-70.851; P = 0.035; area under the curve, 0.652; sensitivity, 94%). CONCLUSION:We demonstrated in an ethnically diverse cohort of patients with early dcSSc and with a high proportion of patients who are Pol3-positive that setting an upper limit of the mRSS as a selection criterion leads effectively to cohort enrichment with progressors.

SUBMITTER: Mihai C

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7437132 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Enrichment Strategy for Systemic Sclerosis Clinical Trials Targeting Skin Fibrosis: A Prospective, Multiethnic Cohort Study.

Mihai Carina C Dobrota Rucsandra R Assassi Shervin S Mayes Maureen D MD Distler Oliver O

ACR open rheumatology 20200728 8

<h4>Objective</h4>The modified Rodnan skin score (mRSS) is often used as a primary outcome measure in systemic sclerosis (SSc) randomized clinical trials (RCTs). Previous cohort studies with predominantly European Caucasian patients showed that setting an upper limit of mRSS as a selection criterion for RCTs leads effectively to enrichment with progressive patients. This study aimed to demonstrate this effect in an ethnically diverse cohort, rich in patients positive for anti-RNA polymerase III ...[more]

PMID: 32720753

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Project description:Background Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is a rare disabling connective tissue disease with few available treatment options. Diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis (dcSSc) is associated with high mortality. A previous experiment has shown that JAK2 inhibitor can significantly improve skin fibrosis in bleomycin (BLM)-induced murine model, including reducing dermal thickening and collagen accumulation. We aimed to describe the efficacy of oral JAK1/2 inhibitor baricitinib in SSc patients, especially focusing on skin fibrosis and microvascular manifestations. Methods We described the different effects of oral selective JAK1, JAK2, or JAK3 inhibitor treatment in a BLM-induced skin fibrosis mouse model. Furthermore, 10 adult patients with dcSSc were treated with baricitinib. We assessed the changes in modified rodman skin score (mRSS) and digital ulcer net burden at week 12 and 24 from baseline. We also compared the absolute changes in scores on the Scleroderma Health Assessment Questionnaire (SHAQ) and a total score on the St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ) over a 24-week period. Results In the experimental mouse model of skin fibrosis, a JAK1 and JAK2 inhibitor ameliorated skin fibrosis, and a JAK2 inhibitor had the most obvious effect. Treatment with the JAK2 inhibitor also blunted the capillary rarefaction. We demonstrated that skin fibrosis and digital ulcers were significantly relieved in 10 SSc patients treated with baricitinib. The mRSS significantly improved at week 12 from baseline, with a mean change in mRSS of −8.3 [95% confidence interval (CI), −12.03 to −4.574; p = 0.0007] and improved greater at week 24 to −11.67 (95% CI, −16.84 to −6.496; p = 0.0008). Among the four patients with digital ulcers (DU), three were completely healed at week 24, the number of ulcers in another patient was significantly reduced, and there was no patient with new ulcers. Only one adverse event (AE) of herpes zoster was observed. Conclusions Our results indicate that selective JAK1 and JAK2 inhibitor alleviates skin fibrosis, and oral JAK1/2 inhibitor baricitinib is a potentially effective treatment for dcSSc patients with skin fibrosis and DU. Baricitinib was well-tolerated by most patients in this study. Additional large clinical trials are needed to confirm our pilot findings. Chinese Clinical Trial Registry Number ChiCTR2000030995.

Dataset Information

Enrichment Strategy for Systemic Sclerosis Clinical Trials Targeting Skin Fibrosis: A Prospective, Multiethnic Cohort Study.

Publications

Enrichment Strategy for Systemic Sclerosis Clinical Trials Targeting Skin Fibrosis: A Prospective, Multiethnic Cohort Study.

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