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Tradeoffs between air pollution mitigation and meteorological response in India.

ABSTRACT: To curb the staggering health burden attributed to air pollution, the sustainable solution for India would be to reduce emissions in future. Here we project ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) exposure in India for the year 2030 under two contrasting air pollution emission pathways for two different climate scenarios based on Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). All-India average PM2.5 is expected to increase from 41.4?±?26.5 ?g m-3 in 2010 to 61.1?±?40.8 and 58.2?±?37.5 ?g m-3 in 2030 under RCP8.5 and RCP4.5 scenarios, respectively if India follows the current legislation (baseline) emission pathway. In contrast, ambient PM2.5 in 2030 would be 40.2?±?27.5 (for RCP8.5) and 39.2?±?25.4 (for RCP4.5) ?g m-3 following the short-lived climate pollutant (SLCP) mitigation emission pathway. We find that the lower PM2.5 in the mitigation pathway (34.2% and 32.6%, respectively for RCP8.5 and RCP4.5 relative to the baseline emission pathway) would come at a cost of 0.3-0.5 °C additional warming due to the direct impact of aerosols. The premature mortality burden attributable to ambient PM2.5 exposure is expected to rise from 2010 to 2030, but 381,790 (5-95% confidence interval, CI 275,620-514,600) deaths can be averted following the mitigation emission pathway relative to the baseline emission pathway. Therefore, we conclude that given the expected large health benefit, the mitigation emission pathway is a reasonable tradeoff for India despite the meteorological response. However, India needs to act more aggressively as the World Health Organization (WHO) annual air quality guideline (10 µg m-3) would remain far off.

SUBMITTER: Upadhyay A

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7481194 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Tradeoffs between air pollution mitigation and meteorological response in India.

Upadhyay Abhishek A Dey Sagnik S Chowdhury Sourangsu S Kumar Rajesh R Goyal Pramila P

Scientific reports 20200909 1

To curb the staggering health burden attributed to air pollution, the sustainable solution for India would be to reduce emissions in future. Here we project ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) exposure in India for the year 2030 under two contrasting air pollution emission pathways for two different climate scenarios based on Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). All-India average PM2.5 is expected to increase from 41.4 ± 26.5 μg m-3 in 2 ...[more]

PMID: 32908156

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Project description:PurposeVernal keratoconjunctivitis (VKC) is a severe chronic allergic inflammation of the ocular surface with episodes of acute exacerbations, that primarily affects children and young adults. Although the etiology and pathogenesis of VKC remain unclear, studies have suggested that environmental factors may be involved. This study aims to investigate the association between exposure to meteorological and environmental factors and the incidence of VKC exacerbations.MethodsThis study was conducted in southern Israel, which is a semi-arid, hot, and dry climate with frequent dust storms. Patients diagnosed with VKC were recruited for the study. VKC exacerbations were identified as the need for medical intervention. Pollutants measured included nitrogen dioxide (NO2), ozone (O3), particulate matter (PM10 and PM2.5), sulfur dioxide (SO2), relative humidity (RH), temperature, and solar radiation (SR). To assess the association between VKC exacerbations and exposure to different pollutants, a case-crossover analysis was conducted. We also stratified the analysis by sex, age, ethnicity, immigration status, and social state score.ResultsOur results demonstrated that the pollutants NO2, O3, and PM10 were associated with VKC exacerbations with odds ratio (OR) = 2.17 (95% confidence interval [CI] =1.40 to 3.04), OR = 2.28 (95% CI = 1.30 to 3.39), and OR = 1.89 (95% CI = 1.06 to 2.74). Other pollutants PM2.5, temperature, and solar radiation were also independently associated with incidence of exacerbations with OR = 1.15 (95% CI = 0.87 to 1.50), OR = 1.75 (95% CI = 1.16 to 2.65), and OR = 1.37 (95% CI = 1.01 to 1.63) and had varying effects in different demographic strata.ConclusionsThe environmental parameters, NO2, O3, PM10, PM2.5, temperature, and solar radiation were found to be significantly associated with VKC exacerbations, with NO2, O3, and PM10 showing the strongest associations. Our findings suggest that environmental factors should be considered when developing strategies to prevent and manage VKC exacerbations.

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Tradeoffs between air pollution mitigation and meteorological response in India.

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Tradeoffs between air pollution mitigation and meteorological response in India.

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