Dataset Information

Creatinine Fluctuations Forecast Cross-Harvest Kidney Function Decline Among Sugarcane Workers in Guatemala.

ABSTRACT: Background:Chronic kidney disease of unknown origin (CKDu) is an epidemic that disproportionately affects young agriculture workers in hot regions. It has been hypothesized that repeated acute kidney injury (AKI) may play a role in the development of disease. Methods:Latent class mixed models were used to identify groups of Guatemalan sugarcane harvesters based on their daily changes in creatinine over 6 consecutive days in 2018. Exponential smoothing state space models were used to forecast end-of-season creatinine between the identified groups. Percent change in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) across the harvest was compared between groups. Results:Twenty-nine percent (n = 30) of the 103 workers experienced repeated severe fluctuations in creatinine across shift. The model with multiplicative error, multiplicative trend, and multiplicative seasonality was able to accurately forecast end-of-season creatinine in the severe group (mean percentage error [MPE]: -4.7%). eGFR of workers in the severe group on average decreased 20% across season compared to 11% decline for those in the moderate group (95% confidence interval for difference: -17% to 0%). Conclusions:Daily fluctuations in creatinine can be used to forecast end-of-season creatinine in sugarcane harvesters. Workers who experience repeat severe daily fluctuations in creatinine, on average, experience a greater reduction in kidney function across the season.

SUBMITTER: Dally M

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7486184 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Creatinine Fluctuations Forecast Cross-Harvest Kidney Function Decline Among Sugarcane Workers in Guatemala.

Dally Miranda M Butler-Dawson Jaime J Johnson Richard J RJ Krisher Lyndsay L Jaramillo Diana D Newman Kira L KL Newman Lee S LS

Kidney international reports 20200712 9

<h4>Background</h4>Chronic kidney disease of unknown origin (CKDu) is an epidemic that disproportionately affects young agriculture workers in hot regions. It has been hypothesized that repeated acute kidney injury (AKI) may play a role in the development of disease.<h4>Methods</h4>Latent class mixed models were used to identify groups of Guatemalan sugarcane harvesters based on their daily changes in creatinine over 6 consecutive days in 2018. Exponential smoothing state space models were used ...[more]

PMID: 32954081

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Project description:In Central America, an epidemic of chronic kidney disease of unknown cause disproportionately affects young male agricultural workers.Longitudinal cohort study.284 sugarcane workers in 7 jobs were recruited from one company in northwestern Nicaragua. Blood and urine samples were collected before and near the end of the 6-month harvest season.Job category (cane cutter, seeder, seed cutter, agrichemical applicator, irrigator, driver, and factory worker); self-reported water and electrolyte solution intake.Changes in levels of urinary kidney injury biomarkers normalized to urine creatinine level, including neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL), interleukin 18 (IL-18), N-acetyl-?-d-glucosaminidase (NAG), and albumin; serum creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR).Mean eGFR was 113 mL/min/1.73 m(2) and <5% of workers had albuminuria. Field workers had increases in NGAL and IL-18 levels that were 1.49 (95% CI, 1.06 to 2.09) and 1.61 (95% CI, 1.12 to 2.31) times as high, respectively, as in non-field workers. Cane cutters and irrigators had the greatest increases in NGAL levels during the harvest, whereas cane cutters and seeders had the greatest increases in IL-18 levels. Electrolyte solution consumption was associated with lower mean NGAL and NAG levels among cane cutters and lower mean IL-18 and NAG levels among seed cutters; however, there was no overall effect of hydration among all workers. On average, workers with the largest increases in NGAL and NAG levels during the harvest had declines in eGFRs of 4.6 (95% CI, 1.0 to 8.2) and 3.1 (95% CI, -0.6 to 6.7) mL/min/1.73 m(2), respectively.Surrogate exposure measure, loss to follow-up.Results are consistent with the hypothesis that occupational heat stress and volume depletion may be associated with the development of kidney disease, and future studies should directly measure these occupational factors. The presence of urine tubular injury markers supports a tubulointerstitial disease that could occur with repeated tubular injury.

Dataset Information

Creatinine Fluctuations Forecast Cross-Harvest Kidney Function Decline Among Sugarcane Workers in Guatemala.

Publications

Creatinine Fluctuations Forecast Cross-Harvest Kidney Function Decline Among Sugarcane Workers in Guatemala.

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