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Vector genetics, insecticide resistance and gene drives: An agent-based modeling approach to evaluate malaria transmission and elimination.

ABSTRACT: Vector control has been a key component in the fight against malaria for decades, and chemical insecticides are critical to the success of vector control programs worldwide. However, increasing resistance to insecticides threatens to undermine these efforts. Understanding the evolution and propagation of resistance is thus imperative to mitigating loss of intervention effectiveness. Additionally, accelerated research and development of new tools that can be deployed alongside existing vector control strategies is key to eradicating malaria in the near future. Methods such as gene drives that aim to genetically modify large mosquito populations in the wild to either render them refractory to malaria or impair their reproduction may prove invaluable tools. Mathematical models of gene flow in populations, which is the transfer of genetic information from one population to another through migration, can offer invaluable insight into the behavior and potential impact of gene drives as well as the spread of insecticide resistance in the wild. Here, we present the first multi-locus, agent-based model of vector genetics that accounts for mutations and a many-to-many mapping cardinality of genotypes to phenotypes to investigate gene flow, and the propagation of gene drives in Anopheline populations. This model is embedded within a large scale individual-based model of malaria transmission representative of a high burden, high transmission setting characteristic of the Sahel. Results are presented for the selection of insecticide-resistant vectors and the spread of resistance through repeated deployment of insecticide treated nets (ITNs), in addition to scenarios where gene drives act in concert with existing vector control tools such as ITNs. The roles of seasonality, spatial distribution of vector habitat and feed sites, and existing vector control in propagating alleles that confer phenotypic traits via gene drives that result in reduced transmission are explored. The ability to model a spectrum of vector species with different genotypes and phenotypes in the context of malaria transmission allows us to test deployment strategies for existing interventions that reduce the deleterious effects of resistance and allows exploration of the impact of new tools being proposed or developed.

SUBMITTER: Selvaraj P

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7449459 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Vector genetics, insecticide resistance and gene drives: An agent-based modeling approach to evaluate malaria transmission and elimination.

Selvaraj Prashanth P Wenger Edward A EA Bridenbecker Daniel D Windbichler Nikolai N Russell Jonathan R JR Gerardin Jaline J Bever Caitlin A CA Nikolov Milen M

PLoS computational biology 20200814 8

Vector control has been a key component in the fight against malaria for decades, and chemical insecticides are critical to the success of vector control programs worldwide. However, increasing resistance to insecticides threatens to undermine these efforts. Understanding the evolution and propagation of resistance is thus imperative to mitigating loss of intervention effectiveness. Additionally, accelerated research and development of new tools that can be deployed alongside existing vector con ...[more]

PMID: 32797077

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Project description:BackgroundUnderstanding the behaviour of local malaria vectors is essential as effectiveness of the commonly used vector-targeted malaria control tools heavily relies on behaviour of the major malaria vectors. This study was conducted to determine species composition, biting behaviour, host preference and infectivity of anopheline mosquitoes, and assess utilization of insecticide-treated nets (ITNs) in a low transmission setting in Southwest Ethiopia.MethodsAdult anopheline mosquitoes were collected using human landing catches (HLCs), Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) light traps (LTs) and Pyrethrum Spray Catches (PSCs) from June 2016 to May 2018 in Kishe, Jimma Zone, Southwest Ethiopia. The anopheline mosquitoes were morphologically identified. Moreover, sub-sample of An. gambiae s.l. was identified to species using polymerase chain reaction (PCR). Circum-sporozoite proteins (CSPs) and blood meal sources of the anopheline mosquitoes were tested using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). In addition, a cross-sectional survey was conducted to assess ITN utilization by the inhabitants.ResultsA total of 3659 anopheline mosquitoes comprising An. coustani complex (84.4%), An. gambiae s.l. (11.3%), and An. pharoensis and An. squamosus comprising less than 5% were collected. The anopheline mosquitoes showed marked outdoor (67%) and early evening (63%) biting behaviour. An. coustani complex and An. gambiae s.l. were predominantly zoophilic and anthropophilic, respectively. None of the sampled anopheline were CSP-positive. Most of the households (97.8%) owned at least one ITN, with modest usage by the inhabitants (73.4%). ITN usage was significantly higher among under-five children (AOR = 7.9, 95% CI: 4.41-14.03), household heads and spouses (AOR = 4.8, 95% CI: 3.0-7.59), those with sufficient access to ITNs (AOR = 1.8, 95% CI: 1.39-2.35), and who were not utilizing alternative mosquito repellents (AOR = 2.2, 95% CI: 1.58-2.99).ConclusionThe anopheline mosquito species exhibited predominantly outdoor and early evening biting activity. Household ITN coverage was high with slight gap in usage. Vector control interventions should target outdoor and early biting vectors to further suppress the local mosquito population. Moreover, sensitization of the community on consistent use of ITNs is required.

Project description:Achieving a theoretical foundation for malaria elimination will require a detailed understanding of the quantitative relationships between patient treatment-seeking behavior, treatment coverage, and the effects of curative therapies that also block Plasmodium parasite transmission to mosquito vectors. Here, we report a mechanistic, within-host mathematical model that uses pharmacokinetic (PK) and pharmacodynamic (PD) data to simulate the effects of artemisinin-based combination therapies (ACTs) on Plasmodium falciparum transmission. To contextualize this model, we created a set of global maps of the fold reductions that would be necessary to reduce the malaria R C (i.e. its basic reproductive number under control) to below 1 and thus interrupt transmission. This modeling was applied to low-transmission settings, defined as having a R 0<10 based on 2010 data. Our modeling predicts that treating 93-98% of symptomatic infections with an ACT within five days of fever onset would interrupt malaria transmission for ∼91% of the at-risk population of Southeast Asia and ∼74% of the global at-risk population, and lead these populations towards malaria elimination. This level of treatment coverage corresponds to an estimated 81-85% of all infected individuals in these settings. At this coverage level with ACTs, the addition of the gametocytocidal agent primaquine affords no major gains in transmission reduction. Indeed, we estimate that it would require switching ∼180 people from ACTs to ACTs plus primaquine to achieve the same transmission reduction as switching a single individual from untreated to treated with ACTs. Our model thus predicts that the addition of gametocytocidal drugs to treatment regimens provides very small population-wide benefits and that the focus of control efforts in Southeast Asia should be on increasing prompt ACT coverage. Prospects for elimination in much of Sub-Saharan Africa appear far less favorable currently, due to high rates of infection and less frequent and less rapid treatment.

Project description:BackgroundHistorically, malaria due to Plasmodium vivax has been epidemic in Henan Province, China, with Anopheles sinensis as the main vector. The most effective measures to prevent malaria transmission are based on vector control through the use of insecticides. However, insecticides exert a strong selective pressure on mosquito populations for insecticide resistance. The aim of this study was to investigate the susceptibility profile and population genetic characteristics of An. sinensis to provide basic data and scientific guidance for the study of resistance mechanisms and the control of An. sinensis in Henan Province.MethodsAdult Anopheles mosquitoes were collected at sites near local farmers' sheepfolds, pigsties and/or cowsheds located in Pingqiao, Xiangfu, Xiangcheng and Tanghe counties/districts of Henan Province during July-September 2021 for insecticide susceptibility testing. Molecular identification of collected mosquitoes as belonging to genus Anopheles was by PCR, and the frequencies of mutations in the knockdown resistance gene (kdr) and acetylcholinesterase-1 gene (ace-1) were detected using gene amplification. The mitochondrial DNA cytochrome oxidase subunit I (COI) gene was amplified in deltamethrin-resistant and deltamethrin-sensitive mosquitoes to analyze the genetic evolutionary relationship.ResultsA total of 1409 Anopheles mosquitoes were identified by molecular identification, of which 1334 (94.68%) were An. sinensis, 28 (1.99%) were An. yatsushiroensis, 43 (3.05%) were An. anthropophagus and four (0.28%) were An. belenrae. The 24-h mortality rates of An. sinensis in Pingqiao, Tanghe, Xiangcheng and Xiangfu counties/districts exposed to deltamethrin were 85.85%, 25.38%, 29.73% and 7.66%, respectively; to beta-cyfluthrin, 36.24%, 70.91%, 34.33% and 3.28%, respectively; to propoxur, 68.39%, 80.60%, 37.62% and 9.29%, respectively; and to malathion, 97.43%, 97.67%, 99.21% and 64.23%, respectively. One mutation, G119S, was detected in the ace-1 gene. The frequencies of the main genotypes were 84.21% of specimens collected in Xiangfu (G/S), 90.63% of speciments collected in Xiangcheng (G/G) and 2.44% of speciments collected in Tanghe (S/S). Significantly higher G119S allele frequencies were observed in both propoxur- and malathion-resistant mosquitoes than in their sensitive counterparts in the Tanghe population (P < 0.05). Three mutations, L1014F (41.38%), L1014C (9.15%) and L1014W (0.12%), were detected in the kdr gene. The genotypes with the highest frequency in the populations of An. sinensis in Xiangfu and Tanghe were the mutant TTT (F/F) and wild-type TTG (L/L), at 67.86% (57/84) and 74.29% (52/70), respectively. In Pingqiao and Xiangfu, higher frequencies of the L1014F allele and lower frequencies of the L1014C allele were observed in mosquitoes resistant for beta-cyfluthrin than in those which were sensitive for this insecticide (P < 0.05). The results of Tajima's D and of Fu and Li's D and F were not significantly negative (P > 0.10), and each haplotype was interlaced and did not form two distinct branches.ConclusionsHigh resistance to pyrethroids and propoxur was observed at four sites, but the resistance to malathion varied according to the location. Anopheles belenrae and the L1014W (TGG) mutation in An. sinensis were first discovered in Henan Province. The deltamethrin-resistant and deltamethrin-sensitive mosquito populations showed no genetic differentiation. The generation of resistance might be the result of the combination of multiple factors.

Project description:BackgroundIn 2012, the World Health Organization (WHO) released the Global Plan for Insecticide Resistance Management in malaria vectors to stress the need to address insecticide resistance. In a prospective multi-centric study commissioned by the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR), we assessed the insecticide susceptibility status of the primary malaria vectors in India from 2017 through 2019.MethodsThe insecticide susceptibility status of the prevalent primary malaria vectors - An. culicifacies, An. fluviatilis, An. stephensi, An. minimus and An. baimaii and secondary malaria vectors - An. aconitus, An. annularis and An. philippinensis/nivepes from 328 villages in 79 districts of 15 states of India were assessed following the WHO method mainly to insecticides used in vector control, organochlorine (DDT), organophosphate (malathion), and other pyrethroids (alpha-cypermethrin, cyfluthrin, lambda-cyhalothrin and permethrin). The study sites were selected as suggested by the National Vector Borne Disease Control Programme.ResultsThe primary malaria vector An. culicifacies showed resistance to DDT (50/50 districts including two districts of Northeastern India), malathion (27/44 districts), and deltamethrin (17/44 districts). This species was resistant to DDT alone in 19 districts, double resistant to DDT-malathion in 16 districts, double resistant to DDT-deltamethrin in 6 districts, and triple resistant to DDT-malathion-deltamethrin in 9 districts. An. minimus and An. baimaii were susceptible in Northeastern India while An. fluviatilis and the secondary malaria vector An. annularis was resistant to DDT in Jharkhand.ConclusionIn this study we report that among the primary vectors An. culicifacies is predominantly resistant to multiple insecticides. Our data suggest that periodic monitoring of insecticide susceptibility is vital. The national malaria program can take proactive steps for insecticide resistance management to continue its push toward malaria elimination in India.

Dataset Information

Vector genetics, insecticide resistance and gene drives: An agent-based modeling approach to evaluate malaria transmission and elimination.

Publications

Vector genetics, insecticide resistance and gene drives: An agent-based modeling approach to evaluate malaria transmission and elimination.

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